加密扫地僧
2017年进圈 BTC信仰者 山寨优质币淘宝王 擅长大盘分析 现货布局 合约波段 指标技术教学 wb:加密扫地僧 推特:@jmsds2026 币安邀请码:JMSDS2026
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I mentioned in the chat room this afternoon that the daily line plus 6-hour indicator gives me a reason to be bullish, but the 4-hour MACD is forming a death cross near the zero axis, while the KDJ is at the bottom. Generally, this MACD manifestation can easily lead to a golden cross due to the complete reversal of the KDJ, thus officially forming a bottom divergence. Additionally, the four bearish energy volumes are also one of the assisting factors. Coupled with the bullish reasons on the 6-hour and daily lines.
In summary, the market has bullish conditions. The Bollinger Bands on the 1-hour chart have been in a three-line horizontal trend. At this time, you must not choose to be bearish just because of a slight pressure at a low level, as it is easy to get trapped. The current operator has already controlled the points to an annoying bottom, really. You can observe, but please do not chase shorts.
In summary, the market has bullish conditions. The Bollinger Bands on the 1-hour chart have been in a three-line horizontal trend. At this time, you must not choose to be bearish just because of a slight pressure at a low level, as it is easy to get trapped. The current operator has already controlled the points to an annoying bottom, really. You can observe, but please do not chase shorts.
$BTC 4 hours boll closing, the market is about to show a one-sided trend, whether it is a MACD breakthrough of the zero axis with a bottom divergence or a return to the zero axis with a death cross, both are possible. We will observe further and prepare to take a big profit.
Last night's live broadcast clearly stated that there is a 100% chance it won't go into an upward trend, and the market is stuck between 71500 and 73100 and will come down.
From the daily indicators and the 6-hour indicators, it can be seen that the market will inevitably crash, but the big players are not going to kindly reach around 73100 for you to short. The 1-hour EMA resistance, also the K-line resistance, is near 71600, where the market has repeatedly misled everyone into thinking it wouldn't drop.
This is why I said last night at around 70900 to wait patiently, it will definitely crash. You can't stay up all night watching the market; at that point, it may drop, but you can short in advance and set your stop-loss far away. This market reminds me of 84600; I shorted at 84000, setting my stop-loss far away, always looking at 77800 and 75000 for that trade.
It's even harder to place orders; where do you place yours at 73100? Even those with stop-loss 500 points above 71500 around 71000 will be hit. Do you see the spike and close at 7 AM? That’s for triggering short stop-losses.
This reflects the current market situation; try to play contracts in the direction of the big trend. Use 1 and 4-hour charts to determine direction, and enter based on short-term indicators. If the big direction is wrong, you won’t even have a chance to break even.
And the support levels are simply 66800, 65600, 60000, and 55000.
From the weekly chart, the bottom looks deep, but we shouldn't worry. With the assistance of the 4-6 hour intermediate line, whether the market will form a rebound after hitting the bottom will be answered as the indicators change.
When trading spot, be cautious; once the bottom is successfully formed, there will be opportunities to catch the bottom.
From the daily indicators and the 6-hour indicators, it can be seen that the market will inevitably crash, but the big players are not going to kindly reach around 73100 for you to short. The 1-hour EMA resistance, also the K-line resistance, is near 71600, where the market has repeatedly misled everyone into thinking it wouldn't drop.
This is why I said last night at around 70900 to wait patiently, it will definitely crash. You can't stay up all night watching the market; at that point, it may drop, but you can short in advance and set your stop-loss far away. This market reminds me of 84600; I shorted at 84000, setting my stop-loss far away, always looking at 77800 and 75000 for that trade.
It's even harder to place orders; where do you place yours at 73100? Even those with stop-loss 500 points above 71500 around 71000 will be hit. Do you see the spike and close at 7 AM? That’s for triggering short stop-losses.
This reflects the current market situation; try to play contracts in the direction of the big trend. Use 1 and 4-hour charts to determine direction, and enter based on short-term indicators. If the big direction is wrong, you won’t even have a chance to break even.
