Steven Walgenbach
Crypto journalist, analyst, and software developer | Ecoinimist founder | Twitter - @__CryptoSteve and @ecoinimist
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AVAX Stuck Below Resistance as Bears Hold the Upper Hand
Avalanche’s $AVAX token continues to trade under pressure on the daily chart, with price action reflecting a market that has yet to establish a convincing recovery. Recent sessions have shown a gradual drift lower, with candles slipping beneath important short-term averages while momentum indicators point to weakening bullish conviction.
From a moving average perspective, the short-term trend remains soft. AVAX has been hovering around its fast EMA, but it continues to trade below the more influential 20-day EMA. This positioning typically reflects a market where sellers maintain control, as price has not yet reclaimed the broader trend indicator. The flattening shape of the faster EMA also suggests that bullish momentum is fading rather than accelerating.
Momentum signals offer a cautious outlook. The MACD histogram has moved into positive territory, hinting that bearish pressure is easing, but the indicator remains below the zero line. This usually reflects a transition phase rather than a confirmed reversal. Meanwhile, the RSI sits in the lower neutral zone, showing that buying interest is still limited and the market has room to drift lower before a stronger relief bounce becomes likely.
The nearest resistance sits around the $9.59 region, which aligns with recent price congestion and overhead supply. This zone is likely to act as the first major test for any bullish attempt. A clean break and close above it could open the path toward higher resistance near $12.42 and $12.69, but such a move would likely require a clear shift in sentiment and stronger momentum.
On the downside, the $8.63 level stands as the nearest support, with the $8.32 area acting as the next defensive zone for buyers. A breakdown below these supports would reinforce the bearish structure and potentially accelerate selling pressure.
Order book data adds another layer of caution. Several notable sell walls sit just above the current trading range, particularly between $8.93 and $8.95. These clusters suggest that any short-term upside could face immediate resistance. If cleared, the price may see a modest push higher, but the limited upside implied by these walls indicates that the broader trend still needs stronger buying pressure to shift direction.
For bullish traders, the setup favors waiting for confirmation. A daily close above the $9.59 resistance could signal strengthening momentum and open the door for a move toward the higher resistance band. For bearish traders, the structure still leans toward downside continuation while price remains below the 20-day EMA, with rejection near resistance or a break below $8.63 potentially offering short opportunities.
Overall, the daily outlook for AVAX remains cautiously bearish, with early signs that selling pressure is slowing. However, a meaningful reversal will likely require sustained closes above key resistance levels.
#Avalanche #AVAX #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis
From a moving average perspective, the short-term trend remains soft. AVAX has been hovering around its fast EMA, but it continues to trade below the more influential 20-day EMA. This positioning typically reflects a market where sellers maintain control, as price has not yet reclaimed the broader trend indicator. The flattening shape of the faster EMA also suggests that bullish momentum is fading rather than accelerating.
Momentum signals offer a cautious outlook. The MACD histogram has moved into positive territory, hinting that bearish pressure is easing, but the indicator remains below the zero line. This usually reflects a transition phase rather than a confirmed reversal. Meanwhile, the RSI sits in the lower neutral zone, showing that buying interest is still limited and the market has room to drift lower before a stronger relief bounce becomes likely.
The nearest resistance sits around the $9.59 region, which aligns with recent price congestion and overhead supply. This zone is likely to act as the first major test for any bullish attempt. A clean break and close above it could open the path toward higher resistance near $12.42 and $12.69, but such a move would likely require a clear shift in sentiment and stronger momentum.
On the downside, the $8.63 level stands as the nearest support, with the $8.32 area acting as the next defensive zone for buyers. A breakdown below these supports would reinforce the bearish structure and potentially accelerate selling pressure.
Order book data adds another layer of caution. Several notable sell walls sit just above the current trading range, particularly between $8.93 and $8.95. These clusters suggest that any short-term upside could face immediate resistance. If cleared, the price may see a modest push higher, but the limited upside implied by these walls indicates that the broader trend still needs stronger buying pressure to shift direction.
For bullish traders, the setup favors waiting for confirmation. A daily close above the $9.59 resistance could signal strengthening momentum and open the door for a move toward the higher resistance band. For bearish traders, the structure still leans toward downside continuation while price remains below the 20-day EMA, with rejection near resistance or a break below $8.63 potentially offering short opportunities.
Overall, the daily outlook for AVAX remains cautiously bearish, with early signs that selling pressure is slowing. However, a meaningful reversal will likely require sustained closes above key resistance levels.
#Avalanche #AVAX #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis
XRP at a Decision Point as Liquidity Clusters Signal Imminent Move
XRP is hovering in a sensitive region on the daily chart, with price action showing signs of hesitation after a recent pullback. The asset has struggled to maintain momentum above short-term resistance, while buyers continue to defend lower levels, creating a tightening range that could soon resolve in a decisive directional move.
On the daily timeframe, $XRP is trading below its short- and medium-term moving averages, suggesting that the broader short-term trend remains under pressure. However, the distance between the price and the faster average is relatively small, indicating that bearish momentum is not accelerating. Instead, the short-term trend appears to be flattening, which often reflects a consolidation phase rather than a strong downtrend.
Momentum indicators paint a similar picture. The relative strength index remains below the midpoint, showing that sellers still hold a slight advantage, but it is not in deeply oversold territory. This suggests that the market is not experiencing aggressive downside pressure. At the same time, the MACD structure shows improving conditions, with bearish momentum gradually weakening. This kind of shift often precedes either a relief bounce or a broader trend transition.
