$BTC
If you want to avoid chop, it’s actually very simple.
Don’t trade the internal ranges.
Internal liquidity exists to be taken. It’s the zone where most look for continuation or acceptance above prior levels, and because of that, it’s engineered to extract liquidity.
That’s why so many people get trapped.
The edge isn’t in internal range trades.
The edge is in external range hunts.
Instead of chasing price in the middle, focus on external highs and lows, where liquidity is targeted and displacement is more likely to occur. That’s where asymmetric opportunities live.
If you’ve been paying attention, you’ll notice I almost exclusively operate at external high/low sweeps and rarely engage in the mid range.
Lesson in that fellas, lesson in that 🫡
MMs and institutional players do not step in within the middle range where liquidity is being built.
They step in at the extremes where sentiment is stretched to peak fear or peak euphoria. That is why you see nobody buying when they are suppose to be.
Markets are making history today:
A record $7.1 trillion worth of options on stock indexes, ETFs, equity index futures, and individual stocks are estimated to expire during today’s trading session.
This includes $5.1 trillion notional of S&P 500 options, $320 billion of S&P 500 ETF options, and $880 billion of single-stock options.
Furthermore, ~$805 billion worth of non-S&P 500 index and ETF options are set to expire.
December OpEx is historically the largest expiration of the year.
This December sets a record, exceeding 10% of the total equity market size for the first time.
Brace for significant intraday volatility.
$BTC
If you told me to draw max pain, this is how it would look.
Trading isn’t a game. If you treat it like one, you won’t last. Respect the game, or you will be violated every single time.
This isn’t about flipping accounts or chasing fast money.
Your only real job is to stay in the game. The longer you survive, the better your chances of making money.
Every time you open a trade, you should already know how much you’re willing to lose. No stop, no plan, no defined risk = you’re gambling. Simple as that.
If the RR isn’t clearly in your favor, why are you clicking buy or sell in the first place?
Missing a trade doesn’t hurt you. Guessing does.
When you guess and you’re wrong, there’s no plan, no risk management, no structure, and that’s how one bad trade wipes out all your progress.
The market doesn’t reward excitement or confidence. It rewards patience, discipline, and respect for risk. Ignore that, and eventually it takes everything back.
Making money is easy. Keeping it is the real skill. Respect the game
$BTC
BREAKING: $7.1 trillion worth of US stock and ETF options expire today, the largest triple-witching event ever.
Triple witching is a quarterly market event that happens four times a year, on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
On this day, three types of derivatives expire at the same time:
Stock options, index options, index futures
Across the last 14 triple witching events, the S&P 500 averaged around -0.5% on the day.
Bitcoin has historically ranged between 6%-9% around triple witching periods, with sharp short term swings followed by stabilization once expiry pressure clears.
Expect volatility today as well.
It does not change long term trends, but it often creates short term noise and liquidity moves.
$BTC