Boy Lost In Thoughts

Silber erlebte am frühen Freitag eine weitere volatile Sitzung, doch der insgesamt anhaltende Aufwärtstrend bleibt fest bestehen. Nach einem leichten Rückzug im jüngsten Handel zeigt der Markt weiterhin ein geräuschvolles und technisch getriebenes Verhalten.
Hauptpunkte hervorgehoben:
📈 Aufwärtstrend intakt trotz der jüngsten Volatilität und überdehnten Preislevels
🛡️ Wichtige Unterstützungsstufe nahe $90, mit weiterem potenziellen Support um jede $10-Erhöhung
🎯 Starker Momentum in Richtung des psychologisch wichtigen Ziels von $100/oz
⬇️ Rückzüge auf kurze Sicht werden als Gelegenheiten angesehen, relativ günstig einzukaufen

Gold wird am Freitag in einer engen Spanne nahe Rekordhöhen gehandelt, während ein optimistischer, aber geduldiger Markt auf seinen nächsten großen Katalysator wartet. Trotz der aktuellen Konsolidierung bleibt die allgemeine Richtung entschieden nach oben gerichtet, mit bedeutenden Zielen in Sicht.
Wichtige Punkte hervorgehoben:
Aktueller Stand: Gold befindet sich in einer Konsolidierungsphase und zeigt seitliche Bewegungen um die $4,600-Marke.
Marktstimmung: Der zugrunde liegende Trend ist stark bullish. Es besteht kein Interesse am Leerverkauf von Gold.
Schlüsselziele: Der Ausbruch aus einem vorherigen aufsteigenden Dreiecksmuster deutet auf einen potenziellen Anstieg auf $4,900 hin, mit einem breiteren Ziel von $5,000 im Jahr 2026.

Silver (XAG/USD) maintains a solid bullish trend, backed by strong technical indicators and supportive fundamentals—including anticipated Fed rate cuts and robust industrial demand. While short-term factors like easing Iran concerns have triggered profit-taking, the larger uptrend remains unbroken. Traders now face a tactical decision: either pursue a breakout above $93.51 or wait for a dip toward the value area around $83.67. Key support levels lie at $83.67 and $78.88, with long-term moving averages providing a safety net. Regardless of short-term fluctuations, silver's structural outlook remains positive.

Major Points Highlighted:
Uptrend Firmly IntactSilver’s bullish trend is confirmed by swing charts, trendlines, and moving averages (50-day and 200-day).Critical resistance level is $93.51; a break above signals further upward momentum.Traders Face a Strategic ChoiceOption A: Chase the breakout above $93.51 for momentum plays.Option B: Wait for a pullback to the value zone near $83.67 for a more favorable entry.Strong Fundamental BackingExpectations of Fed rate cuts in 2026 continue to support the bullish outlook.Surging industrial demand from AI, electric vehicles, and solar energy sustains long-term optimism.Persistent supply constraints add further upward pressure on prices.Short-Term Volatility from Geopolitics & PolicyRecent price dips are attributed to profit-taking as Iran tensions ease.Trump’s shifting stance on Iran and delayed tariffs have injected near-term volatility.Core fundamentals remain unchanged, with dips viewed as potential buying opportunities.Key Technical Levels to WatchSupport: $83.67 (50% retracement level), followed by $78.88 (trendline support).Long-term support: 50-DMA at $64.45 and 200-DMA at $45.39.A fall below $73.84 would signal a trend reversal.
$XAG
$XAU
$PAXG

Binance Square's CreatorPad is shifting its focus from quantity to quality content and meaningful engagement. As part of this update, a new Plasma (XPL) campaign is launching, offering a 3.5 million XPL token reward pool.
Major Points & Updates:
CreatorPad System OverhaulShift from quantity to quality: Reduced post and trade requirements now emphasize semantic relevance and higher-value content.Weighted engagement metrics: Rewards will factor in genuine interactions—comments, shares, likes, and views—to recognize real influence.Merit-based & permissionless: Only true contributors will earn rewards.Updated leaderboard goes live: 2026-01-23.New Plasma (XPL) Campaign – 3.5M XPL Reward PoolCampaign period: 2026-01-16 to 2026-02-12 (UTC).How to participate:Post or article on Binance Square about Plasma (with hashtags #Plasma, $XPL , and mention @plasma).Follow Plasma on Binance Square and X.Trade at least $10 in XPL on Binance Spot, Futures, or Convert.Reward distribution:Top 500 creators on Global and Chinese leaderboards each share 1,750,000 XPL.Rewards are proportional to points earned.Key Eligibility & RulesMust pass KYC verification.Content must be original and relevant; no Red Packet/giveaway posts.Participants must keep posts live for 60 days after the campaign.Rewards distributed as token vouchers, valid for 7 days upon receipt.Binance reserves final discretion on terms and participant eligibility.Important NotesSeparate Chinese leaderboard for predominantly Mandarin content creators.Participants can only join one leaderboard.Suspicious activity or bot use leads to disqualification.
Why This Matters:
Encourages meaningful content over spam, improving platform quality.Rewards authentic engagement with weighted metrics.Substantial token incentive (3.5M XPL) for early participation.Clear structure for global and Mandarin-speaking creators.
Bottom Line:
Binance Square’s CreatorPad is now prioritizing quality content and real engagement, backed by a major token campaign for Plasma (XPL). Create valuable posts, follow simple tasks, and compete for a share of 3.5 million XPL.

