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Swallow Academy

Pure work of art since 2015, Picasso of Trading | https://x.com/SwallowPremium
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Based on this $BTC chart, we’ve been trading this since 2019—maybe 2020 (can’t even remember exactly). What we do know is this: this thing works. It’s been one of our key indicators for understanding what kind of cycle we’re in—mainly focusing on bullish vs. bearish markets, rather than worrying about accumulation or expansion phases. Simple, but it’s done the job for years. Bull Market - Bear Market - Accumulation - Expansion - Reaccumulation: this is the pattern we have been going with since 2012, where currently, after some help from Trump, in combination with the 2024 halving, we had really good upside momentum, which formed the new ATH and led us into the bull run that we have been looking for (by we I mean most traders). Now, since the last time we shared this kind of analysis on the markets, we have successfully entered the bull market, where, based on previous bull runs, we still have around 90–150 days left of further upside movement, which would be a perfect opportunity for altcoins to have their momentum as well. But bear in mind, each cycle is different, so we have to be ready for anything. What we see is that 2026 should be a bearish year, so be ready for that!
Based on this $BTC chart, we’ve been trading this since 2019—maybe 2020 (can’t even remember exactly).

What we do know is this: this thing works. It’s been one of our key indicators for understanding what kind of cycle we’re in—mainly focusing on bullish vs. bearish markets, rather than worrying about accumulation or expansion phases.

Simple, but it’s done the job for years.

Bull Market - Bear Market - Accumulation - Expansion - Reaccumulation: this is the pattern we have been going with since 2012, where currently, after some help from Trump, in combination with the 2024 halving, we had really good upside momentum, which formed the new ATH and led us into the bull run that we have been looking for (by we I mean most traders).

Now, since the last time we shared this kind of analysis on the markets, we have successfully entered the bull market, where, based on previous bull runs, we still have around 90–150 days left of further upside movement, which would be a perfect opportunity for altcoins to have their momentum as well.

But bear in mind, each cycle is different, so we have to be ready for anything. What we see is that 2026 should be a bearish year, so be ready for that!
$ADA is setting up a decent bullish setup here, where we are expecting to see multiple trading setups to form inside this sideways channel. #ADAPriceAnalysis It might be an interesting couple of months so buckle up!
$ADA is setting up a decent bullish setup here, where we are expecting to see multiple trading setups to form inside this sideways channel. #ADAPriceAnalysis

It might be an interesting couple of months so buckle up!
$ALGO is at its historical sideways channel, which has previously acted as a strong bounce zone. So what we are expecting is that most likely price will continue moving inside the sideways channel, where with time the 100 EMA should drag itself closer to the accumulation area. After that, we expect to see a breakout and a break of the EMAs, which should trigger another upside move. P.S. — if that sideways channel gets broken, we are doomed. #ALGOPriceAnalysis
$ALGO is at its historical sideways channel, which has previously acted as a strong bounce zone.

So what we are expecting is that most likely price will continue moving inside the sideways channel, where with time the 100 EMA should drag itself closer to the accumulation area.

After that, we expect to see a breakout and a break of the EMAs, which should trigger another upside move.

P.S. — if that sideways channel gets broken, we are doomed. #ALGOPriceAnalysis
$ETC looks bad, to be honest — hence the reason we are setting our view early just in case we see a reversal and another attempt to break the local highs (which would then form a market structure break). So for now we wait. This game plan remains active as long as price stays above the local low area. If this zone gets broken, we will likely continue falling and form new breaks of structure.
$ETC looks bad, to be honest — hence the reason we are setting our view early just in case we see a reversal and another attempt to break the local highs (which would then form a market structure break).

So for now we wait. This game plan remains active as long as price stays above the local low area. If this zone gets broken, we will likely continue falling and form new breaks of structure.
$GALA has been moving in a strong downside trend for quite some time, and we are not seeing any clear reasons why price should stop forming BOS and continue moving to lower zones. So we wait for a proper break of structure here, and once we get it, we will be aiming for the psychological support near $0.003. #GALAPriceAnalysis
$GALA has been moving in a strong downside trend for quite some time, and we are not seeing any clear reasons why price should stop forming BOS and continue moving to lower zones.

