币道学宫
交易之道如行军打仗，基本面为内因，技术面为外因，量为军队，价为城墙，时空为行军节奏，结构为布阵之法，一个完美的走势，就是一场完整的战斗。
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Bitcoin 100,000 is within reach, and is there no good altcoin left to invest in?
BTC has returned to 92,000 today, so overall, it's just a few points away from 100,000. Breaking through 100,000 is an inevitable step in this market movement.
ETH, hmm, it has been consolidating at the bottom for a while. Reaching 3,700 again at this level is no issue. And within the entire year of 2026, reaching 4,000 is absolutely no problem—there's always the potential to surge above 4,000 at any time.
The CHZ fan token has been lingering at the bottom for too long. Based on its technical pattern and fundamentals, there's strong potential for an upward rebound at this level. Once it breaks through, future gains could be several times higher—please keep an eye on it. However, we won't be making any recommendations here.
ETH, hmm, it has been consolidating at the bottom for a while. Reaching 3,700 again at this level is no issue. And within the entire year of 2026, reaching 4,000 is absolutely no problem—there's always the potential to surge above 4,000 at any time.
The CHZ fan token has been lingering at the bottom for too long. Based on its technical pattern and fundamentals, there's strong potential for an upward rebound at this level. Once it breaks through, future gains could be several times higher—please keep an eye on it. However, we won't be making any recommendations here.
Bitcoin rises, is the intention to wash away the following orders after a surge?
Today's market is in a volatile state, and at this time, it is more important not to look at the market than anything else. This approach not only isolates you from the noise of the market but also helps you avoid making impulsive buying or selling decisions. Once you decide to move in a certain direction, you must firmly hold onto your original intention. That original intention is more important than anything else.
Overall, the market shows signs of activity with the little squirrel, SHIB also has intentions of upward movement, and PEPE's upward energy has not completely dissipated; it may even generate a new wave of highs. All this accumulated energy will evolve into a new market trend.
Overall, the market shows signs of activity with the little squirrel, SHIB also has intentions of upward movement, and PEPE's upward energy has not completely dissipated; it may even generate a new wave of highs. All this accumulated energy will evolve into a new market trend.
Dogs are the bulldozers of this market trend
Freedom is precious, but love is even more valuable. If it's for health's sake, both can be discarded. This morning I went to the provincial hospital again, and the examination has been ongoing until now; after finishing the check-up, I went back to the company. Sigh, where are people? Health is more important than anything else, whether it's wealth or happiness, or any material things, you will possess them. But health is irreversible, time is irreversible, and life is even more irreversible.
In the past, I liked to watch the market, researching the trends every moment. Well, during the boring journey, I read a lot of books. The result? It caused excessive eye fatigue, and using an eye mask, the corner of my right eye feels a bit foggy. Now I plan to keep going to the hospital these days for inquiries, but I'm still uncertain about the results, about what is happening.
In the past, I liked to watch the market, researching the trends every moment. Well, during the boring journey, I read a lot of books. The result? It caused excessive eye fatigue, and using an eye mask, the corner of my right eye feels a bit foggy. Now I plan to keep going to the hospital these days for inquiries, but I'm still uncertain about the results, about what is happening.
Pepe surges, Coin Dao Academy dares to take risks for the world
Currently, the market has experienced a rebound from an oversold position, which is a normal phenomenon since it is a bottom rebound. At this time, if you haven't acted yet, you should be patient and wait a little longer. Engaging in a market without sustained movement is merely playing tricks on oneself, essentially digging traps and laying mines for oneself.
The upcoming market will mainly focus on a collective surge of Dogecoin frogs, initially creating a surge of 50% to 60%. First, let's observe market sentiment and conduct a test upwards; then the subsequent market will have new sectors and capital flows.
The upcoming market will mainly focus on a collective surge of Dogecoin frogs, initially creating a surge of 50% to 60%. First, let's observe market sentiment and conduct a test upwards; then the subsequent market will have new sectors and capital flows.
Dog sector volatility, pepe surges
Yesterday I shared a bit and felt everyone's trust in me; I feel very happy every time I share, and this will be my ongoing motivation. This time, there was a special feeling about the sharing. It reminded me of a story, specifically a cocktail party story of Wall Street fund father Peter Lynch.
