三叔
公众号：我们的三叔笔记｜X：@sanshubiji｜微博：三叔笔记Pro｜《从信仰到策略，一个韭菜的认知突围》—-著作人 币安手续费八折邀请码：SANSHU
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Come, come, come, let me teach you how to start a trading annual passive 100% profit strategy
Do you want to know why some people trade without paying transaction fees and can even earn additional rebates? Do you know the proportion of transaction fees for regular users compared to their total capital?
It's actually quite simple—the answer lies in Binance's 'Super Rebate' program.
🎯 What is Binance Rebate?
In simple terms: when you register on Binance through my exclusive invitation link or code, a portion of the transaction fees you generate will be returned to me as commission. I will directly return more than 20% of that to you!
This is equivalent to opening a 'fee discount account' for you, reducing trading costs and making it more cost-effective in the long run.
💡 Here's an example for you to understand:
Assuming your monthly trading volume is about 100,000
Transaction fee is about: 1000 U
If you enjoy a 20% rebate, you can save 200 U directly each month!
That's like having an extra hot pot fund each month, and over time it adds up to a considerable profit.
🚀 How to activate it? Just three steps:
Click this link to register 👇
https://www.maxweb.cab/join?ref=SANSHU
or enter the invitation code when registering: SANSHU
After registration, trade normally, and the rebates will be automatically settled weekly, no manual operation required!
If you are also interested in the following content:
Spot trading strategies
Contract precision operation skills
Potential altcoin layout suggestions
Latest airdrop and project opportunities
Feel free to contact me directly to join the [Rebate Exchange Group]
We share irregularly in the group:
✅ Practical trading strategies
✅ Potential project analysis
✅ Market dynamics reminders
📩 Add me = Get strategies + Receive alerts + Seize opportunities together!
Not only can you save on fees, but you can also gain valuable information. Why not?
✨ Easter egg tip:
The platform now supports adding friends directly, the path is as follows:
Top left corner 'Messages' → Chat → Top right corner 'Add Friend' → Enter ID: 47979086
Do you want to know why some people trade without paying transaction fees and can even earn additional rebates? Do you know the proportion of transaction fees for regular users compared to their total capital?
It's actually quite simple—the answer lies in Binance's 'Super Rebate' program.
🎯 What is Binance Rebate?
In simple terms: when you register on Binance through my exclusive invitation link or code, a portion of the transaction fees you generate will be returned to me as commission. I will directly return more than 20% of that to you!
This is equivalent to opening a 'fee discount account' for you, reducing trading costs and making it more cost-effective in the long run.
💡 Here's an example for you to understand:
Assuming your monthly trading volume is about 100,000
Transaction fee is about: 1000 U
If you enjoy a 20% rebate, you can save 200 U directly each month!
That's like having an extra hot pot fund each month, and over time it adds up to a considerable profit.
🚀 How to activate it? Just three steps:
Click this link to register 👇
https://www.maxweb.cab/join?ref=SANSHU
or enter the invitation code when registering: SANSHU
After registration, trade normally, and the rebates will be automatically settled weekly, no manual operation required!
If you are also interested in the following content:
Spot trading strategies
Contract precision operation skills
Potential altcoin layout suggestions
Latest airdrop and project opportunities
Feel free to contact me directly to join the [Rebate Exchange Group]
We share irregularly in the group:
✅ Practical trading strategies
✅ Potential project analysis
✅ Market dynamics reminders
📩 Add me = Get strategies + Receive alerts + Seize opportunities together!
Not only can you save on fees, but you can also gain valuable information. Why not?
✨ Easter egg tip:
The platform now supports adding friends directly, the path is as follows:
Top left corner 'Messages' → Chat → Top right corner 'Add Friend' → Enter ID: 47979086
PINNED
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Coming to the crypto world is about making money, getting rich overnight is the best! However, steady and consistent progress is the sustainable survival rule.
Binance official chat room: 币安王牌KOL聊天室，点击进群
Brothers who want to communicate with me privately can: Click the top left corner of the APP "Messages" → Chat → Add friend in the top right corner, enter: 47979086. Add Uncle San as a Binance friend.
Binance official chat room: 币安王牌KOL聊天室，点击进群
Brothers who want to communicate with me privately can: Click the top left corner of the APP "Messages" → Chat → Add friend in the top right corner, enter: 47979086. Add Uncle San as a Binance friend.
