Trisha_Saha

Join me in this analysis as we look at Dogecoin on the weekly timeframe, let's go deep into this chart and also the altcoins market.

There is something about counting the weeks. It is a strange phenomena but it works as a guide.

Not many projects close more than four consecutive weeks red. In this chart DOGEUSDT closed more than four weeks red only once, and this chart has more than two years worth of data.

The only time DOGE closed five weeks red there was a strong reversal on the sixth.

Within a down move, there can be additional bearish action after four weeks close red but it is always very close to the reversal point. After the sustained bearish action becomes actualize, the market turns.

This is the situation we are in now. Four weeks already closed red and everything is very similar to August 2024.

DOGEUSDT started to decline March 2024. Reaching the end of this decline, first a little bit of bullish action, which is equivalent to the green week we see here late-December/early January. Then the consecutive red weeks and the reversal starts to form.

Caution around these levels because there is always some sort of shakeout, liquidity hunt or flush.

Dogecoin is now trading within a good "entry zone." Bottom prices with support shown as a rising trendline and also the October 2025 flush low.

Two things to consider: This chart shows a reversal can happen within 2 weeks counting this week. So the current active candle and then the next candle. This is based on past action and the size and duration of the bearish wave. So we are very close to a reversal but here anything can happen.

A spot trader, investor, can buy as much as he/she wants without a care in the world. You can't go wrong when prices are this low. Even if the market were to move lower, it would only be a momentary drop.

Second, the next move is not expected to last a long time. While we expect bullish action, the fact that Bitcoin will turn extremely bearish later on, the most bearish since 2022, calls for caution. After this bearish period though we can go all-in with full force.

This is to say that it would be wise to prepare and plan for selling at the appearance of the next bullish wave. As soon as prices are high, excitement is present across the market, there is lots of hype and the sentiment turns from fear to greed, that's the moment to take profits. We will then have several months to enter again when prices are low.

Any type of bullish action will be short-lived, lasting 1-2 months at most. Then we get the bearish climax, months of bearish action, Bitcoin's bottom, consolidation at bottom prices followed by a recovery.

If Bitcoin were to move now suddenly below $70,000 and wick at $60,000 then things can change. A bullish period can last not only 1-2 months, but 2-4 months; we adapt to market conditions depending on what is happening today.

We use the past as a guide but the action is never truly the same. It is similar, but as the market grows, the patterns continue to change.

When the futures trading got started this changed the whole dynamic the market used to go through, all the patterns were distorted. Then we saw the ETFs and again, huge change. Now we have the options trading and this also is making hard to predict exact dates. With each new addition, we have to adapt to new possibilities and we are open to everything.

Let's say 1-2 weeks at most, can be more but this is my prediction right now. We go bullish and this bullish wave can be mild or strong, never small because of the size, strength and duration of the bearish cycle.

Then this bullish move being strong also will support the major crash that follows. Those projects/pairs that are set to remain within higher lows will grow really high. Those pairs that are set to crash bad will perform poorly. There will be countless of choices, it will be mixed. Choose wisely.

Namaste.

$DOGE

ENSOUSDT Price Analysis – Bullish Reversal from Demand Zone (1H Timeframe)

ENSO/USDT is currently forming a bullish reversal setup on the 1-hour timeframe after price retraced into a well-defined demand zone between $1.202 and $1.178. This zone has previously acted as strong support, indicating buyer accumulation and downside exhaustion.

The entry price is around $1.201, with price holding above the demand area, which keeps the bullish bias intact. As long as ENSO maintains support above this zone, the structure favors upside continuation. On the upside, the first resistance target is $1.302 (Target One), followed by $1.401 (Target Two), aligning with prior swing highs and liquidity levels.

A stop loss at $1.161 is placed below the demand zone to protect against invalidation. A clean break below this level would signal a bearish shift in market structure and negate the long setup.

Summary:
Holding above the demand zone supports a bullish rebound and trend continuation, while a breakdown below support would turn the outlook bearish. Traders should wait for confirmation near the entry zone to maintain a favorable risk-to-reward profile.