$XPL

Der US-Dollar konsolidiert sich nahe mehrwöchiger Höchststände, unterstützt durch robuste Arbeitsmarktdaten, die die stabile Zinspolitik der Federal Reserve bestätigen. Mit nachlassenden politischen Belastungen und technischen Mustern, die bullisch tendieren, ist die zentrale Frage, ob der Dollar-Index über den Widerstand hinaussteigen kann, um die 100-Dollar-Marke zu erreichen. Dieses Setup schafft spezifische technische Niveaus, auf die Händler sowohl im EUR/USD als auch im GBP/USD achten sollten, die weiterhin anfällig für weitere Rückgänge gegenüber dem erstarkenden Dollar sind.

Wichtige Punkte:

Bitcoin is currently hovering around $95.5K after pulling back from the $98K mark—a level that aligns with the significant 61.8% Fibonacci retracement line. The cryptocurrency is now at a critical technical juncture, with its next directional move largely dependent on external catalysts, as major economic data is sparse in the near term.

Key Points:
Market Pullback: The crypto market dipped 1.5% in 24 hours, settling at a $3.23 trillion capitalization. Large-cap assets saw minor declines, while smaller altcoins fell more sharply—except Tron, which continued its steady rise.Critical Technical Level: Bitcoin is testing the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement near $98K. A clear breakout or rejection here could determine the near-term trend.Low Exchange Supply: Bitcoin holdings on exchanges have hit a seven-month low, suggesting reduced selling pressure.Holder Behavior: Long-term Bitcoin holders are not taking profits despite recent price increases, indicating underlying strength rather than speculative frenzy.Reduced Leverage: Open interest in Bitcoin derivatives is down 28% from its October peak, signaling a healthier, less overheated market.Sentiment & Risk: Over 47,000 retail investors exited recently amid fear and uncertainty. While some metrics appear optimistic, the options market still reflects caution, and recent price movements may be driven more by short squeezes than new capital inflows.Regulatory Note: The SEC has closed its case against the Zcash Foundation, removing a minor regulatory overhang for the privacy-focused coin.
In short: Bitcoin is consolidating at a pivotal technical level amid mixed signals—strongholder conviction and lower exchange supply provide support, but low liquidity and retail caution suggest volatility ahead. All eyes are on whether BTC can break above the $98K Fibonacci barrier.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB

Binance is hosting an exclusive trading competition for the Yooldo (ESPORTS) token. From January 16 to January 30, 2026 (UTC), users can compete for a share of $200,000 worth of rewards by trading on Binance Wallet (Keyless) or Binance Alpha. The top performers will win a portion of 448,500 ESPORTS tokens.
Major Points Highlighted:
Massive Prize Pool: A total of $200,000 worth of ESPORTS tokens is up for grabs.Exclusive Access: Trade only on Binance Wallet (Keyless) or Binance Alpha. Trades on third-party platforms do not qualify.Simple Ranking: Winners are ranked solely by their total cumulative purchase volume of ESPORTS during the event. Selling volume does not count.No Volume Caps: You can trade as much as you want to climb the leaderboard.Who Wins: The top 6,900 traders will split the prize pool, each receiving 65 ESPORTS tokens.Key Eligibility: You must be from a qualified region, have a verified (KYC) Binance account, and an active Binance Wallet.Important Dates:Competition: Jan 16, 2026 (13:00 UTC) – Jan 30, 2026 (13:00 UTC)Rewards Distributed By: Feb 13, 2026 (13:00 UTC)
Critical Disclaimers & Notes:
Availability: This event and the related services may not be available in your region.High-Risk Activity: Trading, especially emerging assets like those on Binance Alpha, is volatile. You could lose your entire investment.Binance's Rights: Binance reserves the right to disqualify users for manipulation (like wash trading) and can change the event terms at any time.Reward Forfeiture: You will lose your rewards if you delete or deactivate your Binance Wallet before distribution.Not an Exchange Listing: Featuring ESPORTS on Binance Alpha does not guarantee a future listing on the main Binance Exchange.
Bottom Line: This is a high-risk, high-reward competition for eligible Binance users. Your ranking and reward depend entirely on your total ESPORTS purchase volume during the two-week period.