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Privacy coins soaring, smart money diversely offloading, will the short-term rally continue?
In terms of market trend, Liang's previous remarks have essentially covered everything.
After completing accumulation at lower levels for a prolonged period, Bitcoin has gradually met the conditions for an upward push. After the US stock market closed this morning, the main players acted decisively, pushing the price directly to 96,500 points—rising nearly 6,500 points in a short time compared to the level before the US market opened.
'A breeze begins among the tips of the floating grass.' Often, the real market moves don't start during the peak of excitement, but quietly when everyone is asleep, completing the directional choice in silence.
Meanwhile, XMR, the representative of the privacy concept, has consecutively closed with large bullish candles over the past three days, not only breaking its historical highs but also maintaining high trading volume. This kind of movement is clearly no longer just emotional speculation, but rather clear evidence of fund activity.
After completing accumulation at lower levels for a prolonged period, Bitcoin has gradually met the conditions for an upward push. After the US stock market closed this morning, the main players acted decisively, pushing the price directly to 96,500 points—rising nearly 6,500 points in a short time compared to the level before the US market opened.
'A breeze begins among the tips of the floating grass.' Often, the real market moves don't start during the peak of excitement, but quietly when everyone is asleep, completing the directional choice in silence.
Meanwhile, XMR, the representative of the privacy concept, has consecutively closed with large bullish candles over the past three days, not only breaking its historical highs but also maintaining high trading volume. This kind of movement is clearly no longer just emotional speculation, but rather clear evidence of fund activity.
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BSC is opening the door
The market over the past few days has been particularly representative.
BTC remains stable, macro factors are brewing, regulations are on the way, but sentiment has already exploded and collapsed repeatedly on BSC.
If you're only focusing on Bitcoin, you might think nothing significant has happened recently;
But if you've been active on BSC with memes over the past two days, you'd understand what a 'accelerator of human nature' means.
First, let's talk about the overall market.
Bitcoin is still adjusting above $90,000 today, with trading volume gradually increasing and volatility steadily rising—typical of a 'calm sentiment, stable structure.' Such market conditions usually indicate one of two possibilities: either waiting for macroeconomic and policy developments to materialize, or capital already seeking excitement elsewhere.
BTC remains stable, macro factors are brewing, regulations are on the way, but sentiment has already exploded and collapsed repeatedly on BSC.
If you're only focusing on Bitcoin, you might think nothing significant has happened recently;
But if you've been active on BSC with memes over the past two days, you'd understand what a 'accelerator of human nature' means.
First, let's talk about the overall market.
Bitcoin is still adjusting above $90,000 today, with trading volume gradually increasing and volatility steadily rising—typical of a 'calm sentiment, stable structure.' Such market conditions usually indicate one of two possibilities: either waiting for macroeconomic and policy developments to materialize, or capital already seeking excitement elsewhere.
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When You Buy 'Mom Coins,' Are You Really Brave Enough to Tell Your Parents?
The recent market trends have honestly reached a point where it's hard to fabricate any hot topics anymore.
Yesterday, the Chinese meme was suddenly ignited, starting from 'Binance Life,' followed by phrases like 'I'm here damn it' and 'Life's K-line,' a whole set of Chinese-context memes quickly spread. Then you'll find a familiar scene: mom, dad, various family ethics start going on-chain, emotions run high, logic vanishes, and Sun Ge is bewildered as he unexpectedly earns the honor of being called 'Grandson.'
I've always had a question I've been holding back: when you buy these coins, are you really brave enough to tell your parents?
Yesterday, the Chinese meme was suddenly ignited, starting from 'Binance Life,' followed by phrases like 'I'm here damn it' and 'Life's K-line,' a whole set of Chinese-context memes quickly spread. Then you'll find a familiar scene: mom, dad, various family ethics start going on-chain, emotions run high, logic vanishes, and Sun Ge is bewildered as he unexpectedly earns the honor of being called 'Grandson.'
I've always had a question I've been holding back: when you buy these coins, are you really brave enough to tell your parents?
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This year, the market didn't teach us how to get rich, but it taught us how to live.
A year has passed just like that.