Peter Lynch said that at a banquet, when others know you are a fund manager and like to talk to you about stocks, it indicates that the market has reached an overheated state, which is the right time to sell; conversely, when you know the other party knows you are a fund manager and casually chat before getting engrossed in a conversation with the dentist at the same table, it indicates that the vast majority of people have already incurred losses, and this is the market's low period, making it a good time to buy in.
Peter Lynch said that at a banquet, when others know you are a fund manager and like to talk to you about stocks, it indicates that the market has reached an overheated state, which is the right time to sell; conversely, when you know the other party knows you are a fund manager and casually chat before getting engrossed in a conversation with the dentist at the same table, it indicates that the vast majority of people have already incurred losses, and this is the market's low period, making it a good time to buy in.
BTC Volatile Market Tests Institutions and Retail Investors, Machine Orders Dominate Short-Term Exchanges
BTC is still in a volatile market atmosphere. The negative news of Japan's interest rate hike did not cause a drop in the entire market; rather, the ordinary single-day trend yesterday saw a drop of over 2.5%. Currently, the market is a test for both institutions and retail investors. If you pay close attention, you will notice that the current short-term exchanges are all dominated by machine orders, with a significant emotional reversal.
ETH just broke above 3000, then quickly fell back below 3000. The market currently feels quite strange, and it needs some time to brew. There’s no need to rush to catch the bottom in the short term; wait for the market to reach a suitable point before making a move for a low entry.
ANVT's recent performance has been quite impressive, with trading volume just below 4 million a few days ago, and now it has started to reach 40 million. It is still a few intervals away from a one-sided reversal market, so it can be worth paying attention to in the future.
ETH just broke above 3000, then quickly fell back below 3000. The market currently feels quite strange, and it needs some time to brew. There’s no need to rush to catch the bottom in the short term; wait for the market to reach a suitable point before making a move for a low entry.
ANVT's recent performance has been quite impressive, with trading volume just below 4 million a few days ago, and now it has started to reach 40 million. It is still a few intervals away from a one-sided reversal market, so it can be worth paying attention to in the future.
Severe Long-Short Divergence in Bitcoin
Life is like chess, chess is like life. Those at a higher level should aim high, prioritizing strategy to gain opportunities, not fixating on minor gains or losses. Those at a lower level often get entangled in a few moves, judging success or failure based on immediate gains or losses. It may seem like they are fighting for every inch, but in reality, they lose both position and territory. Therefore, a good strategist protects their unassailable ground and attacks the vulnerable enemy.
BTC has severe long-short divergence within the fluctuating range. This position is likely to see a one-way market after nearly doubling the time. I just saw a fan leave a message saying it's not a good time to bottom out, indicating a good understanding of the market. Many people are too fixated on the bottom, which in Zen terms can be referred to as attachment.
BTC has severe long-short divergence within the fluctuating range. This position is likely to see a one-way market after nearly doubling the time. I just saw a fan leave a message saying it's not a good time to bottom out, indicating a good understanding of the market. Many people are too fixated on the bottom, which in Zen terms can be referred to as attachment.
Bitcoin breaks and then stands firm, and after stabilizing will rise by 8000 points
The weather has turned cold recently, making it easier for the flu to occur. Everyone should pay more attention to their health and wear masks when going out. A few days ago, I encountered something; this really is a case of what goes around comes around. I avoided it during the pandemic, but after the pandemic, I got caught.
I didn't go to any crowded areas, just went to Longquan Mountain to set off fireworks. As a result, my friend's child got infected a few days ago, and that day I happened to take his car. His child wasn't in the car yet, and I got infected.
Once infected, the fever won't stop. This is the first time in my life experiencing such a fever after living for more than half a century. Even after the fever subsides, it will continue to recur. Regular physical cooling won't stop it; I have to rely on medication, taking it at least every 4-6 hours, and it will take 2-3 days to recover.
I didn't go to any crowded areas, just went to Longquan Mountain to set off fireworks. As a result, my friend's child got infected a few days ago, and that day I happened to take his car. His child wasn't in the car yet, and I got infected.