And the support levels are simply 66800, 65600, 60000, and 55000.
From the weekly chart, the bottom looks deep, but we shouldn't worry. With the assistance of the 4-6 hour intermediate line, whether the market will form a rebound after hitting the bottom will be answered as the indicators change.
When trading spot, be cautious; once the bottom is successfully formed, there will be opportunities to catch the bottom.
Today the lottery won, good luck! 😂
The evening BTC market fluctuations depend entirely on the hourly MACD fast line DIF position. If a golden cross forms, it will inevitably go near 71300. The 4-hour MACD golden cross shifts towards the zero axis, just as the fast line breaks the 4-hour Bollinger middle track. There is still a chance for the market to touch 73100 or 75000 points later. Let's talk again when it reaches 71300; I will follow up with analysis based on the changes in market indicators.
If DIF directly descends and breaks the zero axis, the market will still need to go to 66800, 64500, or 60000, and even break new lows to go to the 55000 monthly Bollinger lower track support.
You don't need to look at anything else; typically, multiple indicators need to be combined to observe the market. Tonight, just keep an eye on whether the hourly MACD golden cross level holds or breaks the zero axis to continue the dead cross, as it will determine your buy or sell decision. The time has come for the hourly MACD to play a significant role for the first time.
The above is personal analysis; proceed with caution.
If DIF directly descends and breaks the zero axis, the market will still need to go to 66800, 64500, or 60000, and even break new lows to go to the 55000 monthly Bollinger lower track support.
You don't need to look at anything else; typically, multiple indicators need to be combined to observe the market. Tonight, just keep an eye on whether the hourly MACD golden cross level holds or breaks the zero axis to continue the dead cross, as it will determine your buy or sell decision. The time has come for the hourly MACD to play a significant role for the first time.
The above is personal analysis; proceed with caution.
I haven't slept all night, just waiting to catch the top, and the top of 71300 has been caught. Throughout the process, the indicators didn't look back at all, and only at this point did I start to look and look.
The hourly Bollinger Bands are turning from downward to horizontal and then to upward. This market is directly hitting a hard top. Generally, when the Bollinger Bands change from downward to horizontal, a pullback and consolidation will occur, and short-term indicators will be repaired. This wave directly peaked near the previous day's drop of 69000.
In such a trend, who would dare to go long at the 66800 resistance level, hoping to see 69000? The market makers are really playing a good game.
To hell with those market makers, wait until I rest well, and we'll see!
In such a trend, who would dare to go long at the 66800 resistance level, hoping to see 69000? The market makers are really playing a good game.
To hell with those market makers, wait until I rest well, and we'll see!
Brothers, there will be no live broadcast tonight. I want to get a good night's sleep. I've been staying up too late recently, from 10 PM to 8 AM for a whole week, and even until 10 AM.
This long period of staying up late has made my body very tired, lacking energy and spirit, and my attention is not focused, which also affects my analysis.
In the future, I will maintain the broadcast time from 10 PM to 3 AM. For those who can't finish their tasks, let's keep trading at a moderate frequency. Everyone can relax without needing to stay up late in the live broadcast room.
For those who want to learn indicator analysis techniques, feel free to consult. I'm preparing to start teaching classes uniformly next week! #分析行情
This long period of staying up late has made my body very tired, lacking energy and spirit, and my attention is not focused, which also affects my analysis.
In the future, I will maintain the broadcast time from 10 PM to 3 AM. For those who can't finish their tasks, let's keep trading at a moderate frequency. Everyone can relax without needing to stay up late in the live broadcast room.
For those who want to learn indicator analysis techniques, feel free to consult. I'm preparing to start teaching classes uniformly next week! #分析行情
1 4-hour indicators combined are still bearish, with resistance around 65800. The monthly Bollinger lower band supports 55000 points. Currently, the daily indicators have not formed an upward trend, and the market is likely to drop further.
At this point, we need to consider one point, 59900 points. If the market repeatedly retraces around this position and exhibits a range-bound trend around the 59900 support level, then there will be a chance to restore the hourly line, and the 4-hour indicators will form an upward signal, leading the market to an upward trend; otherwise, we will still need to look at 55000.
