空投炼金术士
空投分享，初级交易员，web3彼岸追求者
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For the 'old韭菜' who have been mingling in the cryptocurrency circle, the 'Sun Cut Curse' specifically refers to a reverse indicator of a certain track or field being overheated!
Just now, Sun Yuchen loudly tweeted that he wants to 'All in AI', and my first reaction was not 'AI is going to take off', but 'Is AI going to crash?'
Let me popularize the 'Sun Cut Curse'
The so-called 'Sun Cut Curse' is a mockery of Sun Yuchen's ability to accurately capture hotspots (and the subsequent retreat) in the market. In the eyes of many investors, Sun Yuchen is the top 'traffic hunter' in the circle; wherever there is a boom, he will be there. But the amazing thing is that as long as he loudly announces his entry into a certain field, that field often reaches a stage 'peak'.
Let's review a few 'classic cases':
2017: Sun Yuchen loudly launched an ICO, and then the domestic '94' policy was introduced, leading to a comprehensive rectification of ICOs.
2019: He spent $4.56 million to bid for a lunch with Buffett, but the lunch turned out to be full of twists and turns, and the market subsequently entered a long period of turbulence and decline.
2021: He announced his entry into NFTs and bid high prices for various avatars, but soon after, the NFT market began to enter a long bear market.
Algorithmic stablecoin: Before the LUNA crash, he also launched a similar USDD, resulting in a drastic drop in confidence in algorithmic stability.
Investing in Huobi Exchange, which turned Huobi's previous status as one of the top three exchanges into a secondary exchange (remember at that time Huobi was still ahead of OKX)
This magical property of 'reverse indicators' has led people to develop a kind of 'Sun cuts in, gods retreat' PTSD.
'Sun cuts a laugh, life and death are unpredictable.' Behind this joke actually reflects a kind of consensus defensive psychology in the market. When a hotspot has been consumed to the point that even Sun Yuchen wants to 'All in', it indicates that the market is highly inflated!
Just now, Sun Yuchen loudly tweeted that he wants to 'All in AI', and my first reaction was not 'AI is going to take off', but 'Is AI going to crash?'
Let me popularize the 'Sun Cut Curse'
The so-called 'Sun Cut Curse' is a mockery of Sun Yuchen's ability to accurately capture hotspots (and the subsequent retreat) in the market. In the eyes of many investors, Sun Yuchen is the top 'traffic hunter' in the circle; wherever there is a boom, he will be there. But the amazing thing is that as long as he loudly announces his entry into a certain field, that field often reaches a stage 'peak'.
Let's review a few 'classic cases':
2017: Sun Yuchen loudly launched an ICO, and then the domestic '94' policy was introduced, leading to a comprehensive rectification of ICOs.
2019: He spent $4.56 million to bid for a lunch with Buffett, but the lunch turned out to be full of twists and turns, and the market subsequently entered a long period of turbulence and decline.
2021: He announced his entry into NFTs and bid high prices for various avatars, but soon after, the NFT market began to enter a long bear market.
Algorithmic stablecoin: Before the LUNA crash, he also launched a similar USDD, resulting in a drastic drop in confidence in algorithmic stability.
Investing in Huobi Exchange, which turned Huobi's previous status as one of the top three exchanges into a secondary exchange (remember at that time Huobi was still ahead of OKX)
This magical property of 'reverse indicators' has led people to develop a kind of 'Sun cuts in, gods retreat' PTSD.
'Sun cuts a laugh, life and death are unpredictable.' Behind this joke actually reflects a kind of consensus defensive psychology in the market. When a hotspot has been consumed to the point that even Sun Yuchen wants to 'All in', it indicates that the market is highly inflated!
AIAUSDT
Perp
10X
Opening Long
Unrealized PNL
+11.49USDT
做多信号强烈：
1. MicroStrategy 持续加仓：Michael Saylor 再次出手，上周以 $87,974 的均价增持 855 枚 $BTC （约 7522 万美元），目前持仓已达 71.3 万枚。
2.除了 MicroStrategy，币安 SAFU 基金2 月 2 日，链上信息显示，基金地址购入 1315枚 BTC, 总价值$BTC 。
机构的动作往往领先于市场共识。在市场恐惧时，这些“聪明钱”正在批量扫货。
从持仓成本和入场频率来看，这极大概率就是本轮的阶段性底部。
#crypto #BTC
1. MicroStrategy 持续加仓：Michael Saylor 再次出手，上周以 $87,974 的均价增持 855 枚 $BTC （约 7522 万美元），目前持仓已达 71.3 万枚。
2.除了 MicroStrategy，币安 SAFU 基金2 月 2 日，链上信息显示，基金地址购入 1315枚 BTC, 总价值$BTC 。
机构的动作往往领先于市场共识。在市场恐惧时，这些“聪明钱”正在批量扫货。
从持仓成本和入场频率来看，这极大概率就是本轮的阶段性底部。
#crypto #BTC
AIAUSDT
Perp
10X
Opening Long
Unrealized PNL
+11.49USDT
Famous at 20 in Peking University, harvesting the cryptocurrency world at 30: Sun Yuchen, a man walking on the edge of the law.