Once infected, the fever won't stop. This is the first time in my life experiencing such a fever after living for more than half a century. Even after the fever subsides, it will continue to recur. Regular physical cooling won't stop it; I have to rely on medication, taking it at least every 4-6 hours, and it will take 2-3 days to recover.
Do not step out in a panic
The market has been very turbulent these past three days, especially with the daily closing times fluctuating wildly. At this time, if you step out in a panic, it will be difficult to follow your wishes later. What you should do now is not to look, and definitely not to buy; do not decide the subsequent market trends yet. The volatility is high now, and if you step out but cannot stick to your direction, you will unintentionally become a potential victim of the market. As I said, first control your hands.
Based on past experience, we are now due for a large upward candle of more than 30%. This kind of daily level upward candle will arrive within two weeks.
The market has been very turbulent these past three days, especially with the daily closing times fluctuating wildly. At this time, if you step out in a panic, it will be difficult to follow your wishes later. What you should do now is not to look, and definitely not to buy; do not decide the subsequent market trends yet. The volatility is high now, and if you step out but cannot stick to your direction, you will unintentionally become a potential victim of the market. As I said, first control your hands.
Based on past experience, we are now due for a large upward candle of more than 30%. This kind of daily level upward candle will arrive within two weeks.
Japan's interest rate hike; surviving can turn the tide.
From yesterday until now, I have just stepped out from the gates of hell. With a sense of responsibility for everyone, I will still mention a few points today.
Firstly:
Currently, BTC is in a fluctuating market. At this position, it is very difficult, especially with tomorrow's interest rate hike in Japan. The difficulty lies in the fact that BTC is slightly declining at this position, occasionally sweeping upwards. However, when tomorrow's market sentiment is overly bearish, the market might instead reverse upwards. The hardest part is understanding the common direction of the market, which is called the extreme turning point.
If BTC quickly completes its drop, then it will be easier to handle. Keep holding; if it doesn’t drop, it will continue to hover in the fluctuation range, which is perplexing. This fluctuation trend is within 5-10 points, and being able to profit from this is decent, so being short is not overly pessimistic.
Firstly:
Currently, BTC is in a fluctuating market. At this position, it is very difficult, especially with tomorrow's interest rate hike in Japan. The difficulty lies in the fact that BTC is slightly declining at this position, occasionally sweeping upwards. However, when tomorrow's market sentiment is overly bearish, the market might instead reverse upwards. The hardest part is understanding the common direction of the market, which is called the extreme turning point.
If BTC quickly completes its drop, then it will be easier to handle. Keep holding; if it doesn’t drop, it will continue to hover in the fluctuation range, which is perplexing. This fluctuation trend is within 5-10 points, and being able to profit from this is decent, so being short is not overly pessimistic.
Will Japan's interest rate hike impact US Treasury bonds and cause Bitcoin to plummet?
Since my hasty return from Hangzhou, the contract trading has been consistently unsuccessful. It's not that I lost money; in fact, I made some. Overall, you can't make big profits if you can't quickly overcome the three hurdles. I always get stuck at the first hurdle, barely breaking even. It's possible that the traders on the other side designed their market trend plans specifically for people like us.
I learned a lesson this time: once you go out, don't rush back. My original itinerary was to spend two days in Hangzhou, then visit the Suzhou gardens, and then go to Shanghai. I ended up being quite tired and not having visited many places. Next time, I must remember not to let market fluctuations affect my trip. I was so frustrated when I came back and saw the current market conditions.
I learned a lesson this time: once you go out, don't rush back. My original itinerary was to spend two days in Hangzhou, then visit the Suzhou gardens, and then go to Shanghai. I ended up being quite tired and not having visited many places. Next time, I must remember not to let market fluctuations affect my trip. I was so frustrated when I came back and saw the current market conditions.
BTC fluctuates slightly, with significant volatility expected on the 19th
Zhou Yu lamented after his defeat: "The hardships of life are like the endless long river; though it aspires to flow eastward to the sea, its course is slow and fraught with difficulties. Yet, the river will eventually reach the sea, while the aspirations of life often remain unfulfilled, leaving one with lifelong regrets!"