$ENSO

CVXUSDT is currently showing a bullish recovery setup on the 1-hour timeframe as price pulls back into a strong demand zone near $1.77. This area has previously acted as support, indicating renewed buyer interest after the recent correction.

The entry price is around $1.774, with price expected to stabilize above this support zone. As long as CVX holds above the demand area, the bullish structure remains intact. On the upside, the first resistance target is $1.902 (Target One), followed by $2.014 (Target Two), which aligns with prior highs and represents a key profit-booking zone.

A stop loss at $1.714 is placed below the demand zone to protect against downside risk. A clean break below this level would invalidate the bullish setup and shift momentum back in favor of sellers.

Summary:
Holding above the demand zone supports a bullish bounce and continuation, while a breakdown below support would turn the outlook bearish. Traders should wait for confirmation near the entry zone for better risk-to-reward.

$CVX

Ondo5 hours ago
ONDO Dips to $0.28: RWA Gem Undervalued Amid 2026?
1Grab this chart
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Title: 🚨 ONDO Dips to $0.28: RWA Gem Undervalued Amid 2026 Unlocks or Supply Trap? Deep Dive!

Hello TradingView community! 👋

Today, let's dive into ONDOUSD with a detailed analysis focusing on fundamentals, SWOT, and technicals. 📊 This isn't financial advice just an in-depth look based on public data.

Current Snapshot:
Price: $0.28 💵
52-Week High/Low: $2.14 / $0.20 📈📉
Market Cap: $2.84B 💰

Fundamental Analysis (e.g., Intrinsic Value and Ratios):
For crypto tokens like ONDO (governance for RWA tokenization), adapt traditional methods to tokenomics and protocol metrics. No EPS or D/E, but use MC/TVL ratio (1.1x at $2.84B MC / $2.6B TVL), book value per token approximated via circulating supply (~3.2B pre-unlock, post ~5.1B after 1.94B unlock).

For instance, DCF models might project a value range of $0.30 to $0.50 based on growth assumptions of 20% TVL increase (historical 39% rise), terminal growth 5%, and 15% discount rate, using annualized fees ~$64M as cash flow proxy. Compare to peers for relative valuation (e.g., Centrifuge lower MC/TVL but less adoption; ONDO premium due to institutional ties).

Key ratios: Negative ROE analog ( -75% 1-year return), P/E N/A, but FDV/Fees ~42x highlights efficiency and valuation status (undervalued below $0.30 without unlock pressure, but $0.41 to $0.74 forecasts imply upside post-absorption). 📈

SWOT Analysis (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats):

Strengths: 💪 Leader in RWA tokenization with $2.6B TVL, products like OUSG/USDY for tokenized Treasuries, institutional partnerships (Franklin Templeton, MetaMask), and scalable multi-chain presence.

Weaknesses: ⚠️ Heavy supply unlocks (1.94B tokens in Jan 2026, 61% increase), high volatility from market corrections (88% drawdown from ATH), and limited direct revenue accrual to token holders.

Opportunities: 🌟 Growing RWA market with regulatory clarity, new integrations (e.g., Solana stocks, perpetuals platform), and events like Ondo Summit driving adoption.

Threats: 🛑 Competition from Centrifuge/others, macro risks delaying institutional inflows, and persistent unlock dilution until 2026.

Technical and Risk Insights:
Incorporate non-repainting indicators like 200-day SMA ($0.70) for support/resistance. Current RSI (30) signals oversold 🚨. Risk factors: Volatility (beta ~1.8 vs BTC, implied from altcoin nature), or factor exposure (e.g., to interest rates via Treasuries).

Consider performance attribution how much return comes from sector vs. stock selection (60% from RWA trends vs. ONDO-specific unlocks). 📉

Historical Context and Examples:
ONDOUSD has shown -75% annualized returns over 1 year, with examples like the Jan 2026 unlock leading to recovery potential (from $0.20 low rebounding amid TVL growth).

This illustrates how methods like SWOT or relative valuation can inform decisions in real markets. 📜

What do you think does this align with your view on ONDOUSD for 2026? Share your analyses or charts below! ❓

$ONDO

❄️ Cu temperatura scăzând și temperaturile înghețând, se pare că piața a fost afectată de vreme puțin prea mult. Sper că toată lumea se descurcă bine, o să păstrez asta scurt și rapid, mulțumesc că ați ascultat, apreciez pe toată lumea ca întotdeauna.

