🚨85% of tokens launched in 2025 are trading at a loss
Crypto VC returns have been declining since 2022, the number of new funds is at a 5 year low, and total capital raised is only 12% of the 2022 peak. Most of the money being deployed now was actually raised back in 2022
The model of raise a round → launch a token → dump on retail is slowly dying
As VC influence fades, the market may shift toward projects with real users, real revenue, and fairer launch structures
🇺🇸🚨 : U.S. Crypto Market Structure Bill Could Pass Soon
Former U.S. President Donald Trump stated that a comprehensive crypto market structure bill in the United States could be approved soon a move that may mark a major shift in the regulatory landscape for digital assets
What does the bill aim to address?
Clear division of regulatory oversight between U.S. agencies Defined compliance standards for exchanges and intermediaries Legal clarity on crypto asset classification Reduced regulatory overlap and conflict Why does this matter? For years, the U.S. crypto market has operated under significant regulatory uncertainty, impacting:
Institutional investment decisions Launch of new financial products Growth and expansion of crypto startups
Analysts believe that passing a unified market structure framework could lead to:
✅ Reduced regulatory uncertainty
✅ Increased institutional capital inflows
✅ Stronger U.S. positioning as a global digital asset hub
✅ Innovation supported by clear legal boundaries
If enacted, this legislation could signal the beginning of a new phase of institutional maturity for the crypto market
The key question:
Could this be the spark for the next institutional-driven bull cycle?
🚨Kevin O’Leary aka Mr. Wonderful says that institutions do not want to own more than 3% of Bitcoin in their portfolios because of the risk of quantum computing
Don't believe what financial institutions tell you 🫵🏻
Price is coiling inside a descending wedge after the impulse. That’s not weakness. That’s reloading
As long as the $545–550 base holds, the structure remains bullish: Break of the wedge → acceleration toward $600+ Acceptance above $600 → liquidity magnet at $650–700
This isn’t a second pump that already happened It’s a setup building pressure
Price has been bleeding for months, printing lower highs and lower lows - classic distribution after a euphoric spike. Now it’s grinding directly into a major FVG + historical demand zone around $25–30
That blue circle you marked? That’s not random noise - that’s compression inside a high-timeframe imbalance.
Here’s what matters: 🔹 Massive selloff already happened → weak hands likely flushed 🔹 Price is back at origin of previous expansion 🔹 Volatility contracted → energy building 🔹 Risk/reward is asymmetric at this level
If this base holds and we see displacement + structure shift, the upside vacuum is huge. There’s barely any real resistance until the $80–120 range, and above that it becomes a momentum game
Your projected move toward $250+ isn’t about hope - it’s about mean reversion after extreme expansion and full retrace into inefficiency
Invalidation is simple: lose the zone decisively and accept below it
The biggest change of the past few years isn’t demand, not ETFs, not macro. It’s market structure. The options layer has become so deep that it has rewritten the mechanics of price movement Bitcoin used to run on pure reflexivity. Spot buying and perpetuals fueled momentum. Price went up, shorts got liquidated, market makers chased the move, and those vertical “God candles” appeared. The rally fed itself Now there’s a massive shock absorber in the system options When market makers sell calls, they hedge delta. Price rises they sell spot or futures. The higher the market goes, the more mechanical supply comes in. Upside gets capped not by opinion, but by algorithm At the same time, large holders realized they don’t need to wait for the moon to extract value. Selling covered calls became standard. A structural overhang of calls formed at psychological strikes. As price approaches those levels, gamma hedging kicks in, sell flows appear, and a ceiling forms #BTC shifted from a convex speculative asset into a yield instrument. The scaling of options on the iShares Bitcoin Trust made that fully visible Looking at the progression of limits: 🛑 Late 2024 - approval, 25,000 contract limit 🛑 Mid 2025 - expansion to 250,000. 10x growth. Scalable covered call and vol-selling strategies become viable 🛑 Late 2025 - proposal to increase to 1,000,000 contracts. Near parity with major ETFs 🛑 Early 2026 - removal of special restrictions. Full integration into standard derivatives infrastructure Each step expanded capacity for: 🛑 Call selling 🛑 Basis trades: long spot / short futures 🛑 Systematic volatility harvesting 🛑 Structured yield products If you look at options volume distribution, it’s clear that after ETF derivatives launched, institutional flow began to dominate. The market stopped being one-dimensional. Price is no longer just belief. It’s gamma positioning, volatility supply, and hedge flows from large players Momentum hasn’t disappeared. It’s been redistributed. Before, energy flowed into exponential growth. Now it flows into yield #BTC has entered its institutional phase. Volatility management matters more than direction. By definition, that suppresses the explosive reflexivity that once made cycles vertical And the past few weeks showed another side of financialization. When the market gets overloaded with options positioning, moves don’t accelerate - they break. Not moonshots, but cascading gamma unwinds Crypto didn’t vanish. It became part of the system. And the system now smooths out what used to rip through charts
After the distribution at the highs, sellers took control and pushed price straight into the FVG inside the critical zone (≈ $35.8–36.5). That imbalance is now being tapped and that’s where reactions matter
What I see: The selloff came in a controlled channel → structured, not panic Price is now sitting inside a prior imbalance (FVG). We’re printing compression right above the zone - volatility contraction before expansion If this area holds, we get a textbook intraday reversal setup
Key logic:
If buyers defend the FVG and reclaim ~$37.5–38 with strength → momentum flips → path opens toward $41 first, then $43+
If this zone fails cleanly → next liquidity sits lower and the whole pump narrative gets delayed
Right now it’s decision time
Critical zone touched Balance established Next move defines control
Classic structure First phase - aggressive markdown inside a clean descending channel. Lower highs, controlled sell pressure, no real bid stepping in Then the shift Price compresses at the bottom of the range around $5.8–6.2. Volatility contracts. Sellers stop pushing. That flat base isn’t random - it’s absorption. Supply gets chewed through while everyone calls it dead Now we’re seeing early expansion out of accumulation. Higher lows forming. Momentum flipping. Structure breaking the local range ceiling If this Wyckoff transition plays out fully: - Phase C spring already in - Phase D markup begins - Channel reclaim = fuel Measured move from the base projects toward $13–18 - roughly 2.5–3x from the range lows The key is simple: as long as the accumulation low holds, bias remains expansion Compression → expansion. That’s the game $ZEN
4H chart tells the whole story Clear downtrend. Lower highs, steady bleed, full seller dominance inside the red channel Then price stops dumping around the $30–32 zone strong reaction level, multiple bounces. That’s where the shift started What changed? - Downside momentum faded - Structure stopped printing lower lows - Compression under resistance turned into expansion The breakout above the short term supply flipped the narrative. What used to be resistance became fuel Now price is riding a clean ascending channel with momentum building If buyers keep defending higher lows, the $60–70 area becomes realistic not hopium, structure Key level to watch: reclaim holds above the breakout zone Lose that, and it turns into another fake move Hold it and $DASH enters a completely different phase Market gave the signal Now it’s about follow through $DASH
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