Many people might not even remember exactly which day things started to go wrong; they only remember that this year has gone by quickly yet has been quite exhausting. The market is moving, time is moving, and people are being pushed forward, as if always dealing with the next candlestick, the next piece of news, the next emotional fluctuation, rarely stopping to ask themselves: What have I really experienced this year?
To be honest, the words 'year-end' are quite cruel for those who trade. You can't just summarize your emotions like at work; the numbers in your account, the decisions you've made, and the opportunities you've missed are all laid out there, whether you want to face them or not. You can pretend not to look, but they won't disappear.
Many people might not even remember exactly which day things started to go wrong; they only remember that this year has gone by quickly yet has been quite exhausting. The market is moving, time is moving, and people are being pushed forward, as if always dealing with the next candlestick, the next piece of news, the next emotional fluctuation, rarely stopping to ask themselves: What have I really experienced this year?
To be honest, the words 'year-end' are quite cruel for those who trade. You can't just summarize your emotions like at work; the numbers in your account, the decisions you've made, and the opportunities you've missed are all laid out there, whether you want to face them or not. You can pretend not to look, but they won't disappear.
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Let's follow up on the market status. After the Bank of Japan's meeting minutes were released this morning, the market briefly rose. The end of the triangular consolidation achieved a four-hour breakout, and technically, we still need an effective support at the bottom of the four-hour consolidation for this breakout to be valid. Currently, we are in the pullback stage.
A more precise signal from a technical perspective will come when the US stock market opens tonight. After the liquidity returns, we need to see if it can stabilize at the daily level of 88000 points. If it can, it can be seen as an increased probability of a short-term bullish rebound, and it may continue to rise. The trend will first rise and then fall; we missed this small wave because we were holding cash.
On the contrary, the market will continue according to San Shu's previous viewpoint. After this four-hour false breakout, the pullback will continue, and the bottoming process will persist. At this time, just patiently wait for a high cost-performance bottom position.
In terms of long-term operations, after the last reduction, our cash position was at 30% and has not given a chance below 84000 points. The liquidity in this phase is evident to everyone. For those partially in cash, this can also be a relatively good strategy. When there are no opportunities, we will not casually increase our positions. Before hitting the cyclical low point in March next year, San Shu will manage positions by buying small and selling large, meaning that after each anticipated low point is reached, we will buy in batches, and sell large positions after each rebound peak. If we haven't reached our ideal buying position, we would rather hold cash than chase the price up; if it rises, we will continue to reduce our holdings, step by step releasing positions.
A more precise signal from a technical perspective will come when the US stock market opens tonight. After the liquidity returns, we need to see if it can stabilize at the daily level of 88000 points. If it can, it can be seen as an increased probability of a short-term bullish rebound, and it may continue to rise. The trend will first rise and then fall; we missed this small wave because we were holding cash.
On the contrary, the market will continue according to San Shu's previous viewpoint. After this four-hour false breakout, the pullback will continue, and the bottoming process will persist. At this time, just patiently wait for a high cost-performance bottom position.
In terms of long-term operations, after the last reduction, our cash position was at 30% and has not given a chance below 84000 points. The liquidity in this phase is evident to everyone. For those partially in cash, this can also be a relatively good strategy. When there are no opportunities, we will not casually increase our positions. Before hitting the cyclical low point in March next year, San Shu will manage positions by buying small and selling large, meaning that after each anticipated low point is reached, we will buy in batches, and sell large positions after each rebound peak. If we haven't reached our ideal buying position, we would rather hold cash than chase the price up; if it rises, we will continue to reduce our holdings, step by step releasing positions.
三叔
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Currently, Bitcoin's four-hour market filled the gap of decline at 12 a.m. on Wednesday, and in the morning, it touched the upper edge of the triangle breakout. From a technical perspective, the bullish and bearish forces are evenly matched; whichever side breaks first will trigger a short-term market cycle after Christmas.
On the data front, the capital inflow at ten o'clock in the morning exceeded 200 million USD. After this capital entered the market, it almost all fled by eleven o'clock in the morning. Attention should be paid to the capital holding situation before the afternoon US stock market and after the evening opening; currently, Uncle San believes that the possibility of effective relay promoting a significant rebound is low.