At this point, we need to consider one point, 59900 points. If the market repeatedly retraces around this position and exhibits a range-bound trend around the 59900 support level, then there will be a chance to restore the hourly line, and the 4-hour indicators will form an upward signal, leading the market to an upward trend; otherwise, we will still need to look at 55000.
BTC has currently dropped below 70,000 to 69,100 points. The current support level is the starting point of the explosive surge for the U.S. election on November 5, 2025, at 68,800. The lower Bollinger Band support on the monthly chart is at 55,000, which is also near the support level for the range of 48,900-73,800 during the monthly cycle from August to November 2024. If the market continues this small fluctuation followed by a large drop, then breaking below 70,000 will likely lead to breaking below 60,000. The specific situation still needs to be analyzed gradually based on future market movements and indicator changes; in any case, it is definitely not the time to enter the market for spot trading right now.
Currently, the support is at 68,800, and the 6 and 12-day indicators are bearish, with only the 4-hour indicator showing signs of a pullback, whereas the 1-hour MACD has formed a second death cross at the bottom, and the KDJ is currently at a death cross at the bottom. The volume of short positions is increasing, and now a bearish candlestick has appeared. Although the 1 and 4 indicators do not clearly indicate a certainty of a pullback, there is a probability. Now, the mid-term indicators have been disrupted by the sharp drop, and changes in the short-term indicators are needed to drive the recovery of the mid-term indicators. Therefore, trying to see whether tonight's movement will be up or down is risky.
Summary: Now is not the right time to enter the market for spot trading; we need to wait for the combination of future indicators to provide an answer. Additionally, caution is required in contract trading tonight; it’s better to miss an opportunity than to make a mistake. The large fluctuations in the market are dangerous, so consider entering only after the short-term indicators show a clear direction.
Personally, I see 69,100 as the bottom for today's wave, and the market needs to pull back to 73,000 before entering a range of fluctuations.
Currently, the support is at 68,800, and the 6 and 12-day indicators are bearish, with only the 4-hour indicator showing signs of a pullback, whereas the 1-hour MACD has formed a second death cross at the bottom, and the KDJ is currently at a death cross at the bottom. The volume of short positions is increasing, and now a bearish candlestick has appeared. Although the 1 and 4 indicators do not clearly indicate a certainty of a pullback, there is a probability. Now, the mid-term indicators have been disrupted by the sharp drop, and changes in the short-term indicators are needed to drive the recovery of the mid-term indicators. Therefore, trying to see whether tonight's movement will be up or down is risky.
Summary: Now is not the right time to enter the market for spot trading; we need to wait for the combination of future indicators to provide an answer. Additionally, caution is required in contract trading tonight; it’s better to miss an opportunity than to make a mistake. The large fluctuations in the market are dangerous, so consider entering only after the short-term indicators show a clear direction.
Personally, I see 69,100 as the bottom for today's wave, and the market needs to pull back to 73,000 before entering a range of fluctuations.
Interval fluctuations suggest a decline or drop; currently, the market is unable to rise. From the perspective of short to medium-term indicators, especially short-term indicators, it is impossible for prices to rise. Target 72500. Upper resistance 75600.
The market looks good at 73000. Tonight, the short position will first look at 76200 for profit. Forming a head and shoulders pattern. Aggressive light position at 75800-76000 for long positions. The market crashes to 72900, which is exactly the lowest point I see. Pullback at 765400 and 76800 for partial sell-off. Enter short at 76700, looking at 75000 and 74500.
First, the first wave of short positions at 78000 will definitely reach 76200. Of course, there are also partial layouts of short positions from the night before yesterday, which are also gaining profit at this moment.