So we wait for a proper break of structure here, and once we get it, we will be aiming for the psychological support near $0.003. #GALAPriceAnalysis
$TRX is putting up a decent fight where buyers are picking up momentum on smaller timeframes, giving buyers a good opportunity for a long. The bigger timeframe is a different story, though. #TRXPriceAnalysis More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
$TRX is putting up a decent fight where buyers are picking up momentum on smaller timeframes, giving buyers a good opportunity for a long. The bigger timeframe is a different story, though. #TRXPriceAnalysis

More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
$SUI has been in a strong downside move, and our main concern right now is the EMAs, which have drifted far away from the current market price. Because of that, two things can happen here — either a logical corrective move or an emotional liquidity hunt. Logically, we should see a smaller correction after the recent break of structure, which would open a decent upside opportunity for us. On the other hand, there is still a chance we see another break of structure and liquidity grab. For now, we remain bullish as long as the next break of structure has not happened. #SUIPriceAnalysis
$SUI has been in a strong downside move, and our main concern right now is the EMAs, which have drifted far away from the current market price. Because of that, two things can happen here — either a logical corrective move or an emotional liquidity hunt.

Logically, we should see a smaller correction after the recent break of structure, which would open a decent upside opportunity for us. On the other hand, there is still a chance we see another break of structure and liquidity grab.

For now, we remain bullish as long as the next break of structure has not happened. #SUIPriceAnalysis
We might see the market structure break earlier on $TON , but this is the setup we are currently looking at and feel most confident with. We are watching for price to reach the $1.28 area, so a smaller corrective move is expected first. After that, we will be looking for an MSB to form. #TONPriceAnalysis
We might see the market structure break earlier on $TON , but this is the setup we are currently looking at and feel most confident with.

We are watching for price to reach the $1.28 area, so a smaller corrective move is expected first. After that, we will be looking for an MSB to form. #TONPriceAnalysis
Well, keep it short here for $SOL , expecting a recovery of 48% towards the recently broken area, where afterwards we will be looking for a bigger shorting opportunity! More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Well, keep it short here for $SOL , expecting a recovery of 48% towards the recently broken area, where afterwards we will be looking for a bigger shorting opportunity!

More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
$BCH looks like it is forming an accumulation area after the breakout above the 200 EMA, where price now has a good chance to grab around 8% of movement. Buyers are holding the ground, and the setup looks like a choppy reversed H&S pattern. The trade will be considered invalid if a 4H candle closes below the 100 EMA. #BCHPriceAnalysis
$BCH looks like it is forming an accumulation area after the breakout above the 200 EMA, where price now has a good chance to grab around 8% of movement. Buyers are holding the ground, and the setup looks like a choppy reversed H&S pattern.

The trade will be considered invalid if a 4H candle closes below the 100 EMA. #BCHPriceAnalysis
$DOGE had a nice breakout similar to SHIB, where price is now sitting in a smaller consolidation after the strong push. That breakout formed a bearish CME, and sellers have been hunting to fill that gap. So far the setup looks clean — a decent MSB with a CME fill, which might turn into a successful re-test… giving us a long opportunity. We are aiming for the first target at the local high zone. #DOGEPriceAnalysis
$DOGE had a nice breakout similar to SHIB, where price is now sitting in a smaller consolidation after the strong push. That breakout formed a bearish CME, and sellers have been hunting to fill that gap.

So far the setup looks clean — a decent MSB with a CME fill, which might turn into a successful re-test… giving us a long opportunity.

We are aiming for the first target at the local high zone. #DOGEPriceAnalysis
$SHIB made a proper market structure break recently, and now buyers are in a re-test phase. If they successfully secure the current zone, that would mean a smaller upside movement from here. So we wait for price to reach our entry — ideally with a strong breakout, not just a slight touch. Once we get it, we are aiming for the 4 targets we set above. #SHIBPriceAnalysis
$SHIB made a proper market structure break recently, and now buyers are in a re-test phase. If they successfully secure the current zone, that would mean a smaller upside movement from here.

So we wait for price to reach our entry — ideally with a strong breakout, not just a slight touch.