❄️ Acțiune de Preț: În acest moment avem un sentiment bearish și o mulțime de volatilitate în ceea ce privește prețurile, care variază de la $1.50-1.55, reprezentând aproape 5% în ultimele 24 de ore.

❄️ Suport/Rezistență Cheie: O scădere critică sub $1.60 a avut loc, făcând ca $1.50–$1.54 să fie zona de suport imediată de urmărit. Rezistența este acum stabilită în jurul $1.60–$1.62. Canalul descendent este încă activ și nu ajută lucrurile.

Price reacted perfectly from the major weekly demand zone 🧲
This area has acted as a strong support multiple times before, and buyers stepped in again.

Entry zone:

🔹 72,000 – 74,000

Targets:

🎯 Target 1: 100,800
🎯 Target 2: 119,500

Invalidation / SL:

❌ Weekly close below 70,000

$BTC

The Core Thesis
This is not a breakout gamble.

This is a structured long from demand, with downside capped, and upside mapped into clear resistance liquidity.

If buyers defend this zone, the reward is asymmetric.

If they don’t, the trade is invalidated quickly.

That is how professionals manage uncertainty.

Entry Area, Buyers Are Positioned Here

My entry is focused around the moderate limit buy zone.

This is where demand is showing up, and where the market has a reason to stabilize.

Instead of chasing price higher, the idea is to participate where risk can be controlled.

This is the zone where buyers have the best positioning

Stop Loss, Clear Invalidation Below

The stop is placed below the demand structure.

If price breaks through this area, the long thesis is invalid.

That is the point of the stop.

Not emotional, not wide, just a clean level where the setup no longer makes sense.

Risk is defined first.

Disclaimer
This is not financial advice.
This is a technical trade idea shared for educational purposes only.
Always manage risk, use proper position sizing, and make your own decisions.

$SOL

SANTOS is currently trading inside a rising structure, forming higher lows while pushing into a well-defined resistance zone around 2.45–2.55. Price compression near this area suggests a decision phase is underway.

A clean breakout and acceptance above resistance would confirm bullish continuation and open the path toward the 3.60+ region. However, failure to hold the rising support could trigger a deeper pullback, with downside risk toward the 1.80–1.70 zone and potentially lower if structure breaks.

This level decides continuation vs rejection. Patience is key here.

$SANTOS

The Core Thesis
This is not a chase trade.

Cardano is sitting inside a larger rising channel, and price is currently compressing at a key decision point.

The market is showing multiple bullish reversal signals near demand.

If buyers defend this zone, ADA has room to rotate higher into overhead liquidity.

If not, the setup is invalidated quickly, and risk stays controlled.

That is the entire edge.

Entry Area, Buy Limits at Demand

My entry is focused around the buy limit zone marked on the chart.

This is where demand is showing up after the pullback.

Instead of buying strength, the idea is to participate where risk is defined and accumulation is taking place.

This is the level where buyers have the best positioning before any upside expansion.

Stop Loss, Clear Invalidation Below Structure

The stop is placed just below the reversal base and demand structure.

If price breaks down through this level, the bullish thesis no longer holds.

That is the purpose of the stop.

Not wide, not emotional, just clean invalidation.

Risk is always defined first.

Target, Rotation Into Sell-Side Liquidity Above

The upside target is mapped into the liquidity waiting overhead.

Above current price, we can see stacked small and medium sell orders, and the golden liquidation zone.

If demand holds, price naturally has room to rotate back into these sell-side pools.

Markets move from accumulation into liquidity, that is the path outlined here.

Bigger Picture, Accumulation at Key Support

On the macro level, ADA remains inside a long-term channel.

The lower support zone is still the major accumulation area.

This trade is simply a structured attempt to capture the next rotation higher, with clear risk and clear upside levels.

Disclaimer
This is not financial advice.
This is a technical trade idea shared for educational purposes only.
Always manage risk, use proper position sizing, and make your own decisions.

$ADA

The market is missing the biggest pivot in Ethereum history.