$ESPORTS
$DOLO

Die Preise für Gold und Silber fielen stark, da ein Anstieg des U.S. Dollars und die Entspannung der U.S.-Iran Spannungen die Nachfrage nach sicheren Häfen reduzierten. Gold fiel unter 4.600 $, während Silber um über 1 % auf 91 $ fiel, wobei beide Metalle nun kritische technische Unterstützungsniveaus testen.
Wichtige Punkte hervorgehoben:
Starker Dollar belastet Metalle: Der U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) stärkte sich, nachdem die Arbeitslosenanträge in den USA unerwartet auf 198K fielen, was den Dollar stärkte und die Nachfrage nach in Dollar denominiertem Gold und Silber senkte.
Geopolitische Ruhe reduziert die Attraktivität sicherer Häfen: Mildere Rhetorik der USA gegenüber dem Iran verringerte die unmittelbaren Konfliktängste und reduzierte die Dringlichkeit für Investoren, Edelmetalle zu halten.

Die Zinssätze für das Pfund steigen aufgrund verbesserter Wachstumszeichen im Vereinigten Königreich, was droht, die erste Zinssenkung der Bank von England zu verzögern. Der zugrunde liegende Trend wird jedoch weiterhin als rückläufig für das Jahr angesehen. In der Zwischenzeit stehen die Renditen der US-Staatsanleihen vor gemischten Signalen, ziehen aber weiterhin erhebliche ausländische Investitionen an, wie durch starke Daten zu den Zuflüssen im November bestätigt wird, die eine signifikante Beteiligung von wichtigen verbündeten Nationen zeigen.
Wichtige Punkte :
UK-Raten: Kurzfristiger Druck vs. Langfristige Anziehung
Kurzfristiger Druck: Starke Wachstumsdaten aus dem Vereinigten Königreich treiben die Pfundzinssätze nach oben und könnten die Zinssenkungen der Bank von England verzögern. Kommende heiße Inflations-/Arbeitsmarktdaten könnten die Erwartungen von einer Zinssenkung im März auf April weiter verschieben.

The GBP/AUD pair has decisively broken and held below the critical 2.000 level, marking its first close beneath this threshold in over a year. This drop came despite a better-than-expected UK GDP reading, which was quickly dismissed as temporary. Bearish momentum is now accelerating, opening the door for a continued slide toward the mid-1.90s. Both technical indicators and market sentiment support further declines, with traders eyeing short opportunities below 2.000.
Major Points :
Historic Breakdown: GBP/AUD closed below the key 2.000 level for the first time since early 2025, confirming a major bearish shift.GDP Boost Fades Fast: Despite a surprising 0.3% UK GDP rise in November, gains were driven by temporary factors (like auto production rebound), failing to support the pound.Bearish Momentum Builds: The breakdown from a descending triangle pattern suggests further downside, with targets near 1.9600–mid-1.90s.Strong Technical Signals: RSI and MACD momentum indicators both support further declines, reinforcing the bearish outlook.Risk Sentiment Hurts GBP: A stronger risk appetite boosted the Aussie dollar, while a firmer U.S. dollar added pressure on GBP.Trading Idea: Short positions below 2.000 are favored, with potential pullbacks possibly attracting buyers later if historical January trends repeat.
$LTC
$BEAT

Der Chefökonom der EZB, Philip Lane, weist darauf hin, dass die derzeitige Zinssatzlage der Eurozone wahrscheinlich als Basis für die kommenden Jahre beibehalten wird, wobei kein kurzfristiger Diskussionsbedarf für Senkungen erwartet wird. Er prognostiziert eine nachhaltige Rückkehr zum Inflationsziel von 2 % bis 2026.
$SANTOS
$PIVX
$SOL