Once we get it, we are aiming for the 4 targets we set above. #SHIBPriceAnalysis
Not a first time we've been looking at the wyckoff structure on $BTC but since the last time we looked, we had a nice break of the neckline (a major signal of trend reversal). If we were to base our predictions on Wyckoff structure development, we should soon see a smaller recovery and then another bigger downside movement to the regions of $45,000-$63,000. #BTCPriceAnalysis
Not a first time we've been looking at the wyckoff structure on $BTC but since the last time we looked, we had a nice break of the neckline (a major signal of trend reversal).

If we were to base our predictions on Wyckoff structure development, we should soon see a smaller recovery and then another bigger downside movement to the regions of $45,000-$63,000. #BTCPriceAnalysis
$LTC might be cooking up a decent setup here where buyers need to form a proper break of structure with confirmation, which then would open a long opportunity for us. #LTCPriceAnalysis More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
$LTC might be cooking up a decent setup here where buyers need to form a proper break of structure with confirmation, which then would open a long opportunity for us. #LTCPriceAnalysis

More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
$AVAX is hovering near the local bottom where buyers are trying to take control from sellers, which could turn the tables and give a decent chance for a bounce from this area. We wait for $9.70 to be broken before entry, with the first target set at $15. Definitely one to keep an eye on. #AVAXPriceAnalysis
$AVAX is hovering near the local bottom where buyers are trying to take control from sellers, which could turn the tables and give a decent chance for a bounce from this area.

We wait for $9.70 to be broken before entry, with the first target set at $15.

Definitely one to keep an eye on. #AVAXPriceAnalysis
$LINK is hovering near the liquidity areas, where it seems like we have finally established another sweep. From here we are expecting some kind of recovery towards the EMAs. For now, targeting $12.25, but be careful — we might still see yet another sweep (although the current one already looks deep enough for a potential recovery). #LINKPriceAnalysis
$LINK is hovering near the liquidity areas, where it seems like we have finally established another sweep. From here we are expecting some kind of recovery towards the EMAs.

For now, targeting $12.25, but be careful — we might still see yet another sweep (although the current one already looks deep enough for a potential recovery). #LINKPriceAnalysis
$ETH is building up here, being in the accumulation zone below the EMAs, yet keeping pretty close to them. As buyers are pressuring, we are looking for a proper breakout to happen here, which would open a long opportunity for us towards the $2,135. #ETHPriceAnalysis
$ETH is building up here, being in the accumulation zone below the EMAs, yet keeping pretty close to them.

As buyers are pressuring, we are looking for a proper breakout to happen here, which would open a long opportunity for us towards the $2,135. #ETHPriceAnalysis
Volatility on $BTC swept away trades, whereas today we are taking a safer approach. Waiting for price to. Have another attempt to break the 200 EMA, where we will be looking for a proper break of structure to form. Buyers are pressuring the EMAs, where a lot of volatile up-and-down moves are happenin...some big break is about to happen; we put our odds too long here. #BTCPriceAnalysis
Volatility on $BTC swept away trades, whereas today we are taking a safer approach. Waiting for price to. Have another attempt to break the 200 EMA, where we will be looking for a proper break of structure to form.

Buyers are pressuring the EMAs, where a lot of volatile up-and-down moves are happenin...some big break is about to happen; we put our odds too long here. #BTCPriceAnalysis
$POL looks like it's forming a decent setup, where buyers secured back the support and most probably will now target that bullish CME near $12.80. #POLPriceAnalysis More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
$POL looks like it's forming a decent setup, where buyers secured back the support and most probably will now target that bullish CME near $12.80. #POLPriceAnalysis

More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
$BSV pushed nicely recently and now price is back in accumulation right above support. Two outcomes. Hold $16.17 → buyers keep dominance → BOS → continuation higher. Lose the zone → sellers step in → we look toward $14. For now nothing changes. Above support = bullish scenario stays in play. Patience. #BSVPriceAnalysis
$BSV pushed nicely recently and now price is back in accumulation right above support.

Two outcomes.
Hold $16.17 → buyers keep dominance → BOS → continuation higher.
Lose the zone → sellers step in → we look toward $14.

For now nothing changes. Above support = bullish scenario stays in play. Patience. #BSVPriceAnalysis
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