However, from the perspective of liquidity acquisition, the probability of the market continuing upward to obtain the head liquidity of 91K-92K in the short term is at an acceptable state. Be cautious of pinning back and forth, as the recovery of liquidity is relatively slow. The four-hour and daily levels maintain the previous view, and after a high adjustment, continue to test the final bottom downwards.
On the data front, the capital inflow at ten o'clock in the morning exceeded 200 million USD. After this capital entered the market, it almost all fled by eleven o'clock in the morning. Attention should be paid to the capital holding situation before the afternoon US stock market and after the evening opening; currently, Uncle San believes that the possibility of effective relay promoting a significant rebound is low.
However, from the perspective of liquidity acquisition, the probability of the market continuing upward to obtain the head liquidity of 91K-92K in the short term is at an acceptable state. Be cautious of pinning back and forth, as the recovery of liquidity is relatively slow. The four-hour and daily levels maintain the previous view, and after a high adjustment, continue to test the final bottom downwards.
See original
Currently, Bitcoin's four-hour market filled the gap of decline at 12 a.m. on Wednesday, and in the morning, it touched the upper edge of the triangle breakout. From a technical perspective, the bullish and bearish forces are evenly matched; whichever side breaks first will trigger a short-term market cycle after Christmas.
On the data front, the capital inflow at ten o'clock in the morning exceeded 200 million USD. After this capital entered the market, it almost all fled by eleven o'clock in the morning. Attention should be paid to the capital holding situation before the afternoon US stock market and after the evening opening; currently, Uncle San believes that the possibility of effective relay promoting a significant rebound is low.
However, from the perspective of liquidity acquisition, the probability of the market continuing upward to obtain the head liquidity of 91K-92K in the short term is at an acceptable state. Be cautious of pinning back and forth, as the recovery of liquidity is relatively slow. The four-hour and daily levels maintain the previous view, and after a high adjustment, continue to test the final bottom downwards.
On the data front, the capital inflow at ten o'clock in the morning exceeded 200 million USD. After this capital entered the market, it almost all fled by eleven o'clock in the morning. Attention should be paid to the capital holding situation before the afternoon US stock market and after the evening opening; currently, Uncle San believes that the possibility of effective relay promoting a significant rebound is low.
However, from the perspective of liquidity acquisition, the probability of the market continuing upward to obtain the head liquidity of 91K-92K in the short term is at an acceptable state. Be cautious of pinning back and forth, as the recovery of liquidity is relatively slow. The four-hour and daily levels maintain the previous view, and after a high adjustment, continue to test the final bottom downwards.
三叔
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Bearish
According to the current market trend, the four-hour market started to move down the trend line after failing to rebound at the pressure point at 8 PM on the 22nd.
After breaking down the 88000 point at noon on the 23rd, until 8 AM today, the four-hour level underwent a test of the trend line support at the bottom, three tests of breaking through the 88000 point at the hourly level, now breaking below 87000 points, and will continue to look for new large-level support downwards.
From a trend perspective, Uncle San believes that if the bearish continuation viewpoint holds, it will most likely break below 85800 points before the four-hour level closes tonight at 12 AM. The large-level support position at the bottom is still around 83000 points, at which point a triple wave of push will be formed, marking the official end of this pullback.
After breaking down the 88000 point at noon on the 23rd, until 8 AM today, the four-hour level underwent a test of the trend line support at the bottom, three tests of breaking through the 88000 point at the hourly level, now breaking below 87000 points, and will continue to look for new large-level support downwards.
From a trend perspective, Uncle San believes that if the bearish continuation viewpoint holds, it will most likely break below 85800 points before the four-hour level closes tonight at 12 AM. The large-level support position at the bottom is still around 83000 points, at which point a triple wave of push will be formed, marking the official end of this pullback.
See original
According to the current market trend, the four-hour market started to move down the trend line after failing to rebound at the pressure point at 8 PM on the 22nd.
After breaking down the 88000 point at noon on the 23rd, until 8 AM today, the four-hour level underwent a test of the trend line support at the bottom, three tests of breaking through the 88000 point at the hourly level, now breaking below 87000 points, and will continue to look for new large-level support downwards.
From a trend perspective, Uncle San believes that if the bearish continuation viewpoint holds, it will most likely break below 85800 points before the four-hour level closes tonight at 12 AM. The large-level support position at the bottom is still around 83000 points, at which point a triple wave of push will be formed, marking the official end of this pullback.
