🚨 THE NUMBER WALL STREET DOESN’T WANT YOU TO SEE
Global defensive stocks just hit 17% of world market cap
The last time this happened? March 2000.
Six months before the Nasdaq crashed 78%.
Here’s what the smart money is doing while you chase AI:
THE SETUP:
Consumer staples, healthcare, utilities … the “boring” sectors … have been systematically starved of capital for 3 years.
Down 7 percentage points since the 2022 bear market ended.
Meanwhile:
• Top 10 stocks = 39% of S&P 500 (2000 peak was 27%)
• Healthcare trades at 16x earnings vs S&P at 23x
• Buffett Indicator = 223% (2000 was 150%)
This is MORE extreme concentration than the dot-com bubble. Not less.
THE ROTATION:
Goldman prime brokerage data: Hedge funds are net BUYERS … but rotating.
Selling: Tech
Buying: Healthcare, Materials, Consumer Discretionary
Burry’s Q3 13F: Long Molina Healthcare at 8x P/E. Short Palantir, Nvidia.
The “smart money” isn’t panicking. They’re repositioning for regime change.
THE PATTERN:
Every time defensive market cap share hit these lows:
• 1968 → Stagflation
• 2000 → 78% Nasdaq crash
• 2025 → ?
Base rate: 50% probability of major rotation within 18 months.
THE TRADE:
Defensives don’t need tech to crash. They just need capital to remember that 16x earnings with 3% dividend yield beats 35x earnings with 0% yield when the music stops.
Watch XLV, XLP, XLU.
The most crowded trade in history is “long AI.”
The most neglected? Everything else.
History doesn’t repeat. But the math rhymes.
$BTC
The Altcoin Season Index suggests that altcoins may soon outperform BTC, regardless of whether Bitcoin goes up or down.
This happens because many altcoins are already going through a price stabilization process, while BTC still has room for another downside move, as it remains at elevated levels above $87K.
We are seeing a setup similar to 2019 or 2022, when many altcoins failed to print new lows, while the Top 10 by market cap experienced much deeper drawdowns.
$BTC
$BTC – Current Plan
We could see a sweep below 84.4K, which is why I have an add set around that area. This tight compression can resolve in either direction.
That said, the constant rejections suggest there isn’t much conviction behind the current lows holding. At the same time, it wouldn’t surprise me if a larger player is quietly building a position before any decisive move higher, hence the persistent chop and rejections.
When institutions want to accumulate size, this type of range bound price action is often how it’s done.
We’re already down ~35% from the highs. Yes, this is a bearish market structure, and yes, this is a counter trend trade. If I’m wrong, my invalidation is 82K.
Let the games begin. 🎲
💫💖🌹 Coucou les belles âmes ✨💖
Si tu lis ces mots aujourd’hui, c’est que tu fais partie de cette aventure incroyable qu’est #BinanceSquare 🌍💫
Que tu sois là depuis longtemps ou que tu viennes tout juste d’arriver… tu as ta place ici 💛
La crypto, ce n’est pas qu’un marché.
C’est des rencontres, de l’apprentissage, des doutes parfois… mais surtout un univers qui avance ensemble 🤝🌱
🌈 Ici, on apprend
🌈 Ici, on se soutient
🌈 Ici, on partage avec bienveillance 💖
N’oublie jamais :
✨ tu n’as pas besoin de tout savoir
✨ tu as le droit d’apprendre à ton rythme
✨ poser une question, c’est déjà avancer
Alors aujourd’hui, j’ai envie de te dire une chose toute simple mais puissante :
WAGMI 💖 : On va tous y arriver, ensemble.
Merci d’être là, merci pour vos mots, votre respect, votre lumière 🌹
Les nouveaux, bienvenue à la maison 🏡
Les anciens, merci d’être des guides 💫
Je vous embrasse fort 💖
#WAGMI
Bienveillament ✨️
#PATRICIABM 🌹💖💫
On December 12, the Fed buried a confession in paragraph seventeen of an implementation note.
Forty billion dollars monthly in Treasury purchases. They called it Reserve Management Purchases. The mechanism is identical to QE. The name is the only difference.
The arithmetic nobody is discussing:
ETFs now hold 1.3 million Bitcoin. Six percent of total supply locked in regulated wrappers that rebalance quarterly, not panic sell.
Exchange reserves collapsed to 2.75 million Bitcoin. Record lows last seen in 2018.
Stablecoin dry powder sitting at 308 billion dollars. Record high.
The US government holds 327,000 Bitcoin with an executive order prohibiting sales.
The transmission lag between M2 expansion and Bitcoin price response is 60 to 70 days. This is not theory. This is documented across every prior cycle.