From a structural perspective, the market is now approaching a critical resistance zone near $1.4726. A sustained move above this level could indicate that buyers are regaining control, potentially opening the path toward the next resistance around $1.5094. If bullish momentum strengthens further, the higher resistance near $1.9335 becomes a longer-term target.
On the downside, the first major support sits near $1.3635. This zone represents the nearest line of defense for buyers and could attract demand if the price softens further. A breakdown below this level would likely shift sentiment more clearly in favor of sellers, exposing the next support near $1.2146.
Order book data shows heavy liquidity on both sides of the current price, reinforcing the idea that XRP is in a compression phase. Large bid walls around $1.4100, $1.4000, and $1.3500 suggest buyers are ready to defend those zones. Meanwhile, significant sell walls near $1.4800, $1.4900, and $1.5100 indicate strong overhead supply. If buyers absorb these sell orders and push above the upper liquidity band, it could trigger a stronger upside move. Conversely, losing the lower bid walls would likely open the door to deeper downside.
Overall, the technical structure suggests a neutral-to-bearish bias in the short term, but with clear signs that selling pressure is easing. The next major move will likely depend on whether buyers can reclaim nearby resistance or if key support levels begin to fail.
#XRP #CryptoMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoins
On the daily timeframe, $XRP is trading below its short- and medium-term moving averages, suggesting that the broader short-term trend remains under pressure. However, the distance between the price and the faster average is relatively small, indicating that bearish momentum is not accelerating. Instead, the short-term trend appears to be flattening, which often reflects a consolidation phase rather than a strong downtrend.
Momentum indicators paint a similar picture. The relative strength index remains below the midpoint, showing that sellers still hold a slight advantage, but it is not in deeply oversold territory. This suggests that the market is not experiencing aggressive downside pressure. At the same time, the MACD structure shows improving conditions, with bearish momentum gradually weakening. This kind of shift often precedes either a relief bounce or a broader trend transition.
From a structural perspective, the market is now approaching a critical resistance zone near $1.4726. A sustained move above this level could indicate that buyers are regaining control, potentially opening the path toward the next resistance around $1.5094. If bullish momentum strengthens further, the higher resistance near $1.9335 becomes a longer-term target.
On the downside, the first major support sits near $1.3635. This zone represents the nearest line of defense for buyers and could attract demand if the price softens further. A breakdown below this level would likely shift sentiment more clearly in favor of sellers, exposing the next support near $1.2146.
Order book data shows heavy liquidity on both sides of the current price, reinforcing the idea that XRP is in a compression phase. Large bid walls around $1.4100, $1.4000, and $1.3500 suggest buyers are ready to defend those zones. Meanwhile, significant sell walls near $1.4800, $1.4900, and $1.5100 indicate strong overhead supply. If buyers absorb these sell orders and push above the upper liquidity band, it could trigger a stronger upside move. Conversely, losing the lower bid walls would likely open the door to deeper downside.
Overall, the technical structure suggests a neutral-to-bearish bias in the short term, but with clear signs that selling pressure is easing. The next major move will likely depend on whether buyers can reclaim nearby resistance or if key support levels begin to fail.
#XRP #CryptoMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoins
Arbitrum Nears Decision Point as ARB Tests Critical Support
Arbitrum’s ARB token is approaching a key support zone on the daily chart after a series of lower closes, signaling that bearish pressure still dominates the broader structure. Recent price action shows that each recovery attempt has been met with renewed selling, suggesting that the market remains in a corrective phase rather than the start of a sustained uptrend.
The trend continues to lean negative, with the price trading below both short-term and medium-term exponential moving averages. This alignment reflects a market where momentum favors the downside, as rallies struggle to hold and are quickly absorbed by sellers. Until the price can reclaim these dynamic resistance levels, the broader structure is likely to remain under pressure.
Momentum indicators, however, are beginning to show subtle signs of stabilization. The MACD histogram has started to print mild positive bars, hinting that bearish momentum may be slowing. While this does not confirm a reversal, it often signals a transition phase where the market may consolidate or attempt a short-term rebound.
At the same time, the Relative Strength Index remains in oversold territory, suggesting that selling pressure has been intense and may be nearing exhaustion. Oversold conditions often precede relief rallies, particularly when they coincide with major support levels. Still, such signals must be treated cautiously, as assets can remain oversold for extended periods during strong downtrends.
The immediate support around $0.1077 now represents a crucial level for bulls to defend. Holding this zone could provide the foundation for a short-term bounce. On the upside, the first meaningful resistance sits near $0.1205, which must be reclaimed to signal any shift in short-term sentiment. A sustained move above this barrier could open the path toward higher resistance zones around $0.1971 and $0.2206, though each level is likely to attract selling interest.
Order book data shows significant bid walls well below the current price, particularly around the $0.0816, $0.0417, and $0.0403 regions. These areas could act as deeper demand zones if the downtrend accelerates, but their distance from current levels highlights the potential for sharp drawdowns if support fails. On the upside, notable ask walls around $0.1700, $0.2200, and $0.2300 indicate that any recovery will likely face heavy supply.
For traders, the structure presents two clear scenarios. A bullish setup would depend on the price holding above the $0.1077 support and reclaiming the $0.1205 resistance, which could indicate that sellers are losing control. Conversely, a break below support would reinforce the bearish trend and may present short opportunities, particularly on retests of the broken level.
Overall, the technical outlook remains cautiously bearish, though oversold conditions suggest the possibility of a short-term bounce if buyers step in at key levels.