After breaking down the 88000 point at noon on the 23rd, until 8 AM today, the four-hour level underwent a test of the trend line support at the bottom, three tests of breaking through the 88000 point at the hourly level, now breaking below 87000 points, and will continue to look for new large-level support downwards.
From a trend perspective, Uncle San believes that if the bearish continuation viewpoint holds, it will most likely break below 85800 points before the four-hour level closes tonight at 12 AM. The large-level support position at the bottom is still around 83000 points, at which point a triple wave of push will be formed, marking the official end of this pullback.
三叔
--
#BTC is currently attempting a bullish breakout structure, with strong resistance in the four-hour downtrend in the range of 89800 points---90800 points. Only if this area is broken can there be a possibility for further upward targeting, with the breakthrough high expected at 96000 points.
The four-hour dynamic support is at 88000 points. If there are two consecutive four-hour closes below this position, it can be considered that this round of bullish counterattack has failed, and the price will continue to return to the previously set low of 83000 points.
In terms of trends, Uncle San believes that there is currently no clear signal indicating that the market can reverse or experience a significant rebound, and there are no signs of easing in the main downtrend at the daily closing level in the short term. In terms of operations, those with positions at this level can continue to wait, while those without positions should remain patient. During the Christmas holiday, liquidity will sharply decrease, so it is advisable to observe the adjustment situation after the slight return of liquidity following tonight's U.S. stock market opening.
The four-hour dynamic support is at 88000 points. If there are two consecutive four-hour closes below this position, it can be considered that this round of bullish counterattack has failed, and the price will continue to return to the previously set low of 83000 points.
In terms of trends, Uncle San believes that there is currently no clear signal indicating that the market can reverse or experience a significant rebound, and there are no signs of easing in the main downtrend at the daily closing level in the short term. In terms of operations, those with positions at this level can continue to wait, while those without positions should remain patient. During the Christmas holiday, liquidity will sharply decrease, so it is advisable to observe the adjustment situation after the slight return of liquidity following tonight's U.S. stock market opening.
See original
#BTC is currently attempting a bullish breakout structure, with strong resistance in the four-hour downtrend in the range of 89800 points---90800 points. Only if this area is broken can there be a possibility for further upward targeting, with the breakthrough high expected at 96000 points.
The four-hour dynamic support is at 88000 points. If there are two consecutive four-hour closes below this position, it can be considered that this round of bullish counterattack has failed, and the price will continue to return to the previously set low of 83000 points.
In terms of trends, Uncle San believes that there is currently no clear signal indicating that the market can reverse or experience a significant rebound, and there are no signs of easing in the main downtrend at the daily closing level in the short term. In terms of operations, those with positions at this level can continue to wait, while those without positions should remain patient. During the Christmas holiday, liquidity will sharply decrease, so it is advisable to observe the adjustment situation after the slight return of liquidity following tonight's U.S. stock market opening.
The four-hour dynamic support is at 88000 points. If there are two consecutive four-hour closes below this position, it can be considered that this round of bullish counterattack has failed, and the price will continue to return to the previously set low of 83000 points.
In terms of trends, Uncle San believes that there is currently no clear signal indicating that the market can reverse or experience a significant rebound, and there are no signs of easing in the main downtrend at the daily closing level in the short term. In terms of operations, those with positions at this level can continue to wait, while those without positions should remain patient. During the Christmas holiday, liquidity will sharply decrease, so it is advisable to observe the adjustment situation after the slight return of liquidity following tonight's U.S. stock market opening.
See original
Liquidity Withdrawal and Market Prediction
The market has a significant cognitive bias regarding Japan's interest rate hike, with most opinions categorizing it as negative news, believing that the negative impact will materialize immediately, while ignoring that its core is triggering a liquidity shock that causes substantial asset migration. From the perspective of funding behavior logic, before the interest rate hike takes effect, the funds borrowed in yen flowing into the cryptocurrency market have no incentive to return early—returning early would lead to a reduction in interest income, so funds tend to hold until just before the interest rate hike takes effect.
After the interest rate hike officially takes effect, the cost of financing in yen will rise, the arbitrage space will disappear, and the yen leverage funds in the cryptocurrency market will inevitably flow back to Japan, creating a significant liquidity withdrawal pressure. This determines that after the interest rate hike, ETH is likely to face a decline, but since the market has partially reacted in advance, the decline will be smaller than the volatility intensity before the rate hike.