QT ended December 1. Add 60 days. Late January.
RMP began December 12. Add 60 days. Mid February.
The window opens in weeks.
January 15th is the inflection. MSCI decides whether to exclude Strategy from global indices. Unfavorable ruling triggers 8.8 billion in forced selling across passive funds. Favorable ruling removes the single largest technical overhang.
Everyone watching price action. Almost nobody watching plumbing.
My prediction with a timestamp you can verify:
If Bitcoin fails to reclaim 125,000 by April 2026 despite QT termination and RMP initiation and M2 acceleration, the macro correlation thesis requires permanent revision.
If it validates, the 30 percent correction from October's 126,000 peak was accumulation, not distribution.
Bookmark this. Set your reminder. One of us will be wrong.
The Fed already told you what happens next. They just used different words.
$BTC
$DOGE Quiz Fun & Cool 🐾🚀 (3/3)
Question 1
Quand on dit que DOGE “pumpe”, ça veut dire :
A) Il fait un gros dodo 😴
B) Son prix monte super vite, comme un Shiba qui court après une balle 🎾
C) Il mange une énorme gamelle 🍖
Question 2
C’est quoi un “stop loss” ?
A) Une boisson énergisante pour traders ⚡
B) Un parachute qui vend automatiquement si le prix baisse trop 🪂
C) Un jeu vidéo sur les cryptos 🎮
Question 3
Si tu as la FOMO, ça veut dire que tu :
A) As peur de rater une super opportunité et tu achètes vite sans réfléchir 🚨
B) Es super zen et patient 🧘♂️
C) Adores les chiens Shiba 🐕
Question 4
Une “whale” en crypto, c’est :
A) Une baleine qui nage dans la mer 🌊
B) Un investisseur énorme qui peut faire bouger le marché 🐋
C) Un nouveau meme coin encore inconnu 🤷♂️
Question 5
“Breakout”, ça veut dire :
A) Casser une résistance et continuer à monter comme un train lancé à fond 🚂
B) Sortir de la piscine après la baignade 🏊♂️
C) Manger un gros burger 🍔
Question 6
Que signifie “HODL” ?
A) Une faute d’orthographe pour dire “hold” (garder ses cryptos) ✋
B) Une danse très cool 🕺💃
C) Un nouveau type de crypto 🪙
Question 7
Le RSI est :
A) Un indicateur pour savoir si DOGE est fatigué ou trop excité comme un coach sportif ⚡
B) Le nom d’un rappeur crypto 🎤
C) Une sorte de robot de trading 🤖
J'espère que mes publications te conviennent et te font sourire 🥰
Bienveillament ✨️,
#PATRICIABM 🌹💖💫
🚨 SILVER'S HIDDEN TRUTH THREAD 🚨
While you watched silver "crash" 5% on Dec 29, Shanghai kept buying at $82.
The $8 premium WIDENED during the crash.
This isn't volatility. This is the death of Western price discovery.
Here's what Bloomberg won't tell you:
CME raised margins to $25,000—second hike in 17 days.
Leveraged longs forced to sell on holiday liquidity.
Classic playbook. 1980 Hunt Brothers. 2011 five hikes in nine days.
But this time something broke.
Shanghai didn't crash with New York.
Chinese factories paying 11% MORE than "global benchmark" for deliverable metal.
Why? Because they need PHYSICAL silver. Not paper promises.
THE NUMBERS THEY'RE HIDING:
• 60% of COMEX registered inventory claimed in 4 DAYS (December)
• 820 million oz cumulative deficit since 2021
• October lease rates hit 34.9%—ALL-TIME RECORD
• China controls 60-70% of global silver refining
JANUARY 1, 2026:
MOFCOM Announcement No. 68 takes effect.
China requires export licenses for silver.
80 metric ton minimum production threshold.
Small exporters: eliminated.
Elon Musk the man himself said on Dec 26th: "This is not good. Silver is needed in many industrial processes."
The man running Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI just flagged YOUR supply chain.
PREDICTION:
Shanghai premium will NOT close below $5 by March 1st.
If it does, I'm wrong about everything.
If it doesn't, you're witnessing the end of paper price suppression.
The algorithm crashed COMEX.
Shanghai said: "We don't care what your screens say. We need metal."
One market trades promises. One market trades reality.
Reality just won.
Bookmark this. 🔖
$BTC
$DOGE Glossaire 🐾🎉 (2/3)
🚀 Pump
C’est quand le prix de DOGE grimpe très vite, un peu comme un Shiba qui court après sa balle 🎾
🛒 Accumulation
Le moment où plein de gens achètent du DOGE parce que le prix est bas : c’est la chasse aux bonnes affaires 🐕💰
🪂 Stop loss
Ton parachute de sécurité : un ordre qui vend automatiquement ton DOGE si le prix descend trop pour éviter de tomber trop bas.