#Arbitrum #CryptoMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoins
The trend continues to lean negative, with the price trading below both short-term and medium-term exponential moving averages. This alignment reflects a market where momentum favors the downside, as rallies struggle to hold and are quickly absorbed by sellers. Until the price can reclaim these dynamic resistance levels, the broader structure is likely to remain under pressure.
Momentum indicators, however, are beginning to show subtle signs of stabilization. The MACD histogram has started to print mild positive bars, hinting that bearish momentum may be slowing. While this does not confirm a reversal, it often signals a transition phase where the market may consolidate or attempt a short-term rebound.
At the same time, the Relative Strength Index remains in oversold territory, suggesting that selling pressure has been intense and may be nearing exhaustion. Oversold conditions often precede relief rallies, particularly when they coincide with major support levels. Still, such signals must be treated cautiously, as assets can remain oversold for extended periods during strong downtrends.
The immediate support around $0.1077 now represents a crucial level for bulls to defend. Holding this zone could provide the foundation for a short-term bounce. On the upside, the first meaningful resistance sits near $0.1205, which must be reclaimed to signal any shift in short-term sentiment. A sustained move above this barrier could open the path toward higher resistance zones around $0.1971 and $0.2206, though each level is likely to attract selling interest.
Order book data shows significant bid walls well below the current price, particularly around the $0.0816, $0.0417, and $0.0403 regions. These areas could act as deeper demand zones if the downtrend accelerates, but their distance from current levels highlights the potential for sharp drawdowns if support fails. On the upside, notable ask walls around $0.1700, $0.2200, and $0.2300 indicate that any recovery will likely face heavy supply.
For traders, the structure presents two clear scenarios. A bullish setup would depend on the price holding above the $0.1077 support and reclaiming the $0.1205 resistance, which could indicate that sellers are losing control. Conversely, a break below support would reinforce the bearish trend and may present short opportunities, particularly on retests of the broken level.
Overall, the technical outlook remains cautiously bearish, though oversold conditions suggest the possibility of a short-term bounce if buyers step in at key levels.
#Arbitrum #CryptoMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoins
Arthur Hayes is sounding the alarm on what he sees as a potential AI-driven credit crisis—and he thinks Bitcoin may already be hinting at it.
In a recent blog post, the BitMEX co-founder argues that Bitcoin is acting as a “fiat liquidity fire alarm,” pointing to its recent divergence from the Nasdaq as a warning sign. While tech stocks have remained relatively steady, Bitcoin’s pullback could be signaling tightening credit conditions beneath the surface.
Hayes’ core thesis is that rapid AI adoption could lead to large-scale layoffs among white-collar knowledge workers, many of whom carry significant consumer debt and mortgages. If even a portion of those workers lose their jobs, he believes it could strain bank balance sheets and trigger a broader credit contraction.
In that scenario, markets would likely move into a deflationary phase first. But, as in previous crises, Hayes expects central banks to eventually step in with aggressive liquidity measures. That wave of money printing, he argues, could ultimately push Bitcoin to new highs after the initial shock.
For now, his advice is simple: stay liquid, avoid excessive leverage, and wait for clear signals that central banks are ready to turn the liquidity taps back on.
#AI #Bitcoin $BTC
In a recent blog post, the BitMEX co-founder argues that Bitcoin is acting as a “fiat liquidity fire alarm,” pointing to its recent divergence from the Nasdaq as a warning sign. While tech stocks have remained relatively steady, Bitcoin’s pullback could be signaling tightening credit conditions beneath the surface.
Hayes’ core thesis is that rapid AI adoption could lead to large-scale layoffs among white-collar knowledge workers, many of whom carry significant consumer debt and mortgages. If even a portion of those workers lose their jobs, he believes it could strain bank balance sheets and trigger a broader credit contraction.
In that scenario, markets would likely move into a deflationary phase first. But, as in previous crises, Hayes expects central banks to eventually step in with aggressive liquidity measures. That wave of money printing, he argues, could ultimately push Bitcoin to new highs after the initial shock.
For now, his advice is simple: stay liquid, avoid excessive leverage, and wait for clear signals that central banks are ready to turn the liquidity taps back on.
#AI #Bitcoin $BTC
A new regulatory battle is taking shape around prediction markets in the U.S., and it could have big implications for both crypto and traditional finance.
#CFTC Chair Mike Selig has warned that the federal derivatives regulator—not individual states—has authority over event-contract platforms like #Polymarket and Kalshi. Several states disagree, especially when it comes to sports-related contracts, and legal fights are already underway.
The dispute is about more than just prediction markets. It touches on a broader question: should these platforms be treated as financial derivatives under federal oversight, or as a form of online gambling regulated by states?
With major players moving into the sector and politically connected firms exploring the space, the outcome of these court battles could shape the future of prediction markets in the U.S. for years to come.
#PredictionMarkets
#CFTC Chair Mike Selig has warned that the federal derivatives regulator—not individual states—has authority over event-contract platforms like #Polymarket and Kalshi. Several states disagree, especially when it comes to sports-related contracts, and legal fights are already underway.
The dispute is about more than just prediction markets. It touches on a broader question: should these platforms be treated as financial derivatives under federal oversight, or as a form of online gambling regulated by states?
With major players moving into the sector and politically connected firms exploring the space, the outcome of these court battles could shape the future of prediction markets in the U.S. for years to come.
#PredictionMarkets
Stripe’s stablecoin infrastructure arm, Bridge, just took a significant step toward becoming a federally regulated crypto bank.
The company has received conditional approval from the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency to form a national trust bank, which would allow it to issue stablecoins, custody digital assets, and manage reserves under direct federal oversight.
