1. 📊 Stage Determination Main Stage: After distribution enters the sell-off phase (O - Markdown) Specific Sub-stage/Event: Completed the 'Buying Climax' (BC) and 'Distribution Range', currently in a strong downward trend, recently experienced a collapse after the 'Last Point of Supply' (LPSY). Confidence Level: ★★★★☆ (Clear signals, definite trend)
2. 🔍 Key Findings and Logic
Volume and Price Analysis: In the early part of the chart from the middle to the right side, the price forms a significant high-level oscillation range (Distribution Range). Near the top of the range, there is a long upper shadow or stagnation candlestick with high trading volume, which is a typical 'Buying Climax' (BC) signal, indicating that the operators are selling heavily at high prices while the public is actively buying.
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Study, express thoughts, move forward #Binance New Year's Eve
币安Binance华语
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Summarize 2025, moving towards a better 2026🏃
How would you describe your 2025 in 3️⃣ words?
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币安Binance华语
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🌟 Binance Christmas Three-Day Carnival · Day 3
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PIPPIN/USDT 4-Hour Chart Trading Plan (Wyckoff Practical Analysis)
🎯 PIPPIN/USDT 4-Hour Chart Trading Plan (Wyckoff Practical Analysis)
1. Phase Determination
Main Phase: End of Distribution Phase → Critical Point of Potential Markdown Phase Key Features:
Starting from 0.0220 USDT, after reaching a historical high of 0.3966 USDT and completing the 'double top + volume sell-off', it is currently in a range of 0.3000-0.3300 USDT with decreasing volume, indicating 'weak oscillation after high position distribution'. The 4-hour chart shows a **'lower highs, flattening lows'** bearish structure, with the EMA moving average system in a bearish arrangement (EMA21=0.3214, EMA50=0.2819, EMA144=0.1922 sequentially downward), and the volume significantly shrinking during rebounds (30,448 million @ MA5=155,105 million), indicating 'insufficient effort', consistent with the characteristics after 'smart money' has finished selling.
PIPPIN/USDT 1-hour Trading Plan (Wyckoff Practical Analysis)
🎯 PIPPIN/USDT 1-hour Trading Plan (Wyckoff Practical Analysis)
1. Stage Determination
Main Stage: End of Distribution Phase → Starting Point of Potential Markdown Phase Key Characteristics:
Starting from 0.1338 USDT and reaching a high of 0.3966 USDT, the “double top” distribution has completed, currently oscillating with reduced volume in the range of 0.32-0.34 USDT, representing a weak fluctuation after a “failed second test of resistance.” The 1-hour chart presents a bearish structure of **“lower highs and flattening lows”**, with the EMA moving average system sticking together (EMA21=0.3326, EMA50=0.3249). The volume significantly shrinks during rebounds (81,340,000 @ MA5=36,732,000), indicating “insufficient effort,” consistent with the characteristics after the “smart money” distribution is completed.
📊 #币安合约实盘 This week, the main strategy in the BTC/USDT perpetual contract was "trend following + small stop-loss trial and error." Initially, I used the 4-hour chart to determine the bullish trend and combined it with the 15-minute chart to find entry points. Before opening a position, I would always set a stop-loss first to avoid emotional interference. During the process, I encountered a false breakout and promptly exited to minimize the risk of expanding losses. Later, when the price retraced to a key support level and showed a reversal pattern, I re-entered the market, using a trailing stop to lock in some profits. The overall risk-reward ratio was close to 2:1, with the maximum drawdown controlled within 5%. My insight is: the core of trend trading is not to "guess the direction," but to "follow the market," while strictly enforcing risk control. Even if there are a few small losses in a row, as long as discipline is maintained, a single large profit can cover previous costs. Moving forward, I will continue to optimize entry signal filtering to reduce ineffective trades and improve capital utilization efficiency.