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It is timely to revisit the typical crypto market cycle, as Bitcoin continues to respect it with remarkable precision.

The macro top was confirmed in October, when $BTC tested the $126,000 zone, marking the current cycle ATH. Since that rejection, price has transitioned into a prolonged consolidation phase, which structurally aligns with the early stages of a broader bear market cycle.

From a wave structure perspective, price action is developing an extended corrective formation (ABC). The initial decline from $126K to the $59K region completes Wave A. Current market behavior suggests a potential Wave B recovery toward the key supply and resistance band around $84,800–$90,000, where sellers are expected to reassert control.

Failure to reclaim and hold above this supply zone would likely trigger Wave C, with downside continuation toward the $34,000–$30,000 projected target area. This zone aligns with historical demand, prior cycle accumulation, and long-term value based interest making it a critical region for strategic accumulation, not panic.

Cycle analysis indicates that this corrective phase may extend into early 2027, setting the stage for the next major accumulation and recovery phase. While short- to mid-term volatility and downside risk remain valid, the broader macro structure continues to support higher prices long term, with expansion potential toward $200,000+ once the cycle reset completes.

#BTC #bitcoin #TrendingTopic

#bitcoin can drop below 40k later this year! But before that, in the short term, we may see a final drop to 58k, followed by a huge bear market rally to 85k. If you are confused, let's take a look at my prediction:

Short-term: 58k (wave A on the chart)
Mid-term: 85k (wave B on the chart)
Long-term: 40k (wave C on the chart)

From an investment point of view, after we hit 40k, that would be a great buying opportunity because Bitcoin will probably go to 200k in the next years!

Why can $BTC go to 58k in the immediate short term? There are 2 very important levels that are waiting to be hit. The first is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous bear market on the non-LOG scale, and the second is the 200-week simple moving average (SMA). Bitcoin bounced off 60k, but we didn't hit these levels, so that means we probably are going to go down very soon. When Bitcoin hits 58, that would complete the wave (A) of the bear market.

After that we may see a big rise to 85k (wave B), when everyone will think that the bottom is in, and these people may invest all their money into the crypto market. But do not get caught! We want to wait for wave (C). Your entry point is at 40k or lower!

What about all the ETF investors? Let's take a look at the BlackRock Bitcoin ETF chart. To me it looks like a huge trap for all investors that invested in Bitcoin in 2024 and 2025. The banks and huge institutions will probably take all stop losses and liquidity below the current all-time low. Does it make sense to you?

Why do whales need your stop losses? They have an enormous amount of money, and they need your order to get "filled" into the crypto market. They cannot buy Bitcoin from no one. They need your orders to enter the crypto space. That's why they cannot send $BTC to the upside, and instead they need to manipulate the price and crash Bitcoin again and again. In other words, they will make much more money by sending the price of Bitcoin down!
#BTC #TrendingTopic

Here’s my technical outlook on $XAU USD (1H) based on the current chart structure. Gold recently experienced a strong impulsive drop from the highs, where price failed near a clear swing top and sellers stepped in aggressively. This move shifted short-term momentum bearish and drove price back toward the previously established Seller Zone, which acted as a key structural level during the decline. After breaking below this zone, gold continued lower and eventually reached the major Buyer Zone around the support level, where selling pressure started to fade and buyers began to react. From this demand area, price staged a recovery move, pushing back toward the mid-range of the structure. However, instead of transitioning into a new bullish trend, gold entered a consolidation phase. The market formed a clearly defined range beneath the descending resistance line, showing that buyers lacked sufficient momentum to reclaim higher levels. This behavior indicates controlled correction rather than a true trend reversal. Currently, $XAU USD is trading below the descending resistance line and just under the Resistance Level near 5,000, while holding above the Buyer Zone around 4,850. Price action shows compression between horizontal support and dynamic resistance, suggesting that the market is building pressure for the next directional move. The repeated failure to sustain above resistance increases the probability that the range represents distribution rather than accumulation. My primary scenario favors bearish continuation as long as gold remains below the descending resistance line and the 5,000 Resistance Level. A rejection from current levels or from a retest of resistance could trigger another downside leg toward the 4,850 Buyer Zone (TP1), which represents the nearest liquidity and reaction area. A decisive breakdown and acceptance below this support would expose deeper downside levels and confirm continuation of the bearish structure. However, a clean breakout and sustained acceptance above the resistance line and the 5,000 level would invalidate the bearish scenario and suggest a broader bullish recovery. Until such confirmation appears, price behavior and structure continue to favor sellers, with rallies viewed as corrective moves inside a bearish framework.
TRADE $XAU HERE 👇
#GOLD #TrendingTopic #BTCVSGOLD

Bitcoin can drop below 40k later this year! But before that, in the short term, we may see a final drop to 58k, followed by a huge bear market rally to 85k. If you are confused, let's take a look at my prediction:

Short-term: 58k (wave A on the chart)
Mid-term: 85k (wave B on the chart)
Long-term: 40k (wave C on the chart)

From an investment point of view, after we hit 40k, that would be a great buying opportunity because Bitcoin will probably go to 200k in the next years!

Why can Bitcoin go to 58k in the immediate short term? 2 very important levels are waiting to be hit. The first is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous bear market on the non-LOG scale, and the second is the 200-week simple moving average (SMA). Bitcoin bounced off 60k, but we didn't hit these levels, so that means we probably are going to go down very soon. When Bitcoin hits 58, that would complete the wave (A) of the bear market.

After that we may see a big rise to 85k (wave B), when everyone will think that the bottom is in, and these people may invest all their money into the crypto market. But do not get caught! We want to wait for wave (C). Your entry point is at 40k or lower!

What about all the ETF investors? Let's take a look at the BlackRock Bitcoin ETF chart. To me it looks like a huge trap for all investors that invested in Bitcoin in 2024 and 2025. The banks and huge institutions will probably take all stop losses and liquidity below the current all-time low. Does it make sense to you?

Why do whales need your stop losses? They have an enormous amount of money, and they need your order to get "filled" into the crypto market. They cannot buy Bitcoin from no one. They need your orders to enter the crypto space. That's why they cannot send Bitcoin to the upside, and instead they need to manipulate the price and crash Bitcoin again and again. In other words, they will make much more money by sending the price of Bitcoin down!

Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! I am very transparent with my trades. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
#MarketRebound #BTCFellBelow$69,000Again #BTC #TrendingTopic