The move is part of Stripe’s broader push into blockchain-based payments following its $1.1 billion acquisition of Bridge in 2024. If final approval comes through, Bridge would join a growing group of firms looking to operate stablecoin products inside a formal U.S. regulatory framework shaped by the GENIUS Act.
It’s another signal that #stablecoins are steadily moving from the crypto-native world into the core of regulated financial infrastructure.
#Stripe #Bridge #CryptoNews
The company has received conditional approval from the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency to form a national trust bank, which would allow it to issue stablecoins, custody digital assets, and manage reserves under direct federal oversight.
The move is part of Stripe’s broader push into blockchain-based payments following its $1.1 billion acquisition of Bridge in 2024. If final approval comes through, Bridge would join a growing group of firms looking to operate stablecoin products inside a formal U.S. regulatory framework shaped by the GENIUS Act.
It’s another signal that #stablecoins are steadily moving from the crypto-native world into the core of regulated financial infrastructure.
#Stripe #Bridge #CryptoNews
The #Aleo Network Foundation and #Provable Labs have officially launched Shield Wallet, a self-custodial interface designed to serve as the primary gateway for private finance on the Aleo blockchain. This release arrives as stablecoins increasingly transition from speculative trading tools into practical instruments for payroll, cross-border payments, and corporate treasury.
By integrating directly with Aleo’s zero-knowledge infrastructure, the wallet aims to solve the transparency dilemma that has historically hindered institutional adoption of public blockchains, where sensitive financial data is typically visible to anyone with an internet connection.
Built with a private-by-default architecture, Shield Wallet utilizes zero-knowledge cryptography to obscure nearly every detail of a transaction, including account balances, transfer amounts, counterparties, and even network fees. This level of confidentiality is intended to mirror the privacy found in traditional banking while maintaining the decentralized benefits of blockchain technology. For businesses, this means the ability to settle invoices or distribute salaries without exposing trade secrets or employee data to the public.
#Stablecoins #CryptoNews
By integrating directly with Aleo’s zero-knowledge infrastructure, the wallet aims to solve the transparency dilemma that has historically hindered institutional adoption of public blockchains, where sensitive financial data is typically visible to anyone with an internet connection.
Built with a private-by-default architecture, Shield Wallet utilizes zero-knowledge cryptography to obscure nearly every detail of a transaction, including account balances, transfer amounts, counterparties, and even network fees. This level of confidentiality is intended to mirror the privacy found in traditional banking while maintaining the decentralized benefits of blockchain technology. For businesses, this means the ability to settle invoices or distribute salaries without exposing trade secrets or employee data to the public.
#Stablecoins #CryptoNews
Changpeng Zhao is sounding the alarm on one of crypto’s biggest blind spots: privacy.
The #Binance co-founder recently argued that the lack of confidentiality in onchain transactions could be the missing piece preventing crypto from becoming a true payment medium. His point is simple but powerful—if a company pays salaries or vendors onchain today, anyone can trace those payments and see exactly who got paid what.
That kind of transparency might work for public ledgers, but it’s a non-starter for most businesses. Payroll, supplier contracts, and treasury movements are all sensitive data. If competitors—or even bad actors—can track that information, it creates both strategic and physical security risks.
CZ’s comments also echo a broader revival of the cypherpunk ethos that originally inspired cryptocurrencies: the idea that encryption and privacy are fundamental rights in a digital economy. Several industry voices now argue that without stronger privacy layers, institutions simply won’t move serious financial activity onchain.
There’s also a growing concern that AI could make the problem worse. As data analysis tools become more powerful, even small pieces of public transaction data could be stitched together to reveal sensitive business insights.
The takeaway is clear: transparency may have helped crypto build trust, but privacy could be what finally drives real-world adoption.
#CZ #Adoption #Crypto
The #Binance co-founder recently argued that the lack of confidentiality in onchain transactions could be the missing piece preventing crypto from becoming a true payment medium. His point is simple but powerful—if a company pays salaries or vendors onchain today, anyone can trace those payments and see exactly who got paid what.
That kind of transparency might work for public ledgers, but it’s a non-starter for most businesses. Payroll, supplier contracts, and treasury movements are all sensitive data. If competitors—or even bad actors—can track that information, it creates both strategic and physical security risks.
CZ’s comments also echo a broader revival of the cypherpunk ethos that originally inspired cryptocurrencies: the idea that encryption and privacy are fundamental rights in a digital economy. Several industry voices now argue that without stronger privacy layers, institutions simply won’t move serious financial activity onchain.
There’s also a growing concern that AI could make the problem worse. As data analysis tools become more powerful, even small pieces of public transaction data could be stitched together to reveal sensitive business insights.
The takeaway is clear: transparency may have helped crypto build trust, but privacy could be what finally drives real-world adoption.
#CZ #Adoption #Crypto
Two US senators are turning up the pressure on the Treasury Department over a foreign investment tied to a Trump-linked crypto venture—and the concerns go beyond politics.
Senators Elizabeth Warren and Andy Kim are asking officials to investigate a reported $500 million deal in which a UAE-backed fund would take a 49% stake in World Liberty Financial. The transaction, which allegedly took place just days before Donald Trump’s inauguration, could make the foreign vehicle the company’s largest shareholder.
Their main concern? National security and access to sensitive data. The lawmakers argue that the structure of the deal could give a foreign government influence over a company that handles financial and personal information about US users, including wallet addresses, device data, and location details.
They’re urging the Treasury Department and CFIUS—the committee that reviews foreign investments for security risks—to conduct a full investigation and confirm whether the transaction was properly disclosed.
The situation is further complicated by reports that the investment is tied to senior UAE leadership and tech entities that have previously faced scrutiny from US intelligence agencies.