🐕 Shiba
La race de chien mignonne et hyper énergique, souvent associée à DOGE et aussi l’esprit de la crypto : fun mais imprévisible 😅
🎢 Grand huit
Le marché crypto, surtout DOGE, c’est comme un grand huit : ça monte, ça descend, ça donne des sensations fortes, alors mieux vaut être attaché !
💰 Take profit
Quand tu décides de vendre une partie de ton DOGE pour encaisser tes gains. Un peu comme prendre des photos au sommet de la montagne avant de redescendre. 📸
FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out)
La peur de rater la fête ou le bon coup, qui pousse à acheter vite sans réfléchir : attention, c’est le piège du trader débutant ! 🚨
Whale (Baleine)
Un gros investisseur crypto qui possède beaucoup de DOGE et peut faire bouger le marché, un peu comme une baleine dans un petit étang. 🐋
Breakout
Quand le prix casse une résistance importante et continue à monter, c’est le moment de sauter dans le train en marche 🚂
HODL
Une faute d’orthographe volontaire pour dire “hold” (garder ses cryptos) : c’est la philosophie des patients et zen. 🧘♂️
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Un indicateur technique qui te dit si DOGE est trop “fatigué” (survendu) ou trop “excité” (suracheté). Comme un coach qui surveille l’énergie du joueur. ⚡
Bienveillament ✨️
#PATRICIABM 🌹💖💫
$DOGE BONJOUR @ABRA_Silence (Exemple, je ne suis pas une conseillère financière 😇) 1/3
🐾💖
1. Attends le bon moment pour acheter :
Quand le prix est bas (vers 0.12 $ ou moins) : la méga affaire, zone d’accumulation parfaite 🛒
Ou quand ça commence à bien pump (break au-dessus de 0.13-0.14 $) : saute dans le wagon avant le moon. 🚀
2. Mets un “parachute” pour pas tout perdre :
Pose un stop loss environ 8-10% en dessous de ton prix d’entrée (exemple : si tu achètes à 0.12 $, stop à 0.11 $). Ça évite le crash total si ça capitule. 🪂
3. Fixe tes “petits objectifs” pour prendre des gains :
Vends un peu à 0.14 $ (premier rebond sympa)
Puis plus à 0.16-0.18 $
Garde le reste pour rêver plus haut, au prochain tweet d’Elon ou si le bull 2026 démarre. 💰🐕
4. Ne mets pas tout ton argent dedans :
Utilise seulement une petite partie de ce que tu peux te permettre de perdre. DOGE, c’est fun mais volatile comme un Shiba super excité ! 😅
5. Reste cool, pas de panique ni de “FOMO” :
Le marché fait des hautsetdesbas, surtout les memes coins. Sois patiente : DOGE peut dormir des semaines et exploser sur une news. No stress, just hodl smart. ☕
Bref, c’est toujours comme un grand huit :
Tu montes sur dip ou breakout, tu attaches ta ceinture (stop loss), tu cash des sensations aux targets et tu sors pas tout d’un coup si ça devient fou ! 🎢🐶
Bonne journée 🥰
Bienveillament ✨️
#PATRICIABM 🌹💖💫
🚨 SOMETHING JUST BROKE IN THE SILVER MARKET THIS WEEKEND!!!
I don’t usually pay attention to weekend rumors, but this one lines up uncomfortably well with what the tape has been showing for weeks.
Late Friday, there were signs that a large player sitting on a legacy silver short was under real margin pressure.
Not theoretical stress, but actual liquidity stress.
By Sunday night, reports started circulating that a systemically important bank failed to meet margin requirements and was forced to unwind a sizable silver position.
If that unwind happened, it would not be a clean event.
These positions are old. They sit deep in the plumbing of the bullion system. They were built when silver was treated as a managed market, not a scarce input.
You don’t unwind that kind of exposure without collateral damage.
There are also reports that emergency funding was pulled through the Fed’s repo facilities to stabilize the situation, and that part would not be surprising at all.
If a major dealer runs into trouble due to a forced metals unwind, the response is almost always liquidity first, transparency later.
The important point is not whether one specific headline turns out to be perfectly accurate.
The important point is this:
Silver is no longer trading like a paper market. And when paper breaks, the stress shows up in balance sheets before it shows up anywhere else.
If a major institution tapped the repo window overnight, we will see it in the data shortly. Those numbers don’t lie.
$BTC