Goldman Sachs Research forecasts a robust 2026 for the U.S. economy, with growth outperforming expectations and inflation cooling further.
Key Highlights:
Stronger Growth: GDP is projected to grow 2.5% (Q4/Q4), above the 2.1% consensus. Recession risk is lowered to 20%.Lower Inflation: Core PCE inflation is expected to fall to 2.1% by year-end, below official and market forecasts.Key Drivers: The drag from tariffs is expected to fade, while business and personal tax cuts from recent legislation will boost activity. Productivity gains, aided by AI, will also play a larger role.Fed Rate Cuts: The Fed is predicted to cut rates twice in 2026 (June & September, 25 bps each), with the terminal rate reaching 3%-3.25%.Labor Market Uncertainty: The outlook is more mixed. While the unemployment rate is expected to stabilize at 4.5%, risks of further softening remain. Job growth is weak, and companies are increasingly eyeing AI as a tool to reduce labor costs, which could hinder hiring.Inflation Confidence: Analysts believe underlying inflation progress has been masked by one-time tariff effects and that labor market rebalancing will help bring inflation to the Fed's target.
Bottom Line:
Goldman Sachs presents an optimistic yet nuanced view: expect a strong, productivity-led expansion with falling inflation in 2026, but watch the job market closely for potential AI-related disruptions and softening.
$GLMR
$XVS
$ETH

In einem Social-Media-Beitrag behauptete der ehemalige Präsident Donald Trump, dass die jüngsten starken Finanzzahlen auf Zölle zurückzuführen seien, die nach seinen Angaben Hunderte von Milliarden Dollar ohne Inflation eingebracht hätten und gleichzeitig die nationale Sicherheit gestärkt hätten. Er endete mit "GOTT SEGNE DIE USA."
$TOWNS
$BNB

Binance has launched a major upgrade to its Options platform, headlined by the opening of ETH Options writing to all traders. This feature allows users to generate income, hedge positions, and execute advanced strategies. The upgrade also delivers faster execution, a wider range of contracts, and enhanced market data tools. To participate, users must enable the "Long & Short Sell" trading mode. The platform continues to offer the advantages of stablecoin settlement and competitively low fees.
Major Points:
Headline Feature: ETH Options Writing is now available to all users, enabling strategies for income, hedging, and market speculation.Platform-Wide Upgrades: Experience faster trade execution (higher API throughput), more contract choices (expanded strikes), and better data (advanced WebSocket streams).Key Benefits: Trade stablecoin-denominated options for simpler pricing, enjoy competitive fees with a 20% discount on new contracts, and employ flexible strategies.Important Note: Access requires upgrading your account to the "Long & Short Sell" trading mode on the Binance Options page.
$ETH
$BTC
$BNB

XRP stand einem Verkaufsdruck gegenüber, nachdem der US-Senat einen entscheidenden Gesetzesentwurf zum Kryptomarktstrukturgesetz verschoben hatte, eine Maßnahme, die durch die Kritik von Coinbase und deren Rückzug der Unterstützung ausgelöst wurde. Dies unterstreicht die hohe Empfindlichkeit von XRP gegenüber regulatorischen Veränderungen in den USA. Dennoch blieb der Rückgang begrenzt, da Bullen die kritische Unterstützung bei 2,00 USD verteidigten. Die zugrundeliegende Stärke durch erhebliche Zuflüsse in XRP-ETFs und der kontinuierliche Fortschritt hin zu einer endgültigen Gesetzgebung sichern eine vorsichtig bullische Aussicht, wobei Analysten ihre mittelfristigen Preisziele zwischen 3,00 USD und 3,66 USD beibehalten, vorausgesetzt, der Token bleibt über dem entscheidenden Unterstützungsniveau.

Gold- und Silberpreise gingen zurück, da starke US-Wirtschaftsdaten den Dollar stärkten und die Entspannung der Spannungen zwischen Iran und den USA die Nachfrage nach Sicherheitswährungen verringerten. Analysten sehen diesen Rückgang als potenzielle kurzfristige Kaufgelegenheit innerhalb eines weiterhin bullischen Trends, wobei die wichtigen Unterstützungslevel für beide Metalle im Fokus liegen. Der US-Dollar befindet sich in einer Konsolidierung und erwartet einen Ausbruch für seine nächste Richtungsbewegung.

Hauptpunkte:
Preise fallen aufgrund zweier Faktoren:
Gold und Silber gingen zurück, da stärkere US-Arbeitslosenmeldungen den Dollar stärkten und die Entspannung der Spannungen zwischen Iran und den USA die Nachfrage nach Sicherheitswährungen verringerten.