Secondly, at 96000 points, there are no signs of pullback and rise in the hourly and 4-hour indicators, but the 4-hour Bollinger Bands pattern and the historical support of the candlestick along with the head and shoulders neckline pattern suggest that the market cannot drop further, unless it breaks through the lower Bollinger Band. However, the lower band pattern is there, and the market still needs to recover. This belongs to a medium-term recovery pattern, but most of the time it won't break, instead, it will approach and then break through the next day. I am optimistic about breaking 74500 to go to 73000, but not today. However, given the recent large fluctuations in the market and the medium-term indicators still looking bearish, with only the ultra-short-term indicators looking bullish and the 4-hour indicators giving me confidence, we choose to take a light and aggressive position.
In fact, we encountered behavior breaking through the horizontal lower Bollinger Band, but it does not affect its pullback and closing, and we managed to catch some. We got them in batches at 76400 and 76800. Not much meat, just enough to fill up.
Finally, there's the short position at 76700; this position is a steady profit one, no need to say much.
While accurate market analysis is certainly important, contracts are leveraged products facing unpredictable factors, so when operating, if there is a perception of risk with a potential for profit based on indicator understanding, one can choose an aggressive light position or use a stop-loss. This choice is made based on a specific analysis of the market situation at that time.
Last night until dawn, all three positions made a profit. Although we missed the drop from 76000 to 72900, at that time the shoulder at 75700 and the support level at 74500 were present, along with the manifestation of the 4-hour indicators, making it impossible to take a short position at 76000. It was either to take a light long position or give up this short. This is similar to February 1st, when it dropped from 84000 to 78000; we only took 78000 and gave up on 75600. But we successfully bottomed at 75600.
When playing with contracts, I still feel that understanding of indicators is greater than the information aspect, but the release of information can temporarily stimulate fluctuations in the market at that time.
The above is my analysis of some details regarding recent market operations, and I hope it helps you.
First, the first wave of short positions at 78000 will definitely reach 76200. Of course, there are also partial layouts of short positions from the night before yesterday, which are also gaining profit at this moment.
Secondly, at 96000 points, there are no signs of pullback and rise in the hourly and 4-hour indicators, but the 4-hour Bollinger Bands pattern and the historical support of the candlestick along with the head and shoulders neckline pattern suggest that the market cannot drop further, unless it breaks through the lower Bollinger Band. However, the lower band pattern is there, and the market still needs to recover. This belongs to a medium-term recovery pattern, but most of the time it won't break, instead, it will approach and then break through the next day. I am optimistic about breaking 74500 to go to 73000, but not today. However, given the recent large fluctuations in the market and the medium-term indicators still looking bearish, with only the ultra-short-term indicators looking bullish and the 4-hour indicators giving me confidence, we choose to take a light and aggressive position.
In fact, we encountered behavior breaking through the horizontal lower Bollinger Band, but it does not affect its pullback and closing, and we managed to catch some. We got them in batches at 76400 and 76800. Not much meat, just enough to fill up.
Finally, there's the short position at 76700; this position is a steady profit one, no need to say much.
While accurate market analysis is certainly important, contracts are leveraged products facing unpredictable factors, so when operating, if there is a perception of risk with a potential for profit based on indicator understanding, one can choose an aggressive light position or use a stop-loss. This choice is made based on a specific analysis of the market situation at that time.
Last night until dawn, all three positions made a profit. Although we missed the drop from 76000 to 72900, at that time the shoulder at 75700 and the support level at 74500 were present, along with the manifestation of the 4-hour indicators, making it impossible to take a short position at 76000. It was either to take a light long position or give up this short. This is similar to February 1st, when it dropped from 84000 to 78000; we only took 78000 and gave up on 75600. But we successfully bottomed at 75600.
When playing with contracts, I still feel that understanding of indicators is greater than the information aspect, but the release of information can temporarily stimulate fluctuations in the market at that time.
The above is my analysis of some details regarding recent market operations, and I hope it helps you.
$BTC Today I see that the mood for entering the spot market in the square is very high, and I must pour some cold water on this.
First of all, last night at 75600 was actually just 1100 points away from the 74500 on April 7, while the real support is at 74500. Once 74500 is broken, the lower levels are 66800 (2024/11/05, U.S. Election Day), 65000, 58000, 55000, and 52500.