Recently, I got the scoop about the founder of TRON, Sun Yuchen.
I dug into his past resume and achievements:
When it comes to 'Sun Cut' Sun Yuchen, almost no one in the cryptocurrency and internet circles is unaware. He is hailed as a 'marketing genius,' a 'disciple of Jack Ma,' and is referred to by many investors as a 'leek harvester.'
Sun Yuchen's life is a drama of 'how to accurately ride the wave of the era and maximize the monetization of traffic.'
1. Basic background and family: Not a top-tier rich second generation.
Sun Yuchen was born in 1990 in Xining, Qinghai, and later moved with his parents to Huizhou, Guangdong.
I dug into his past resume and achievements:
When it comes to 'Sun Cut' Sun Yuchen, almost no one in the cryptocurrency and internet circles is unaware. He is hailed as a 'marketing genius,' a 'disciple of Jack Ma,' and is referred to by many investors as a 'leek harvester.'
Sun Yuchen's life is a drama of 'how to accurately ride the wave of the era and maximize the monetization of traffic.'
1. Basic background and family: Not a top-tier rich second generation.
Sun Yuchen was born in 1990 in Xining, Qinghai, and later moved with his parents to Huizhou, Guangdong.
ETH is not killing this time, but is 'slaying gods'! The $2,000 mark has become the 'guillotine' of the entire market.
Once breached, one can imagine:
• The cost lines of more than 450 medium to large institutions are directly broken, facing forced liquidation.
• $12 billion in on-chain leveraged positions are queuing for liquidation.
• The so-called 'whales', in the face of this death spiral, are just slightly larger cannon fodder.
When faith turns into lava, when institutions start trampling, below $2,000 is a bottomless abyss.
The market has gone mad, really mad... Surviving is the only task for 2026.
#ETH #crypto $ETH
Once breached, one can imagine:
• The cost lines of more than 450 medium to large institutions are directly broken, facing forced liquidation.
• $12 billion in on-chain leveraged positions are queuing for liquidation.
• The so-called 'whales', in the face of this death spiral, are just slightly larger cannon fodder.
When faith turns into lava, when institutions start trampling, below $2,000 is a bottomless abyss.
The market has gone mad, really mad... Surviving is the only task for 2026.
#ETH #crypto $ETH
AIAUSDT
Perp
10X
Opening Long
Unrealized PNL
+2.07USDT
Lost badly on $AIA , last night blew up the remaining few hundred u, this morning saw only 11.5u left, couldn't take it anymore, opened a long position, no stop loss, take profit at 8u.
Whether I can turn things around depends on this trade!
Whether I can turn things around depends on this trade!
AIAUSDT
Perp
10X
Opening Long
Unrealized PNL
+2.22USDT
The sky has fallen, and the position is liquidated!
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Many armies have gone bankrupt.
How to look at $AIA , where else is there more military?
It feels like $AIA can do more, the market continues to fall, $AIA is no longer following! It is highly likely that it will consolidate and then rise!
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If you are still using Aave's floating rate for leverage, you are essentially running naked.
Because your counterparties are not only the market price but also the borrowing costs that could explode at any time.
@TermMaxFi's perspective is even harsher: since volatility is inevitable, why not simply 'solidify' the costs? Its fixed-rate tokenization mechanism essentially turns debt into a tradable commodity.
This means your lending position is no longer a rigid number, but a living, transferable position.
In the latter part of a bull market, those who can control the 'friction costs' of capital will be the ultimate winners.
#TermMax gives veterans a weapon to strike down newcomers: while others are still tangled in whether tomorrow's rate is 10% or 50%, you have already pre-purchased peace for the next six months.
This is not just wealth management; it is a policy bought in advance to increase the probability of victory on an uncertain battlefield.