For the last two years, the "Smart Money" trade was to Long L2s and Short L1. That trade ended this week.
On February 3, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin published a seminal critique declaring that the "Rollup-Centric Roadmap" (L2s acting as branded shards) "no longer makes sense".

Why? Because Ethereum L1 is scaling faster than anyone expected, and "Generic L2s" are failing to decentralize. Today, we are going to analyze the Fundamentals (The Research) and the Technicals (The Charts) to prove why the rotation back to Mainnet has already begun.

__________________________________________________________________________________

1. THE FUNDAMENTAL SHIFT (L1 is the Captain Now) 🚢

The narrative that "L1 is unscalable" was shattered by the recent upgrades.
* The "Fusaka" Upgrade: This upgrade has already doubled the L1 Gas Limit to 60 Million. Developers are now targeting 200M gas later this year.
* The Reality: With L1 capable of handling 20-30 TPS at sub-2 gwei fees, the average user does not need to bridge to a centralized L2 anymore.
* The "Stage 2" Ultimatum: Vitalik explicitly stated that L2s relying on multisigs (Stage 1) are NOT scaling Ethereum.

The "Parasitic" Economics ⚠️
Why is this bearish for L2 tokens? Look at the revenue split.
* Base Revenue (2025): >$75 Million.
* Rent Paid to ETH: ~$1.52 Million.
* The Squeeze: Base is operating at a 98% profit margin. But with the new EIP-7918, L2s will be forced to pay a "Price Floor" for blobs, crushing their margins and forcing revenue back to L1.

__________________________________________________________________________________

2. THE TECHNICAL PROOF (The Charts Don't Lie) 📉

The "Smart Money" is actively dumping L2 governance tokens to buy Spot ETHUSD.

A) ARBETH (The "Dilution" Chart)
This chart confirms the "L2 Death" thesis.
* Trend Strength: The ADX is at 63.6 (Weekly). This is not a dip; it is a violent, trending crash.
* Structure: Price is trading below every major EMA (20, 50, 200). We have broken all support.
* Target: The bearish structure points to a flush to the swing low at 0.000029 ETH (-51% from here).

B) $OPETH (No Buyers)
* Price Action: We just printed a "Hammer" candle, but with Low Volume ($119k). Without institutional volume, this is just a pause before the next leg down.
* Risk: If support breaks, there is no structural demand until 0.000063 ETH.

__________________________________________________________________________________

3. THE "COMEBACK KING" PLAY (
ETHUSD) 💎

While L2s bleed, Ethereum is setting up for a "Generational Opportunity."
* The Zone: We are testing critical support at $2,112 (Bottom of the Bullish Order Block).
* The Signal: Weekly RSI is resetting at 30 (Oversold border).
* The Confirmation: ADX has dropped to 20. This is the "Smoking Gun." It means the bearish trend momentum has died. Sellers are exhausted, and the reversal structure is building.

__________________________________________________________________________________

🎯 THE VERDICT

The "Pure Rollup" narrative is fading.
* Sell: Generic L2s (ARBETH, $OPETH) -> They are losing their moat.
* Buy: Spot ETH (at $2,112) -> Captures the value of returning L1 users.
* Watch: Only "Specialized" L2s (like Fuel or Aztec) are safe from the pivot because they offer features L1 cannot (Privacy/UTXO).

Are you rotating back to Mainnet?

Vote Below! 👇
A) Yes, Long ETH (L1 is King) 💎
B) No, Long L2s (Fees are lower) ⚡

$ETH

Description
BTC is retesting a local supply zone after a sharp downside leg, with price compressing beneath the 72,596 baseline (ENTRY). If sellers maintain control under this area, the chart leaves room for a continuation into lower liquidity pockets.
Structure notes

Lower highs into local supply suggest fading momentum on bounces.
A clean push below 72,596 would align the intraday structure with the prior down‑move.
I’m tracking downside liquidity at the marked green lines.

Key levels (from chart)

Entry interest: ~72,596
Targets: 72,032 → 71,007 → 70,092
Invalidation: A decisive break above the red supply cancels this view for me.

This is a market observation, not a signal. I’ll reassess if price reclaims the supply zone with strength.