Meanwhile, Donald Trump has distanced himself from the deal, saying he’s not directly involved and that his sons are handling the family’s crypto-related investments.
The broader takeaway: as crypto projects become more intertwined with politics and global capital, national security and data-privacy questions are likely to move closer to the center of the conversation.
#Trump #WLFI
Senators Elizabeth Warren and Andy Kim are asking officials to investigate a reported $500 million deal in which a UAE-backed fund would take a 49% stake in World Liberty Financial. The transaction, which allegedly took place just days before Donald Trump’s inauguration, could make the foreign vehicle the company’s largest shareholder.
Their main concern? National security and access to sensitive data. The lawmakers argue that the structure of the deal could give a foreign government influence over a company that handles financial and personal information about US users, including wallet addresses, device data, and location details.
They’re urging the Treasury Department and CFIUS—the committee that reviews foreign investments for security risks—to conduct a full investigation and confirm whether the transaction was properly disclosed.
The situation is further complicated by reports that the investment is tied to senior UAE leadership and tech entities that have previously faced scrutiny from US intelligence agencies.
Meanwhile, Donald Trump has distanced himself from the deal, saying he’s not directly involved and that his sons are handling the family’s crypto-related investments.
The broader takeaway: as crypto projects become more intertwined with politics and global capital, national security and data-privacy questions are likely to move closer to the center of the conversation.
#Trump #WLFI
Michael Saylor is doubling down on Bitcoin again—and the buying streak just won’t stop.
The Strategy co-founder hinted over the weekend that the company is preparing for another BTC purchase, which would mark the 12th consecutive week of accumulation. Saylor’s signature chart, often used as a signal that a new buy is imminent, is now pointing toward the firm’s 99th Bitcoin transaction.
Strategy last added to its holdings on Feb. 9, picking up more than 1,100 BTC for over $90 million. That brought the company’s total stash to more than 714,000 Bitcoin, worth roughly $49 billion at current prices.
What makes the latest signal notable is the timing. Bitcoin is still trading well below its previous highs after a major market downturn, and the price has dipped under Strategy’s average acquisition cost. Many analysts had speculated the company might slow down or pause its buying if the market weakened—but the opposite appears to be happening.
Instead, Strategy seems committed to its long-term Bitcoin treasury strategy, continuing to accumulate even as the broader crypto treasury sector struggles. Several companies in the space have seen their valuation premiums collapse, with key metrics like mNAV dropping below 1, which makes raising capital more difficult.
Strategy itself hasn’t been immune. The company recently reported a multi-billion-dollar quarterly loss, and its stock took a hit before partially recovering.
Still, Saylor’s message remains consistent: volatility is just part of the journey. And if the signals are correct, Strategy is about to add even more Bitcoin to its already massive balance sheet.
#Bitcoin #MSTR $BTC #strategy #MichaelSaylor
The Strategy co-founder hinted over the weekend that the company is preparing for another BTC purchase, which would mark the 12th consecutive week of accumulation. Saylor’s signature chart, often used as a signal that a new buy is imminent, is now pointing toward the firm’s 99th Bitcoin transaction.
Strategy last added to its holdings on Feb. 9, picking up more than 1,100 BTC for over $90 million. That brought the company’s total stash to more than 714,000 Bitcoin, worth roughly $49 billion at current prices.
What makes the latest signal notable is the timing. Bitcoin is still trading well below its previous highs after a major market downturn, and the price has dipped under Strategy’s average acquisition cost. Many analysts had speculated the company might slow down or pause its buying if the market weakened—but the opposite appears to be happening.
Instead, Strategy seems committed to its long-term Bitcoin treasury strategy, continuing to accumulate even as the broader crypto treasury sector struggles. Several companies in the space have seen their valuation premiums collapse, with key metrics like mNAV dropping below 1, which makes raising capital more difficult.
Strategy itself hasn’t been immune. The company recently reported a multi-billion-dollar quarterly loss, and its stock took a hit before partially recovering.
Still, Saylor’s message remains consistent: volatility is just part of the journey. And if the signals are correct, Strategy is about to add even more Bitcoin to its already massive balance sheet.
#Bitcoin #MSTR $BTC #strategy #MichaelSaylor
Apollo is making a deeper move into DeFi—and this time it’s through Morpho.
The traditional finance heavyweight has signed a cooperation agreement with the decentralized lending platform, with plans to acquire up to 90 million $MORPHO tokens over the next four years. That would represent roughly 9% of the protocol’s total supply, signaling a long-term strategic bet rather than a short-term trade.
Beyond the token purchase, the two sides say they’ll work together to support onchain lending markets built on Morpho’s infrastructure. While the details are still light, the partnership points to growing institutional confidence in DeFi as a legitimate extension of traditional capital markets.
The market reacted quickly. MORPHO jumped nearly 18% over the weekend following the announcement, even though the token remains down over the past year amid broader market weakness.
Morpho currently ranks among the top #DeFi protocols by total value locked, and this deal adds to a string of recent partnerships, including collaborations with Bitwise and Bitcoin-focused DeFi projects.
For Apollo, it’s another step in a steady push into crypto—from stablecoin credit strategies with Coinbase to investments in tokenized real-world asset platforms.
The bigger picture: institutions aren’t just experimenting with crypto anymore—they’re starting to take meaningful positions inside DeFi protocols themselves.
#InstitutionalAdoption #Apollo #CryptoNews
The traditional finance heavyweight has signed a cooperation agreement with the decentralized lending platform, with plans to acquire up to 90 million $MORPHO tokens over the next four years. That would represent roughly 9% of the protocol’s total supply, signaling a long-term strategic bet rather than a short-term trade.