After the interest rate hike officially takes effect, the cost of financing in yen will rise, the arbitrage space will disappear, and the yen leverage funds in the cryptocurrency market will inevitably flow back to Japan, creating a significant liquidity withdrawal pressure. This determines that after the interest rate hike, ETH is likely to face a decline, but since the market has partially reacted in advance, the decline will be smaller than the volatility intensity before the rate hike.
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The essence of overnight double killing in long and short positions is harvesting!
Uncle San is coming today to conduct an in-depth analysis of the $ETH market.
Core event review: The essence of the extreme volatility of ETH overnight, dominated by the main force's leverage cleansing.
Extreme volatility reappeared in the crypto market overnight, with ETH performing a pin bar pattern: after the US stock market opened, it first dipped to 2880, then quickly surged violently to 3030, and finally fell back to around 2800. Such movements are not the result of natural supply and demand games in the market, but rather a strategy of double killing implemented by the main force through price manipulation.
From a trading logic perspective, the core purpose of volatility is to cleanse leveraged positions across the market: creating false breakout signals during periods of relatively thin liquidity, attracting high-leverage long funds to enter; then triggering long position liquidations through reverse smashing while using market panic to force low-position holders to cut losses, ultimately completing the collection of blood-stained chips. This process essentially exploits the market's greed and fear emotions to achieve indiscriminate cleansing of investors in different directions and holding states, rather than being a signal for the initiation of a trending market.
Core event review: The essence of the extreme volatility of ETH overnight, dominated by the main force's leverage cleansing.
Extreme volatility reappeared in the crypto market overnight, with ETH performing a pin bar pattern: after the US stock market opened, it first dipped to 2880, then quickly surged violently to 3030, and finally fell back to around 2800. Such movements are not the result of natural supply and demand games in the market, but rather a strategy of double killing implemented by the main force through price manipulation.
From a trading logic perspective, the core purpose of volatility is to cleanse leveraged positions across the market: creating false breakout signals during periods of relatively thin liquidity, attracting high-leverage long funds to enter; then triggering long position liquidations through reverse smashing while using market panic to force low-position holders to cut losses, ultimately completing the collection of blood-stained chips. This process essentially exploits the market's greed and fear emotions to achieve indiscriminate cleansing of investors in different directions and holding states, rather than being a signal for the initiation of a trending market.
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The results are below expectations; what should we do next? With interest rate hikes approaching, should we short?
$ETH In the short term, influenced by dual core factors, the bearish pattern remains unchanged, with 2800 serving as the critical line for longs and shorts.
Liquidity: A suspected address associated with the Lido founder reduced its holdings by 14,585 ETH at an average price of $2928, cashing out $42.71 million, which increases short-term selling pressure. Macroeconomic: The U.S. November non-farm payroll data has been released, with expectations of adding 40,000 jobs, and the data has exceeded expectations.
Concentration of liquidation risk is high: Falling below 2800 will trigger $849 million in long liquidations, while breaking above 3000 will trigger $659 million in short liquidations. From a technical perspective, the 1-hour BOLL band has narrowed to 2900-2966, MACD shows a weak golden cross, and RSI is in the weak zone at 40, with resistance at 2970 and support between 2870-2800.
Liquidity: A suspected address associated with the Lido founder reduced its holdings by 14,585 ETH at an average price of $2928, cashing out $42.71 million, which increases short-term selling pressure. Macroeconomic: The U.S. November non-farm payroll data has been released, with expectations of adding 40,000 jobs, and the data has exceeded expectations.
Concentration of liquidation risk is high: Falling below 2800 will trigger $849 million in long liquidations, while breaking above 3000 will trigger $659 million in short liquidations. From a technical perspective, the 1-hour BOLL band has narrowed to 2900-2966, MACD shows a weak golden cross, and RSI is in the weak zone at 40, with resistance at 2970 and support between 2870-2800.
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Is it the regular army to save the situation? Or is it here to reap the last knife of this round?