Because your counterparties are not only the market price but also the borrowing costs that could explode at any time.
@TermMaxFi's perspective is even harsher: since volatility is inevitable, why not simply 'solidify' the costs? Its fixed-rate tokenization mechanism essentially turns debt into a tradable commodity.
This means your lending position is no longer a rigid number, but a living, transferable position.
In the latter part of a bull market, those who can control the 'friction costs' of capital will be the ultimate winners.
#TermMax gives veterans a weapon to strike down newcomers: while others are still tangled in whether tomorrow's rate is 10% or 50%, you have already pre-purchased peace for the next six months.
This is not just wealth management; it is a policy bought in advance to increase the probability of victory on an uncertain battlefield.
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Last night's $AIA was really messed up, it truly felt like a creepy guy, couldn't last more than 3 seconds!
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AIAUSDT
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-604.98USDT
Tonight, $AIA 's one-hour K-line formed a large bullish candle. If the daily line can stabilize above 0.2, it will establish a reversal for $AIA 's market!
Tether's Dual-Track Game: Why Not Transform USDT, But Instead Start Anew With USA₮?
Tether announced today the launch of the federally regulated stablecoin USA₮ issued by Anchorage Digital Bank, so let's have a simple chat about it.
If the launch of USA₮ is merely interpreted as 'catering to regulations', it underestimates Tether's strategic ambition. This is not just a defensive compliance move, but also an offensive market segmentation.
Why not directly transform USDT and instead start anew?
This is the question the market is most concerned about: since USDT is already a giant with a market value of hundreds of billions, why not just make it compliant? The answer lies in 'historical baggage' and 'risk isolation'.
If the launch of USA₮ is merely interpreted as 'catering to regulations', it underestimates Tether's strategic ambition. This is not just a defensive compliance move, but also an offensive market segmentation.
Why not directly transform USDT and instead start anew?
This is the question the market is most concerned about: since USDT is already a giant with a market value of hundreds of billions, why not just make it compliant? The answer lies in 'historical baggage' and 'risk isolation'.
HYPE (Hyperliquid) - High Momentum Pullback Long Strategy
Token Overview:
Current Price: $34.56 (24-hour Increase +23.13%) Market Cap: $8.06B (Rank #24)
Technical Analysis:
4-hour RSI: 90.8 (Extremely Overbought, Needs Pullback) 1-hour RSI: 77.34 (Still in Overbought Zone) Bollinger Upper Band Resistance: $35.73 Key Support: $30.86 (SMA20) TAAPI
Entry Price $31.00 Retracement to SMA20 Support Level, Easy to Execute Take Profit Price $35.00 Close to Bollinger Upper Band Resistance Stop Loss Price $30.50 Slightly Below Key Support Liquidation Price
Risk Warning: HYPE is in an Extreme Overbought State, 24-hour Liquidation Volume $25.94 Million with 94% Short Coinglass, Strict Stop Loss Required Under High Volatility. $HYPE
Token Overview:
Current Price: $34.56 (24-hour Increase +23.13%) Market Cap: $8.06B (Rank #24)
Technical Analysis:
4-hour RSI: 90.8 (Extremely Overbought, Needs Pullback) 1-hour RSI: 77.34 (Still in Overbought Zone) Bollinger Upper Band Resistance: $35.73 Key Support: $30.86 (SMA20) TAAPI
Entry Price $31.00 Retracement to SMA20 Support Level, Easy to Execute Take Profit Price $35.00 Close to Bollinger Upper Band Resistance Stop Loss Price $30.50 Slightly Below Key Support Liquidation Price
Risk Warning: HYPE is in an Extreme Overbought State, 24-hour Liquidation Volume $25.94 Million with 94% Short Coinglass, Strict Stop Loss Required Under High Volatility. $HYPE
The Lightness of Code and the Weight of Gold: Why Tether Wants to Heavily Invest in the 'Old World' in 2026
For a long time, Tether's role was merely a shadow of the US dollar on the blockchain. Its trust comes from its claim that '1 USDT = 1 USD'. To maintain this promise, it had to hold a large amount of US Treasury bonds.
But from the perspective of 2026, relying solely on US dollar assets may have become the biggest weakness.
Breaking free from dependence on a single fiat currency (de-dollarization risk): If the US dollar encounters severe inflation, a credit crisis, or if US regulators impose strict sanctions on Tether, the value foundation of USDT will collapse instantly.
Building independent sovereignty: Real central banks have gold reserves.