From the weekly chart, it can be seen that the trend has some similarities to 2022 (btc market analysis this week 1/19). There is a chance for the market to reach 66800, and the lower Bollinger Band support on the monthly chart is at 55000. This is currently a basic analysis combining some candlesticks and historical support points below 74500.
From the indicators, currently, the weekly and daily indicators do not show signs of upward momentum. The mid-term indicators also do not indicate a need for a pullback and rise. At this time, I feel it is too early to enter the spot market; we must wait for mid to long-term indicators to show bullish signals before considering entering the spot market, rather than rushing in, which seems too shortsighted!
I must emphasize: if you really want to buy in the spot market, it’s not impossible. After all, you can just wait through the seasons and the test of time, and one day it will return; that is your personal freedom. I have nothing to say. But anyone who wants to lay out in the spot market with low leverage now is making an extremely foolish choice. If 74500 is truly broken, where will the future bottom be? We still need to look at the indicators week by week. You have more money than you can afford to lose, even risking a margin call!
Anyway, from the current perspective, I am not optimistic about a pullback and rise. It's either range-bound or a continued sell-off. As for the upward trend, based on the current indicators, there’s no chance at all!
I am optimistic about breaking below 74500 to go to 73000, followed by a range-bound movement below 74500, and then it will still go down again! 🤭🤭🤭
First of all, last night at 75600 was actually just 1100 points away from the 74500 on April 7, while the real support is at 74500. Once 74500 is broken, the lower levels are 66800 (2024/11/05, U.S. Election Day), 65000, 58000, 55000, and 52500.
From the weekly chart, it can be seen that the trend has some similarities to 2022 (btc market analysis this week 1/19). There is a chance for the market to reach 66800, and the lower Bollinger Band support on the monthly chart is at 55000. This is currently a basic analysis combining some candlesticks and historical support points below 74500.
From the indicators, currently, the weekly and daily indicators do not show signs of upward momentum. The mid-term indicators also do not indicate a need for a pullback and rise. At this time, I feel it is too early to enter the spot market; we must wait for mid to long-term indicators to show bullish signals before considering entering the spot market, rather than rushing in, which seems too shortsighted!
I must emphasize: if you really want to buy in the spot market, it’s not impossible. After all, you can just wait through the seasons and the test of time, and one day it will return; that is your personal freedom. I have nothing to say. But anyone who wants to lay out in the spot market with low leverage now is making an extremely foolish choice. If 74500 is truly broken, where will the future bottom be? We still need to look at the indicators week by week. You have more money than you can afford to lose, even risking a margin call!
Anyway, from the current perspective, I am not optimistic about a pullback and rise. It's either range-bound or a continued sell-off. As for the upward trend, based on the current indicators, there’s no chance at all!
I am optimistic about breaking below 74500 to go to 73000, followed by a range-bound movement below 74500, and then it will still go down again! 🤭🤭🤭
The head and shoulders pattern I wanted has been reached, the perfect short position has come to an end
Watch the indicators crash at any time, there's a good show to watch tonight
Yesterday, the market has already been analyzed; today I will take it easy. I won't write the analysis for the market this week. The trend still looks bearish; 74500 points is not the end, there are still positions below.
$BTC Today I see that the mood for entering the spot market in the square is very high, and I must pour some cold water on this.
First of all, last night at 75600 was actually just 1100 points away from the 74500 on April 7, while the real support is at 74500. Once 74500 is broken, the lower levels are 66800 (2024/11/05, U.S. Election Day), 65000, 58000, 55000, and 52500.
From the weekly chart, it can be seen that the trend has some similarities to 2022 (btc market analysis this week 1/19). There is a chance for the market to reach 66800, and the lower Bollinger Band support on the monthly chart is at 55000. This is currently a basic analysis combining some candlesticks and historical support points below 74500.
From the indicators, currently, the weekly and daily indicators do not show signs of upward momentum. The mid-term indicators also do not indicate a need for a pullback and rise. At this time, I feel it is too early to enter the spot market; we must wait for mid to long-term indicators to show bullish signals before considering entering the spot market, rather than rushing in, which seems too shortsighted!