Beyond the token purchase, the two sides say they’ll work together to support onchain lending markets built on Morpho’s infrastructure. While the details are still light, the partnership points to growing institutional confidence in DeFi as a legitimate extension of traditional capital markets.
The market reacted quickly. MORPHO jumped nearly 18% over the weekend following the announcement, even though the token remains down over the past year amid broader market weakness.
Morpho currently ranks among the top #DeFi protocols by total value locked, and this deal adds to a string of recent partnerships, including collaborations with Bitwise and Bitcoin-focused DeFi projects.
For Apollo, it’s another step in a steady push into crypto—from stablecoin credit strategies with Coinbase to investments in tokenized real-world asset platforms.
The bigger picture: institutions aren’t just experimenting with crypto anymore—they’re starting to take meaningful positions inside DeFi protocols themselves.
#InstitutionalAdoption #Apollo #CryptoNews
Brad Garlinghouse just took a direct shot at Elizabeth Holmes—and the exchange is getting attention across crypto and tech circles.
After the former Theranos CEO posted on X that “if the govt comes for you, YOU. CAN’T. WIN,” the Ripple chief fired back with a blunt reply: “Not True.” The short response triggered a quick back-and-forth that put two very different legal battles side by side.
Holmes pointed to Ripple’s SEC case, noting the company still paid a $125 million penalty to settle. But many in the crypto industry see the outcome differently. After years of litigation, a federal court ruled that XRP sales on public exchanges were not securities transactions—a decision widely viewed as a major precedent.
The contrast between the two cases is stark. Ripple faced a civil securities lawsuit over token sales. Holmes faced criminal fraud charges tied to the collapse of Theranos—and is now serving more than a decade in federal prison.
Still, the exchange has sparked a bigger conversation online:
Is it actually possible to fight the government and come out ahead?
For much of the crypto industry, the Ripple case remains a rare example of a company pushing back against regulators—and surviving the fight.
#Ripple $XRP #BradGarlinghouse #ElizabethHolmes
After the former Theranos CEO posted on X that “if the govt comes for you, YOU. CAN’T. WIN,” the Ripple chief fired back with a blunt reply: “Not True.” The short response triggered a quick back-and-forth that put two very different legal battles side by side.
Holmes pointed to Ripple’s SEC case, noting the company still paid a $125 million penalty to settle. But many in the crypto industry see the outcome differently. After years of litigation, a federal court ruled that XRP sales on public exchanges were not securities transactions—a decision widely viewed as a major precedent.
The contrast between the two cases is stark. Ripple faced a civil securities lawsuit over token sales. Holmes faced criminal fraud charges tied to the collapse of Theranos—and is now serving more than a decade in federal prison.
Still, the exchange has sparked a bigger conversation online:
Is it actually possible to fight the government and come out ahead?
For much of the crypto industry, the Ripple case remains a rare example of a company pushing back against regulators—and surviving the fight.
#Ripple $XRP #BradGarlinghouse #ElizabethHolmes
Dogecoin is starting to show early signs of life on the daily chart after spending weeks under pressure.
Recent sessions have pushed the price higher, with momentum indicators moving out of oversold territory and turning more constructive. It’s not a full trend reversal yet, but the shift suggests that sellers may be losing control while buyers gradually step back in.
Key support is now forming just below the current price, while several order-book buy walls are reinforcing that area. On the upside, the next test for bulls sits around the major resistance zone near 0.126, where a break could open the door to a stronger continuation move.
For now, DOGE looks like it’s in a transition phase — no longer clearly bearish, but still needing confirmation before a sustained uptrend can take shape.
$DOGE #Memecoins #Dogecoin
Recent sessions have pushed the price higher, with momentum indicators moving out of oversold territory and turning more constructive. It’s not a full trend reversal yet, but the shift suggests that sellers may be losing control while buyers gradually step back in.
Key support is now forming just below the current price, while several order-book buy walls are reinforcing that area. On the upside, the next test for bulls sits around the major resistance zone near 0.126, where a break could open the door to a stronger continuation move.
For now, DOGE looks like it’s in a transition phase — no longer clearly bearish, but still needing confirmation before a sustained uptrend can take shape.
$DOGE #Memecoins #Dogecoin
Vitalik Buterin is starting to question where prediction markets are heading.
In a recent post, the Ethereum co-founder warned that many platforms are drifting toward short-term speculation instead of building tools with real economic value. Rather than focusing on quick bets about prices or headlines, he believes prediction markets could evolve into systems that help people manage the rising cost of everyday goods and services.
Buterin’s idea is to combine onchain prediction markets with AI tools that understand a user’s spending habits. These systems could then suggest personalized hedging positions designed to offset future price increases. In other words, prediction markets wouldn’t just forecast the future—they could help people financially prepare for it.
Supporters of the sector still argue that prediction markets are valuable as crowd-sourced intelligence platforms, often producing more accurate forecasts than traditional polls. But Buterin’s comments highlight a broader debate about whether these markets will remain speculative venues or mature into practical financial infrastructure.
If his vision gains traction, prediction markets could shift from betting platforms to tools that help households and businesses navigate inflation and economic uncertainty.
#PredictionMarkets #Ethereum $ETH
In a recent post, the Ethereum co-founder warned that many platforms are drifting toward short-term speculation instead of building tools with real economic value. Rather than focusing on quick bets about prices or headlines, he believes prediction markets could evolve into systems that help people manage the rising cost of everyday goods and services.