Wall Street Giants Entering the Game
JPMorgan, managing over $4 trillion in assets, launched an on-chain money market fund on the Ethereum network, marking the official deep layout of traditional financial giants in the crypto market, building a key bridge for compliant institutional funding entry. This move is not an ordinary retail-level product innovation, but an institutional-grade crypto financial solution aimed at professional investors, whose industry demonstration effect far exceeds the product itself.
RWA Institutional Funding Entry Core Channel
The essence of JPMorgan's layout is to address the compliance and security pain points of traditional institutional funding entering the crypto market:
JPMorgan, managing over $4 trillion in assets, launched an on-chain money market fund on the Ethereum network, marking the official deep layout of traditional financial giants in the crypto market, building a key bridge for compliant institutional funding entry. This move is not an ordinary retail-level product innovation, but an institutional-grade crypto financial solution aimed at professional investors, whose industry demonstration effect far exceeds the product itself.
RWA Institutional Funding Entry Core Channel
The essence of JPMorgan's layout is to address the compliance and security pain points of traditional institutional funding entering the crypto market:
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Why do markets fail to respond to macro events?
Uncle San will explain the reasons for the recent consolidation to everyone.
Currently, the market is exhibiting a significant macro event dampening effect: after the two major announcements of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates as expected and the rising expectations of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates, $BTC and $ETH did not show the traditional rise and fall response, but instead fell into a range-bound oscillation pattern.
The core issue is not that the market is behaving unusually, but that market expectations have been sufficiently digested in advance. Information such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut path and Japan's monetary policy shift has been continuously released through various forward guidance and market expectation surveys prior to formal implementation, completing multiple rounds of pricing before the events occurred. This has resulted in a market that shows characteristics of not rising on good news and not falling on bad news when the events materialize:
Currently, the market is exhibiting a significant macro event dampening effect: after the two major announcements of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates as expected and the rising expectations of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates, $BTC and $ETH did not show the traditional rise and fall response, but instead fell into a range-bound oscillation pattern.
The core issue is not that the market is behaving unusually, but that market expectations have been sufficiently digested in advance. Information such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut path and Japan's monetary policy shift has been continuously released through various forward guidance and market expectation surveys prior to formal implementation, completing multiple rounds of pricing before the events occurred. This has resulted in a market that shows characteristics of not rising on good news and not falling on bad news when the events materialize:
See original
Is it a deliberate harvest? Or is it a benevolent dealer?
Hello everyone, I'm San Shu! Just when the market was scared out of its wits by the liquidation of 17 million long positions in 4 hours, the market had already hidden strong signals. Is this a bloodbath for the bulls? Or is it a precise clearing before the main force's rally! Follow San Shu so you won't get lost; today I'm going to reveal the true cards behind this wave of liquidations.
Looking at the news from the opposite perspective: liquidation is not a bearish signal; it's a major cleanup before the rise.
Data is here: 4 hours ZEC liquidated 17 million, 90% are long positions.
But don't just look at how much was liquidated; you need to see who was liquidated: these long positions are all leveraged trades chasing the rise recently, and the floating profits are unable to hold on, making them the most fragile chips in the market. The essence of the main force's operation this time is to concentrate on clearing the follow-up positions: washing out all the floating positions that are indecisive, alleviating the selling pressure, and afterwards, there won't even be resistance levels for the rally.
Looking at the news from the opposite perspective: liquidation is not a bearish signal; it's a major cleanup before the rise.
Data is here: 4 hours ZEC liquidated 17 million, 90% are long positions.
But don't just look at how much was liquidated; you need to see who was liquidated: these long positions are all leveraged trades chasing the rise recently, and the floating profits are unable to hold on, making them the most fragile chips in the market. The essence of the main force's operation this time is to concentrate on clearing the follow-up positions: washing out all the floating positions that are indecisive, alleviating the selling pressure, and afterwards, there won't even be resistance levels for the rally.
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Why did it drop so quickly after the interest rate cut?