But from the perspective of 2026, relying solely on US dollar assets may have become the biggest weakness.
Breaking free from dependence on a single fiat currency (de-dollarization risk): If the US dollar encounters severe inflation, a credit crisis, or if US regulators impose strict sanctions on Tether, the value foundation of USDT will collapse instantly.
Building independent sovereignty: Real central banks have gold reserves.
In-depth Analysis of @Vanarchain : Connecting Web2 Brands and Web3's Green Highway
In the competition for blockchain infrastructure, Vanar Chain has chosen a differentiated and highly promising path.
Unlike traditional financial public chains, Vanar focuses on the 'adoption rate', particularly targeting the entry of entertainment and mainstream brands. Below is a brief breakdown of its core competitiveness:
1. Addressing Enterprise-level Pain Points
Many large Web2 companies (gaming, fashion, retail) want to venture into Web3, but are limited by high Gas fees and complex interactions. Vanar offers extremely low transaction fees and very high throughput, specifically designed for handling high-frequency interactions (such as in-game transactions, NFT tickets).
2. Environmental Narrative
Do not underestimate this point. Vanar is a pioneer in carbon neutrality in the blockchain field. For global public companies that emphasize ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance), choosing a 'green public chain' is a compliance and public relations necessity. This is also key to Vanar's ability to attract mainstream partners.
3. Ecosystem $VANRY
As the mainnet progresses, ecological projects are gradually being implemented. From the metaverse to AI-integrated applications, $$VANRY, as the native token, is seeing its consumption scenarios becoming rich.
Vanar is not just a chain that purely speculates on technical TPS; it is a 'business-oriented' chain. As more brands announce their construction on Vanar, the process of value discovery has just begun.
#vanar $VANRY
In the competition for blockchain infrastructure, Vanar Chain has chosen a differentiated and highly promising path.
Unlike traditional financial public chains, Vanar focuses on the 'adoption rate', particularly targeting the entry of entertainment and mainstream brands. Below is a brief breakdown of its core competitiveness:
1. Addressing Enterprise-level Pain Points
Many large Web2 companies (gaming, fashion, retail) want to venture into Web3, but are limited by high Gas fees and complex interactions. Vanar offers extremely low transaction fees and very high throughput, specifically designed for handling high-frequency interactions (such as in-game transactions, NFT tickets).
2. Environmental Narrative
Do not underestimate this point. Vanar is a pioneer in carbon neutrality in the blockchain field. For global public companies that emphasize ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance), choosing a 'green public chain' is a compliance and public relations necessity. This is also key to Vanar's ability to attract mainstream partners.
3. Ecosystem $VANRY
As the mainnet progresses, ecological projects are gradually being implemented. From the metaverse to AI-integrated applications, $$VANRY, as the native token, is seeing its consumption scenarios becoming rich.
Vanar is not just a chain that purely speculates on technical TPS; it is a 'business-oriented' chain. As more brands announce their construction on Vanar, the process of value discovery has just begun.
#vanar $VANRY
The eating style is too unseemly! $BTR This wave is simply pulling up the leeks by the roots!
Did everyone watch today's $BTR? This is not just a 'dog dealer', this is simply hell mode! 📉📈
Originally thought it was an opportunity, but the dealer directly came with a heavenly needle, first blowing up the shorts, then smashing the longs. This set of 'double explosion' moves was too smooth, completely disregarding ethics. This is not just harvesting leeks; it is clearly using a sickle to dig roots!
Looking at the amplitude of the up and down spikes, I have to say, this level of market control is really ruthless. This is the risk of small-cap coins; once liquidity is grasped by the dealer, retail investors inside are simply lambs to be slaughtered.
Brothers, are you still alive after today's $BTR R? In this kind of market, you really need to control your hands, preserving your principal is the way to go! 😭
#BTR #liquidation
Did everyone watch today's $BTR? This is not just a 'dog dealer', this is simply hell mode! 📉📈
Originally thought it was an opportunity, but the dealer directly came with a heavenly needle, first blowing up the shorts, then smashing the longs. This set of 'double explosion' moves was too smooth, completely disregarding ethics. This is not just harvesting leeks; it is clearly using a sickle to dig roots!
Looking at the amplitude of the up and down spikes, I have to say, this level of market control is really ruthless. This is the risk of small-cap coins; once liquidity is grasped by the dealer, retail investors inside are simply lambs to be slaughtered.
