I’ve closely analyzed the Solana (SOL) chart using pure market structure, focusing on what has already happened and what is most likely to happen next. Based on this analysis, I see two possible scenarios, and both favor a bearish continuation.
Scenario 1: Pullback Before Further Decline
On the weekly timeframe, SOL broke a major structural low at $170.25, which marked a clear trend shift from bullish to bearish. After this shift: SOL created another lower low by breaking $125 This confirms a bearish structure (lower highs and lower lows) In this scenario, a pullback into the weekly supply zone at $178.33–$204.83 is expected.
Once price reaches this zone and forms a lower high, SOL may continue its bearish trend and break below $93, extending the downside move.
Scenario 2: Breakdown Before Pullback
In this case, SOL may: First break below the $93 low, creating a new lower low Then pull back into the weekly supply zone ($178.33–$204.83) Use that zone to form a lower high, confirming bearish continuation This scenario reflects strong bearish momentum, where price does not wait for a pullback before making another breakdown.
Conclusion Both scenarios indicate that SOL remains in a bearish market structure. Until price reclaims key highs and invalidates the current structure, downside risk remains dominant.
If this analysis helped clarify the situation for you, like the post and share your thoughts in the comments. $SOL #solana
$RIVER | $SPACE | $ESP • CYBER/USDT swept all highs to grab liquidity and then dumped back. The real move wasn’t a pump — it was a liquidity grab. The reality of the pair = downside 🤡
$SIREN has tapped the bearish order block and formed a Double Top pattern at that zone, increasing the probability of a pullback toward 0.152 $RIVER $ESP
BTC/USDT is currently trading inside a well-defined descending channel, showing a pattern of lower highs and lower lows. This indicates short-term bearish pressure, but it also sets the stage for a potential high-momentum breakout.
📌 Current Structure BTC is compressing inside the descending channelEach bounce within the channel is getting tighterCompression increases probability of breakout (either upside or downside
This is classic market behavior: the tighter the range, the bigger the potential move once price exits the channel.
🟢 Upside Scenario: Breakout Above 67,700 If BTC breaks above 67,700 with strong momentum and high volume, the next logical target could be around 71,000. Key signs to watch for a valid breakout: Candle closes above the channelVolume spikes above averageRetest of broken resistance (optional confirmation) A clean breakout would signal bullish continuation, giving traders an opportunity for swing trades or momentum entries.
🔴 Downside Scenario: Rejection Within Channel If BTC rejects from the upper boundary and remains within the descending channel: Price may compress furtherMarket could continue sideways before another breakout attemptWatch for a potential lower low formation Patience is key — do not chase trades until breakout is confirmed with strong volume.
🔍 What to Watch Volume spikes at channel boundariesCandle structure at resistance/supportRetest of breakout levels for confirmationOverall market sentiment Tip: Compression in a channel is a setup for high-probability breakout, but risk management is essential.
⚠ Risk Reminder Descending channels can break in either directionUse proper stop lossesAvoid trading on assumptions; wait for confirmation
$SPACE has retested the 4-hour bearish order block and formed an Evening Star pattern at that level, showing rejection and moving down toward the 4-hour bullish FVG. $PIPPIN $RIVER
$RIVER has broken the demand zone, flipping it into supply. Price is currently bouncing, and a possible retest of the new supply zone could lead to continuation to the downside. $PIPPIN $ESP
I know my content focuses more on analysis than pure signals, and that’s intentional.
I only share trades when the probability is high. Otherwise, I provide structured analysis on different crypto pairs so you understand the logic behind every move.
$RIVER | $ESP | $SPACE • DASH/USDT is bouncing from the 4H FVG; if price reaches 36, I’ll look to open a short due to the confluence of a 4H bearish FVG, 1H supply zone, and the 200 EMA acting as resistance
$WLFI | $PIPPIN | $RIVER • SOL/USDT swept the highs and rejected to the downside — a classic liquidity grab.
Right now, price is holding a bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap), which is acting as short-term support.
This is the key decision zone 👇
• If the bullish FVG holds → temporary bounce possible. • If the bullish FVG breaks → a lower low below 76.62 will be expected, confirming bearish continuation.
$WLFI has just delivered a technically significant move that traders should not ignore. After breaking above a key Supply Zone, price successfully flipped that area into a Demand Zone — a classic market structure shift that signals bullish strength. This kind of supply-to-demand flip often confirms that sellers have been absorbed and buyers are now in control. But here’s where it gets interesting…
📌 The Current Situation After the breakout, WLFI rallied upward and tapped into a major resistance level.
At the same time, price touched the 200 EMA, creating a strong confluence zone. And what happened? A rejection candle formed with a clear upper wick, showing selling pressure exactly at resistance + 200 EMA confluence. Now the big question: 👉 Is this just a temporary rejection before another breakout?
👉 Or are we about to see a deeper pullback before continuation?
🧠 Technical Breakdown 1️⃣ Supply → Demand Flip (Bullish Structure Shift) When price breaks a supply zone and holds above it, that zone often becomes demand.
This indicates: Buyers absorbed previous sell ordersMarket sentiment shifted bullishSmart money likely positioned earlier If price holds above this flipped demand zone, continuation remains valid.
2️⃣ Resistance + 200 EMA Confluence The 200 EMA is widely respected by institutions and swing traders.
When resistance aligns with the 200 EMA, it creates:
Liquidity grab potentialRejection probabilityHigh-volatility reaction zone The rejection wick suggests sellers defended this area — but one candle is not confirmation of trend reversal.
🔍 Possible Scenarios 🟢 Scenario 1: Breakout Continuation If price: Consolidates tightly below resistanceHolds above flipped demandShows bullish volume increase
Then we may see a strong breakout above resistance + 200 EMA, leading to momentum expansion. This would confirm: ✔ Rejection was weak
✔ Buyers are accumulating
✔ Breakout loading phase
🔴 Scenario 2: Deeper Pullback Before Continuation If price: Breaks back below flipped demandShows strong bearish momentumFails to reclaim 200 EMA Then a correction toward lower support levels could occur before the next leg up. This would likely be: 🔁 Healthy retracement
🧲 Liquidity sweep
📊 Reset before continuation
🎯 What I’m Watching Volume reaction near 200 EMAStructure on lower timeframesReaction at flipped demand zoneLiquidity sweep above resistance
No confirmation yet — market is at decision point.
⚠ Risk Reminder Confluence increases probability — not certainty. Always wait for confirmation and manage risk properly.