Global AI spending is forecast to surge from $2.53 trillion in 2026 to $3.33 trillion in 2027, with over half focused on building AI infrastructure. While bulls see a lasting investment boom and tech giants like Nvidia project massive sales, bears warn of a potential dot-com-style bubble. Current demand outstrips supply, but the market may soon enter a "trough of disillusionment," where hype fades, spending could slow, and industry consolidation may follow.
Major Points:
Massive Spending Surge: Global AI investment is projected to skyrocket from $2.53 trillion in 2026 to $3.33 trillion in 2027, totaling nearly $6 trillion in just two years.Infrastructure Dominates: The core focus is AI infrastructure, with $1.36 trillion in 2026 and $1.75 trillion in 2027 dedicated to building foundational systems.Wall Street Divide:Bulls argue AI adoption is still in its early stages, with years of heavy investment ahead.Bears warn of an overhyped, dot-com-style bubble that could soon burst.Tech Giants Bet Big:Nvidia’s CEO announced plans to sell $500 billion in GPUs by the end of 2026.AMD’s CEO expects the data center market alone to reach $1 trillion by 2030.Supply Under Strain: AI chip and server inventories are sold out for the next 18–24 months, indicating relentless demand.Beyond Hardware: Significant investment continues in AI software, models, and data science.Potential Cooling Ahead: AI may be approaching the “trough of disillusionment”—a hype cycle phase where excitement wanes and spending could slow, leading to market consolidation and mergers.Past Precedent: Similar booms in tech trends like VR and the metaverse saw eventual pullbacks, hinting at possible caution ahead.
$ZKP
$BTC

Food prices in New Zealand have risen dramatically since 1960, with the index increasing from 45.9 to 1,341 by December 2025—a growth of over 2,800%.
1. Long-Term Inflation in Food Prices
Starting Point (1960): The food price index began at 45.92 in January 1960.Growth Over 65 Years: By December 2025, the index reached 1,341 – an increase of over 2,800%.Significant Milestones:Crossed 100 in mid-1975.Crossed 1,000 in mid-2017.Reached 1,300+ in 2025.
2. Periods of Rapid Inflation
1970s–1980s: Sharp increases during the oil crisis and high inflation era. The index rose from ~62 in 1970 to ~880 by 1989.Late 1980s–Early 1990s: Volatility with peaks and corrections.Post-2020: Noticeable acceleration, especially from 2021 onward, coinciding with global supply chain disruptions and economic recovery post-COVID.
3. Subcategory Analysis: Fruit and Vegetables
Data for Fruit and vegetables begins in June 1999 with an index of 566.83.Current Level (Dec 2025): 1,158 – an increase of ~104% since mid-1999.Peak in 2023: Reached 1,350 in June 2023, reflecting high fresh produce inflation.
4. Fruit-Specific Trends
The Fruit sub-index started at 585.68 in June 1999.December 2025 Value: 1,158 (same as fruit and vegetables aggregate).Highest Recorded: 1,158 in December 2025, matching the broader subgroup.
5. Recent Inflation Surge (2020–2025)
The food index rose from ~1,034 in Jan 2020 to 1,341 in Dec 2025 – a ~30% increase in 5 years.Fruit and vegetables rose from 875 in Jan 2020 to 1,158 in Dec 2025 – a ~32% increase.
6. Monthly Fluctuations and Seasonality
Regular fluctuations within years, especially in fruit/vegetable categories, likely due to seasonal supply changes.Example: Fruit and vegetables dipped to 1,119 in April 2024 before rising again.
7. Data Completeness and Scope
Full dataset for total food from 1960 to 2025.Fruit and vegetables data starts in 1999.Fruit-only data also begins in 1999, allowing detailed subcategory tracking.
Summary of Key Takeaways
✅ Sustained long-term increase in NZ food prices over 65 years.✅ Accelerated inflation post-2020, with indices rising sharply.✅ Fruit and vegetables have seen significant price increases, peaking in mid-2023.✅ High volatility in fresh produce reflects supply sensitivity and seasonal factors.✅ Data provides granular tracking of food inflation at category and subcategory levels.
Data Source: Consumers Price Index - CPI, Food Price Index Level 1 Groups and Subgroups for New Zealand (Monthly), Statistics New Zealand. All values are index numbers with base periods defined by the series.
$U
$DCR

Der Leistungsindex für die Produktion (PMI) Neuseelands im Dezember 2025 stieg auf ein vierjähriges Hoch von 56,1 und lag deutlich über dem langfristigen Durchschnitt. BNZ-Ökonomen sehen darin "überzeugende" Hinweise auf eine echte Verbesserung im Sektor, getrieben von starken Neuaufträgen, breit angelegten Fortschritten in allen Komponenten sowie unterstützenden wirtschaftlichen Faktoren wie Wohnbau und primären Exporten. Das starke Ergebnis deutet auf eine positive Dynamik für das vierte Quartal des BIP hin und übertrifft die Leistung der wichtigsten internationalen Konkurrenten, obwohl bei den kleinsten Produktionsunternehmen weiterhin ein schwacher Punkt besteht.