I must emphasize: if you really want to buy in the spot market, it’s not impossible. After all, you can just wait through the seasons and the test of time, and one day it will return; that is your personal freedom. I have nothing to say. But anyone who wants to lay out in the spot market with low leverage now is making an extremely foolish choice. If 74500 is truly broken, where will the future bottom be? We still need to look at the indicators week by week. You have more money than you can afford to lose, even risking a margin call!
Anyway, from the current perspective, I am not optimistic about a pullback and rise. It's either range-bound or a continued sell-off. As for the upward trend, based on the current indicators, there’s no chance at all!
I am optimistic about breaking below 74500 to go to 73000, followed by a range-bound movement below 74500, and then it will still go down again! 🤭🤭🤭
First of all, last night at 75600 was actually just 1100 points away from the 74500 on April 7, while the real support is at 74500. Once 74500 is broken, the lower levels are 66800 (2024/11/05, U.S. Election Day), 65000, 58000, 55000, and 52500.
From the weekly chart, it can be seen that the trend has some similarities to 2022 (btc market analysis this week 1/19). There is a chance for the market to reach 66800, and the lower Bollinger Band support on the monthly chart is at 55000. This is currently a basic analysis combining some candlesticks and historical support points below 74500.
From the indicators, currently, the weekly and daily indicators do not show signs of upward momentum. The mid-term indicators also do not indicate a need for a pullback and rise. At this time, I feel it is too early to enter the spot market; we must wait for mid to long-term indicators to show bullish signals before considering entering the spot market, rather than rushing in, which seems too shortsighted!
I must emphasize: if you really want to buy in the spot market, it’s not impossible. After all, you can just wait through the seasons and the test of time, and one day it will return; that is your personal freedom. I have nothing to say. But anyone who wants to lay out in the spot market with low leverage now is making an extremely foolish choice. If 74500 is truly broken, where will the future bottom be? We still need to look at the indicators week by week. You have more money than you can afford to lose, even risking a margin call!
Anyway, from the current perspective, I am not optimistic about a pullback and rise. It's either range-bound or a continued sell-off. As for the upward trend, based on the current indicators, there’s no chance at all!
I am optimistic about breaking below 74500 to go to 73000, followed by a range-bound movement below 74500, and then it will still go down again! 🤭🤭🤭
$BTC #行情推演 【BTC Weekly Market Analysis】1/19
First, let's review last week's market: strong resistance at 99000, bearish down to a low of 91800, zb forcibly defended, with the ultimate goal of attracting retail investors to sell, raising the btc price to warm up the market. All analysis and predictions were accurate.
Weekly: From the weekly perspective, resistance at 99000 and 101500, support at 74500, the k-line bottom has moved up, the entire kdj did not achieve a high position reversal this week, macd below zero dif is rising, vol has been releasing continuous bullish and bearish energy for multiple weeks.
Summary: Fluctuation in the range of 91800-101500, but there is a risk of a trend reversal.
Daily: k-line bottom has moved up, upper ema pressure at 98000, support at 91800, kdj death cross macd zero upper death cross prototype, vol bearish increasing.
Summary: Although support at 91800 exists, daily indicators suggest a bearish outlook. Watch for 90000 and 87000.
6-hour: ema support at 91800 kdj death cross at the bottom stage, macd death cross breaking zero point stage, vol bearish increasing rapidly then bullish appears.
Summary: Market support at 91800, although bullish energy is currently being released, the overall view is still bearish.
4-hour: ema double track support at 91800, the door has temporarily not succeeded, kdj death cross macd breaking below zero point death cross, bullish multiples increasing after bearish energy release, boll lower track has been broken.
Summary: The market is in a stalemate phase [short-term fluctuation], overall bearish view.
Summary: Long-term weekly and daily analysis indicates a bearish outlook, support at 90000 and 87000, 4 and 6-hour analysis currently shows short-term fluctuations, further declines are expected.
The entire market trend appears bearish.