DISCLAIMER: EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE

$BTC

If the current support level fails, the next possible support could be near $1100, based on the projection of a bearish flag. Historically, ETH has experienced similar pullbacks. There is significant liquidation at both $2199 and $2069. The price will likely move towards the liquidation level at $2199 beforedownward trend. continuing its bearish trend. (unless the current support holds..$ETH

My bullish case for bitcoin is a bottoming around October 2026 in the range of $30,000-$50,000. This is based on the cyclical nature of bitcoin, relative to the halving, that tends to print cycle lows 1 year after cycle tops. The last top was October. RSI is confirming we are in the declining phase of the cycle.

$BTC

Urmărește graficul zilnic #NMR. În caz de o rupere deasupra rezistenței descendente și a EMA50 zilnic, țintele potențiale de creștere sunt:

🎯 $11.35
🎯 $13.13
🎯 $14.51
🎯 $15.92
🎯 $17.94
🎯 $20.50

⚠️ Aplică întotdeauna stop-loss-uri strânse și menține o gestionare strictă a riscurilor

$NMR

ETHUSD
După o vânzare bruscă, prețul a format o consolidare slabă și nu a reușit să recâștige rezistența cheie. Vânzătorii au apărat agresiv nivelul superior, menținând ETH sub rezistența structurală. Această comportare a prețului semnalează distribuție, nu acumulare, și favorizează continuarea către zonele de cerere mai profunde.
Scenarii Cheie
❌ Caz Pessimist 📉 →
Respinge sub 2,390 – 2,400 menține presiunea pe partea de jos activă.
🎯 Țintă 1: 2,150

🎯 Țintă 2: 1,950 – 1,900 (Zonă Majoră de Cerere)
✅ Caz Optimist 🚀 →
Valabil doar dacă ETH depășește și se menține peste 2,400 cu o continuare puternică.

Bună dimineața, oameni buni, Amirali aici.
Examinând graficul zilnic al BTCUSDT, putem observa că a ajuns la 72,945 aseară, curățând lichiditatea de vânzare de acolo și apoi a revenit și acum se tranzacționează la 76,500.
În prezent, Bitcoin este în intervalul Bullish OB, și mă aștept să testeze din nou această zonă și să meargă spre Pragul Mediu și vârful Bullish OB.

Obiective pentru BTC: 77000, 77500, 78000, 78500 și 79000.
$BTC

ADAUSDT a completat o scădere structurată A-B-C într-o zonă de cerere bine definită pe un interval de timp superior, unde prețul arată acum semne de stabilizare. Vânzarea s-a desfășurat într-un canal descendent controlat și s-a oprit exact la limita inferioară, sugerând că presiunea de vânzare ar putea pierde din moment. Ultima respingere de la minime sugerează că urșii ar putea avea dificultăți în a extinde scăderea.

Dacă acest suport în jurul valorii de 0.277 continuă să reziste, ar putea încerca o recuperare înapoi spre regiunea 0.3375, unde consolidările anterioare și minimele intervalului se intersectează. Acea zonă ar putea acționa ca un magnet ascendent inițial dacă cumpărătorii își recâștigă treptat controlul.

Bună dimineața tuturor!

Ieri, umărul drept al modelului Head & Shoulders nu a reușit să se mențină, iar structura s-a schimbat acum într-un triple bottom.

Ultimul minim a declanșat opriri în jurul valorii de 73,800 (Obiectiv 4 pe grafic) — un nivel pe care l-am menționat de mai multe ori în postările anterioare.
După vânătoarea de opriri, vedem un rebound solid.

Cât de puternic este acest rebound va fi decis odată ce prețul va ajunge în zona cheie de observație (cercul roșu).
De acolo, avem două scenarii principale:
1. Prețul respinge linia de tendință internă → și ne mutăm pentru a sparge din nou minimul

ARC (AI Rig Complex) a avut o creștere parabolică a prețului de 100% în ultimele 48 de ore și continuă să afișeze o activitate mare de tranzacționare/frecvență.

Uitați-vă după o rupere a liniei tendinței și o posibilă inversare a direcției impulsului

$arc