Core macro events: Interest rate cut implemented but differences have intensified, expectations for easing have cooled
The Federal Reserve implemented a 25 basis point rate cut as expected, but significant differences emerged within the monetary policy decision-making body, with a vote of 9 in favor and 3 against, setting a record for the highest number of dissenting votes in six years, directly indicating the complexity of the current policy choices
Hawkish opposition logic: Some officials believe that inflationary pressures remain sticky, and an early rate cut could undermine previous anti-inflation achievements, with concerns that easing policies could trigger a rebound in inflation
Dovish opposition logic: Another group of officials advocates for a more substantial rate cut to preemptively hedge against potential economic downturn risks, avoiding lagging policy adjustments
The Federal Reserve implemented a 25 basis point rate cut as expected, but significant differences emerged within the monetary policy decision-making body, with a vote of 9 in favor and 3 against, setting a record for the highest number of dissenting votes in six years, directly indicating the complexity of the current policy choices
Hawkish opposition logic: Some officials believe that inflationary pressures remain sticky, and an early rate cut could undermine previous anti-inflation achievements, with concerns that easing policies could trigger a rebound in inflation
Dovish opposition logic: Another group of officials advocates for a more substantial rate cut to preemptively hedge against potential economic downturn risks, avoiding lagging policy adjustments
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Can
#美联储降息 The essence of interest rate cuts is long-term benefits and short-term drawbacks. In the short term, profit-taking occurs when positive outcomes are realized. In the long term, after an interest rate cut, there will be an influx of capital.
In this wave, I need to find a position to buy; if it reaches 84000, I will buy some BTC first.
In this wave, I need to find a position to buy; if it reaches 84000, I will buy some BTC first.
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How is it? What third uncle said is not wrong, right? $ETH has kept up with the rhythm and has at least 300 points, what should be the next step? You can privately message third uncle
#ETH走势分析
#ETH走势分析
三叔
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After this weekend, how will Ethereum move forward?
Core contradictions escalate: 1.73 billion liquidation symmetrical structure, a life-and-death situation dominated by the main players
ETH is currently trapped in a liquidation symmetrical game structure within the 3000-3200 range. This is not a natural market fluctuation, but rather a psychological pressure battlefield deliberately constructed by the main players. The bidirectional liquidation chips form a key game node:
Break above 3200: This will trigger the concentrated liquidation of 764 million USD in short positions, leading to a trend-driven rise and becoming the core ignition point for the main upward wave.
Break below 3000: This will trigger the forced liquidation of 973 million USD in long positions, resulting in a pullback to the 2800 range or even lower, completing the final round of deep washing and chip turnover.
ETH is currently trapped in a liquidation symmetrical game structure within the 3000-3200 range. This is not a natural market fluctuation, but rather a psychological pressure battlefield deliberately constructed by the main players. The bidirectional liquidation chips form a key game node:
Break above 3200: This will trigger the concentrated liquidation of 764 million USD in short positions, leading to a trend-driven rise and becoming the core ignition point for the main upward wave.
Break below 3000: This will trigger the forced liquidation of 973 million USD in long positions, resulting in a pullback to the 2800 range or even lower, completing the final round of deep washing and chip turnover.
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Amidst the sound of recession, we welcome the last interest rate cut of the year
Everyone, I'm back. During the two weeks of no updates, Uncle San has not been idle; in fact, he has been busier than usual.
In terms of business development, I have met many new friends in Dubai to learn from their experiences. Soon, we will officially start the MCN plan for the studio, and the major node plan mentioned at the end of the research report will be formally included in the work schedule. Partners who have not received their commission rebates after years in the field can come to us. Over the years, this is an extra income that is no less than ordinary trading.
In terms of market dynamics, there has been almost no good trading space in the past half month. Apart from a few counterfeit leaders guiding a short-term market trend, the market has been stagnant. Bitcoin and Ethereum have been fluctuating without breaking through the upper resistance or falling below the lower support. The market has been waiting, just like us, for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance after the meeting, and also for the final implementation of the yen interest rate hike.
In terms of business development, I have met many new friends in Dubai to learn from their experiences. Soon, we will officially start the MCN plan for the studio, and the major node plan mentioned at the end of the research report will be formally included in the work schedule. Partners who have not received their commission rebates after years in the field can come to us. Over the years, this is an extra income that is no less than ordinary trading.
In terms of market dynamics, there has been almost no good trading space in the past half month. Apart from a few counterfeit leaders guiding a short-term market trend, the market has been stagnant. Bitcoin and Ethereum have been fluctuating without breaking through the upper resistance or falling below the lower support. The market has been waiting, just like us, for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance after the meeting, and also for the final implementation of the yen interest rate hike.
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