The entire market appears bearish, target 90000 and 87000.
Special note: Currently stuck at support level 91800, the market is showing a short-term small range fluctuation indicating a bearish trend, releasing medium-term indicators of bearishness. This is probable.
Summary: The entire market is fluctuating indicating a decline or falling to 90000 and 87000 points. Recently, it has not been able to rise.
The above is the analysis brought by the indicators, I personally lean towards the market breaking 90000 to reach 87000.
First, let's review last week's market: strong resistance at 99000, bearish down to a low of 91800, zb forcibly defended, with the ultimate goal of attracting retail investors to sell, raising the btc price to warm up the market. All analysis and predictions were accurate.
Weekly: From the weekly perspective, resistance at 99000 and 101500, support at 74500, the k-line bottom has moved up, the entire kdj did not achieve a high position reversal this week, macd below zero dif is rising, vol has been releasing continuous bullish and bearish energy for multiple weeks.
Summary: Fluctuation in the range of 91800-101500, but there is a risk of a trend reversal.
Daily: k-line bottom has moved up, upper ema pressure at 98000, support at 91800, kdj death cross macd zero upper death cross prototype, vol bearish increasing.
Summary: Although support at 91800 exists, daily indicators suggest a bearish outlook. Watch for 90000 and 87000.
6-hour: ema support at 91800 kdj death cross at the bottom stage, macd death cross breaking zero point stage, vol bearish increasing rapidly then bullish appears.
Summary: Market support at 91800, although bullish energy is currently being released, the overall view is still bearish.
4-hour: ema double track support at 91800, the door has temporarily not succeeded, kdj death cross macd breaking below zero point death cross, bullish multiples increasing after bearish energy release, boll lower track has been broken.
Summary: The market is in a stalemate phase [short-term fluctuation], overall bearish view.
Summary: Long-term weekly and daily analysis indicates a bearish outlook, support at 90000 and 87000, 4 and 6-hour analysis currently shows short-term fluctuations, further declines are expected.
The entire market trend appears bearish.
The entire market appears bearish, target 90000 and 87000.
Special note: Currently stuck at support level 91800, the market is showing a short-term small range fluctuation indicating a bearish trend, releasing medium-term indicators of bearishness. This is probable.
Summary: The entire market is fluctuating indicating a decline or falling to 90000 and 87000 points. Recently, it has not been able to rise.
The above is the analysis brought by the indicators, I personally lean towards the market breaking 90000 to reach 87000.
The above are some important points regarding recent contract operations. Those who were able to keep up have basically managed to secure what they could.
At the end of July 2024, btc7w sees a drop from 6 to 5, reaching the highest point of 48900 when the spot ETF was approved on January 11. On August 5, the actual market just reached that 48900 point from January 11. I remember for two consecutive days, taking my apprentice all the way to the high.
On December 3, 2024, btc was at 103500, looking to drop to 88000-89000, starting to position at 90000 for the spot. On December 6, btc fell to 89000.
On October 3, 2025, signs of a btc crash were already visible, starting to position for spot sales in batches. On October 10, the black swan event occurred, with btc plummeting 22000 points and eth 950 points. Contracts were well managed, and the pullback was also handled well.
On January 31, 2026, looking to drop from 84600 to 80000, aiming for 77500 and 75000; currently at 75600.
There are many black swan events I can't remember, but basically, everything in this area has been well managed.
Fans who have followed me for a long time should have some understanding! #BlackSwan
On December 3, 2024, btc was at 103500, looking to drop to 88000-89000, starting to position at 90000 for the spot. On December 6, btc fell to 89000.
On October 3, 2025, signs of a btc crash were already visible, starting to position for spot sales in batches. On October 10, the black swan event occurred, with btc plummeting 22000 points and eth 950 points. Contracts were well managed, and the pullback was also handled well.
On January 31, 2026, looking to drop from 84600 to 80000, aiming for 77500 and 75000; currently at 75600.
There are many black swan events I can't remember, but basically, everything in this area has been well managed.
Fans who have followed me for a long time should have some understanding! #BlackSwan
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