Buterin’s idea is to combine onchain prediction markets with AI tools that understand a user’s spending habits. These systems could then suggest personalized hedging positions designed to offset future price increases. In other words, prediction markets wouldn’t just forecast the future—they could help people financially prepare for it.
Supporters of the sector still argue that prediction markets are valuable as crowd-sourced intelligence platforms, often producing more accurate forecasts than traditional polls. But Buterin’s comments highlight a broader debate about whether these markets will remain speculative venues or mature into practical financial infrastructure.
If his vision gains traction, prediction markets could shift from betting platforms to tools that help households and businesses navigate inflation and economic uncertainty.
#PredictionMarkets #Ethereum $ETH
Bitcoin just posted a 4% move in 24 hours, which is a welcome sight after the recent market slump. But zooming out to the daily chart, the bigger picture still looks uncertain.
Momentum indicators suggest that selling pressure is starting to fade, and the bounce from oversold conditions could open the door for a short-term recovery. At the same time, Bitcoin is still trading below key moving averages, which means the broader trend hasn’t fully turned bullish yet.
The next move will likely depend on how price reacts around the nearest resistance zone. A strong push above it could shift sentiment and trigger further upside, while rejection there may bring sellers back into control.
For now, the market looks like it’s at a crossroads — and the next few daily closes could set the tone for Bitcoin’s short-term direction. #Bitcoin #CryptoMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis $BTC
Momentum indicators suggest that selling pressure is starting to fade, and the bounce from oversold conditions could open the door for a short-term recovery. At the same time, Bitcoin is still trading below key moving averages, which means the broader trend hasn’t fully turned bullish yet.
The next move will likely depend on how price reacts around the nearest resistance zone. A strong push above it could shift sentiment and trigger further upside, while rejection there may bring sellers back into control.
For now, the market looks like it’s at a crossroads — and the next few daily closes could set the tone for Bitcoin’s short-term direction. #Bitcoin #CryptoMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis $BTC
Ethereum is up more than 4%, giving the market a bit of relief after a rough start to 2026. But the daily chart still paints a cautious picture.
Momentum indicators are starting to stabilize after dipping into oversold territory, which often signals that selling pressure is cooling. At the same time, price is still trading below key moving averages, meaning the broader trend hasn’t fully shifted back in favor of the bulls just yet.
The next few sessions will be important. If Ethereum can break and hold above nearby resistance, the move could develop into a more meaningful recovery. But a rejection at these levels may confirm that this is just a short-term bounce within a larger downtrend.
It’s a classic moment where the market is trying to decide its next direction, and traders are watching closely. #Ethereum #CryptoMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis $ETH
Momentum indicators are starting to stabilize after dipping into oversold territory, which often signals that selling pressure is cooling. At the same time, price is still trading below key moving averages, meaning the broader trend hasn’t fully shifted back in favor of the bulls just yet.
The next few sessions will be important. If Ethereum can break and hold above nearby resistance, the move could develop into a more meaningful recovery. But a rejection at these levels may confirm that this is just a short-term bounce within a larger downtrend.
It’s a classic moment where the market is trying to decide its next direction, and traders are watching closely. #Ethereum #CryptoMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis $ETH
Meme coins may not be as “finished” as many traders think.
According to a new report from Santiment, the growing narrative that the meme coin era is over could actually be a classic capitulation signal. Historically, when an entire sector gets written off and sentiment turns overwhelmingly bearish, it often marks the point where a reversal begins.
Over the past month, the meme coin market cap has dropped sharply, and major names like Dogecoin have seen significant pullbacks. But Santiment points out that this wave of pessimism and “nostalgia” is exactly the kind of environment that has preceded recoveries in previous cycles.
At the same time, some analysts believe the next altcoin season may be more selective than past ones, with capital flowing into specific projects rather than lifting the entire market.
For now, sentiment remains cautious. But if history is any guide, the sectors the crowd abandons first are often the ones that surprise them the most.
#Crypto #Memecoins #DigitalAssets #Altcoins
According to a new report from Santiment, the growing narrative that the meme coin era is over could actually be a classic capitulation signal. Historically, when an entire sector gets written off and sentiment turns overwhelmingly bearish, it often marks the point where a reversal begins.
Over the past month, the meme coin market cap has dropped sharply, and major names like Dogecoin have seen significant pullbacks. But Santiment points out that this wave of pessimism and “nostalgia” is exactly the kind of environment that has preceded recoveries in previous cycles.
At the same time, some analysts believe the next altcoin season may be more selective than past ones, with capital flowing into specific projects rather than lifting the entire market.
For now, sentiment remains cautious. But if history is any guide, the sectors the crowd abandons first are often the ones that surprise them the most.
#Crypto #Memecoins #DigitalAssets #Altcoins
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the CLARITY crypto market structure bill could play a key role in restoring confidence during the current downturn.
In a recent interview, he pointed out that markets are dealing with one of their more volatile periods, and clearer rules for digital assets could give investors and companies the certainty they’ve been waiting for. According to Bessent, getting the bill passed sooner rather than later is critical—especially with the 2026 midterm elections approaching.
He also warned that a shift in political power could make it much harder to push pro-crypto legislation through Congress, which means the window for major policy moves may be shorter than it seems.
The broader message is simple: in uncertain markets, regulatory clarity isn’t just a legal issue—it can be a confidence booster for the entire industry.
#Crypto #Regulation #Fintech #DigitalAssets
In a recent interview, he pointed out that markets are dealing with one of their more volatile periods, and clearer rules for digital assets could give investors and companies the certainty they’ve been waiting for. According to Bessent, getting the bill passed sooner rather than later is critical—especially with the 2026 midterm elections approaching.