Brothers, are you still alive after today's $BTR R? In this kind of market, you really need to control your hands, preserving your principal is the way to go! 😭
#BTR #liquidation
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BTRUSDT
Perp
Closed
PNL
-40.21USDT
What should I do? I'm still stuck, right?
$AIA Actually, it was wrong from the very beginning. I started to review why I took this order and endured for so long. It was all based on an inherent mindset, which is that the main force would definitely have some action once this project was re-listed.
Let's think about it, why was it taken down before? Simply put, it was due to technical issues, liquidity exhaustion, and malicious manipulation. Being re-listed means that it has gone through an exchange process to resolve previous issues, but is smart money foolish? Of course not. Without adequate proof, why would funds continue to believe in you? If funds don't trust you, who will take over the future rise and sell-off? Based on these thoughts, I believe the main force has no need to push up the price anymore; even returning to 0.3 is very difficult. Perhaps even the main force is in trouble. This is a project that has been abandoned by funds; it has failed miserably. Now, bringing in so many retail investors to go long is just a hope to recover some capital, so don't expect a price increase.
Let's think about it, why was it taken down before? Simply put, it was due to technical issues, liquidity exhaustion, and malicious manipulation. Being re-listed means that it has gone through an exchange process to resolve previous issues, but is smart money foolish? Of course not. Without adequate proof, why would funds continue to believe in you? If funds don't trust you, who will take over the future rise and sell-off? Based on these thoughts, I believe the main force has no need to push up the price anymore; even returning to 0.3 is very difficult. Perhaps even the main force is in trouble. This is a project that has been abandoned by funds; it has failed miserably. Now, bringing in so many retail investors to go long is just a hope to recover some capital, so don't expect a price increase.
According to @SurfAI's analysis of the valuations of various public chains: Which chains' market values truly reflect ecological value?
Through analyzing the MC/TVL ratio, I found:
Arbitrum (MC/TVL: 0.09) - Extremely undervalued
Tron (MC/TVL: 0.34) - Strong support
Complete ranking:
Arbitrum: $0.99B MC / $11.15B TVL = 0.09
Tron: $27.96B / $83.34B = 0.34
Polygon: $1.29B / $2.71B = 0.48
Optimism: $0.57B / $0.87B = 0.66
Avalanche: $5.02B / $3.64B = 1.38
Solana: $69.18B / $29.72B = 2.33
BNB Chain: $118.83B / $11.82B = 10.05
Key conclusion: The lower the ratio, the more the market value is supported by the real TVL; the higher it is, the more it relies on market premiums.
#区块链 #DeFi #公链分析
$SOL
Through analyzing the MC/TVL ratio, I found:
Arbitrum (MC/TVL: 0.09) - Extremely undervalued
Tron (MC/TVL: 0.34) - Strong support
Complete ranking:
Arbitrum: $0.99B MC / $11.15B TVL = 0.09
Tron: $27.96B / $83.34B = 0.34
Polygon: $1.29B / $2.71B = 0.48
Optimism: $0.57B / $0.87B = 0.66
Avalanche: $5.02B / $3.64B = 1.38
Solana: $69.18B / $29.72B = 2.33
BNB Chain: $118.83B / $11.82B = 10.05
Key conclusion: The lower the ratio, the more the market value is supported by the real TVL; the higher it is, the more it relies on market premiums.
#区块链 #DeFi #公链分析
$SOL
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+9.34USDT
The logic of Plasma is very rigid: as long as USDT continues to dominate the market, public chains specifically serving USDT will have value.
For $XPL , we are currently on the eve of a "value return." Although the initial bubble has burst, its core utility as network security (staking) and Gas (backend destruction) has not yet fully erupted.
• Suitable audience: mid-to-long-term investors who are optimistic about the stablecoin payment track and are willing to position themselves for the favorable staking news in Q1.
• Operational advice: gradually build positions in the $0.11-$0.12 range, set stop-loss at previous lows, and pay attention to official announcements regarding the launch of staking.
For $XPL , we are currently on the eve of a "value return." Although the initial bubble has burst, its core utility as network security (staking) and Gas (backend destruction) has not yet fully erupted.
• Suitable audience: mid-to-long-term investors who are optimistic about the stablecoin payment track and are willing to position themselves for the favorable staking news in Q1.
• Operational advice: gradually build positions in the $0.11-$0.12 range, set stop-loss at previous lows, and pay attention to official announcements regarding the launch of staking.
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+9.34USDT
Dude, do you want to cut?
Foolish market, the more it drops, the more people buy the dip, the heavier the cars.
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