He also warned that a shift in political power could make it much harder to push pro-crypto legislation through Congress, which means the window for major policy moves may be shorter than it seems.
The broader message is simple: in uncertain markets, regulatory clarity isn’t just a legal issue—it can be a confidence booster for the entire industry.
#Crypto #Regulation #Fintech #DigitalAssets
Brave Study Questions Security of Zero-Knowledge Login Systems
Brave’s latest research is sparking an important conversation around zero-knowledge login systems and how they’re being deployed in the real world.
In a new paper, the team examined zkLogin, a popular zero-knowledge authorization model used in the Sui ecosystem, and found that many of its security guarantees depend on external assumptions rather than the cryptography itself. The issue, according to the researchers, isn’t broken zero-knowledge proofs, but how they interact with messy, real-world authentication systems like JWTs and OpenID Connect.
The study highlights three main concerns: ambiguous token parsing, weak bindings between authentication and authorization, and increased centralization around a small group of identity providers and external services. Together, these factors could create impersonation, privacy, and governance risks.
The broader takeaway is clear: zero-knowledge proofs can only be as secure as the systems and assumptions around them. When web authentication tokens are turned into long-lived blockchain credentials, the trust model has to be designed just as carefully as the cryptography.
As ZK identity solutions gain traction across wallets and decentralized apps, research like this serves as a reminder that privacy-preserving systems still need strong, end-to-end security models to live up to their promises. #Cybersecurity #ZK #BlockchainSecurity #Brave
Brave’s latest research is sparking an important conversation around zero-knowledge login systems and how they’re being deployed in the real world.
In a new paper, the team examined zkLogin, a popular zero-knowledge authorization model used in the Sui ecosystem, and found that many of its security guarantees depend on external assumptions rather than the cryptography itself. The issue, according to the researchers, isn’t broken zero-knowledge proofs, but how they interact with messy, real-world authentication systems like JWTs and OpenID Connect.
The study highlights three main concerns: ambiguous token parsing, weak bindings between authentication and authorization, and increased centralization around a small group of identity providers and external services. Together, these factors could create impersonation, privacy, and governance risks.
The broader takeaway is clear: zero-knowledge proofs can only be as secure as the systems and assumptions around them. When web authentication tokens are turned into long-lived blockchain credentials, the trust model has to be designed just as carefully as the cryptography.
As ZK identity solutions gain traction across wallets and decentralized apps, research like this serves as a reminder that privacy-preserving systems still need strong, end-to-end security models to live up to their promises. #Cybersecurity #ZK #BlockchainSecurity #Brave
World Liberty Financial is pushing deeper into global payments—and aiming straight at one of the largest financial markets in the world.
The DeFi platform, which is linked to the family of U.S. President Donald Trump, is preparing to launch a new foreign exchange and remittance product called World Swap. The service is designed to handle currency conversion and cross-border transfers, positioning the project as a lower-cost alternative to traditional money transfer providers.
The move would place World Liberty Financial in direct competition with established FX and remittance firms. Global foreign exchange trading volumes surpassed $9 trillion per day in 2025, while annual personal remittance flows approached $900 billion in 2024. By targeting both markets, the project is attempting to tap into a massive segment of global finance.
World Swap is part of a broader strategy to build out a full-stack financial ecosystem around the platform’s DeFi infrastructure. The company has already launched a lending service and previously sought a national trust bank charter, signaling ambitions to operate across multiple financial verticals. Adding FX and remittance capabilities would extend its reach into everyday payment use cases, particularly cross-border transfers where fees remain high.
If successful, the expansion could give the platform a foothold in one of the most widely used financial services worldwide, while also bringing crypto-based payment rails into direct competition with legacy providers.
However, the project’s growth plans have attracted political scrutiny in Washington. Reports earlier this year indicated that a UAE-linked investment entity acquired a major stake in the platform in a deal worth hundreds of millions of dollars. The transaction drew attention from several Democratic lawmakers, who raised concerns about transparency and the potential implications of foreign investment into a crypto venture connected to the president’s family.
#Crypto #DeFi #Fintech $WLFI #Trump
The DeFi platform, which is linked to the family of U.S. President Donald Trump, is preparing to launch a new foreign exchange and remittance product called World Swap. The service is designed to handle currency conversion and cross-border transfers, positioning the project as a lower-cost alternative to traditional money transfer providers.
The move would place World Liberty Financial in direct competition with established FX and remittance firms. Global foreign exchange trading volumes surpassed $9 trillion per day in 2025, while annual personal remittance flows approached $900 billion in 2024. By targeting both markets, the project is attempting to tap into a massive segment of global finance.
World Swap is part of a broader strategy to build out a full-stack financial ecosystem around the platform’s DeFi infrastructure. The company has already launched a lending service and previously sought a national trust bank charter, signaling ambitions to operate across multiple financial verticals. Adding FX and remittance capabilities would extend its reach into everyday payment use cases, particularly cross-border transfers where fees remain high.
If successful, the expansion could give the platform a foothold in one of the most widely used financial services worldwide, while also bringing crypto-based payment rails into direct competition with legacy providers.
However, the project’s growth plans have attracted political scrutiny in Washington. Reports earlier this year indicated that a UAE-linked investment entity acquired a major stake in the platform in a deal worth hundreds of millions of dollars. The transaction drew attention from several Democratic lawmakers, who raised concerns about transparency and the potential implications of foreign investment into a crypto venture connected to the president’s family.
#Crypto #DeFi #Fintech $WLFI #Trump
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