Today I saw in the news that Xiao Qiao has passed away. In fact, if you think about it carefully, life is just like that. Although everyone's starting point in life is different, the endpoint is the same. Ultimately, it is all just dust returning to dust. In life, fame and fortune are merely temporary; when one dies, they take nothing with them, returning to society from which they came.
Today I saw in the news that Xiao Qiao has passed away. In fact, if you think about it carefully, life is just like that. Although everyone's starting point in life is different, the endpoint is the same. Ultimately, it is all just dust returning to dust. In life, fame and fortune are merely temporary; when one dies, they take nothing with them, returning to society from which they came.
2017 Cryptocurrency Circle Stories: The Causal Lessons Learned from 400 Times Returns
(Back then, Lao Bai's avatar was Cristiano Ronaldo)
A few days ago, an old friend of many years called me, and surprisingly, it was from a Chengdu number. He immediately said, 'Hello, I am Lao Bai, I want to return you the 100 Lite coins I owe you, give me an address.' I hung up directly.
This matter goes back to 2017, and looking back now, it feels very distant. This Lao Bai honestly made some money trading coins with me, but he was not satisfied and always liked to play contracts. He was the most ruthless and big-hearted person I've ever seen. At that time, the leverage required transferring coins back and forth, with only OK as an option, the highest being 20 times. It also required transferring from one platform to another, but it was all on OK's own platform. It was coin-to-coin leverage, just like our current coin-based system.
A few days ago, an old friend of many years called me, and surprisingly, it was from a Chengdu number. He immediately said, 'Hello, I am Lao Bai, I want to return you the 100 Lite coins I owe you, give me an address.' I hung up directly.
This matter goes back to 2017, and looking back now, it feels very distant. This Lao Bai honestly made some money trading coins with me, but he was not satisfied and always liked to play contracts. He was the most ruthless and big-hearted person I've ever seen. At that time, the leverage required transferring coins back and forth, with only OK as an option, the highest being 20 times. It also required transferring from one platform to another, but it was all on OK's own platform. It was coin-to-coin leverage, just like our current coin-based system.
Yen Interest Rate Hike, Storm Approaching in the Cryptocurrency Circle
After experiencing a brief interest rate cut in the United States, the US stock market is about to soar to 50,000 points like a rocket, while the cryptocurrency market is fluctuating up and down. So far, this is just the beginning of the test, and the coming week will only make people more confused. This confusion will be reflected in Japan's interest rate hikes.
You may not pay attention to Japan's economy, but you cannot ignore the trend of the yen, because the structure of the yen is complex. Its complexity is reflected in the transformation of the yen from negative interest rates over the past 20 years to positive interest rates now.
So what is negative interest rate? We don’t need to use professional terms to explain it. It means an institution borrows 100 yen from the Bank of Japan and only needs to repay 99; positive interest rate means if you borrow 100 yen from Japan, you have to repay 101, of course, the repayment amount is calculated based on the interest rate, I am just stating the essence.
You may not pay attention to Japan's economy, but you cannot ignore the trend of the yen, because the structure of the yen is complex. Its complexity is reflected in the transformation of the yen from negative interest rates over the past 20 years to positive interest rates now.
So what is negative interest rate? We don’t need to use professional terms to explain it. It means an institution borrows 100 yen from the Bank of Japan and only needs to repay 99; positive interest rate means if you borrow 100 yen from Japan, you have to repay 101, of course, the repayment amount is calculated based on the interest rate, I am just stating the essence.
After the interest rate hike, there was a big drop. Hang in there, the rainbow will eventually come.
After the interest rate hike, there was a big drop. Hang in there, the rainbow will eventually come.
The big pancake returned to 94000 at 4 AM and then quickly dropped. Now it needs to break below 90,000. This market has been treating people like dumplings, wrapping them up without gathering momentum or energy. Currently, it’s best to focus on waiting. As for when this market will arrive, it could be as short as a month and a half or as long as three months. Don't act rashly; if you can't control it, you might end up being wrapped like dumplings.
ETH's trend has returned to the yearly line. Overall, from January 2025 to now, the trend over the past 12 months has been lonely, with ups and downs returning to the starting point, basically not rising or falling.
The big pancake returned to 94000 at 4 AM and then quickly dropped. Now it needs to break below 90,000. This market has been treating people like dumplings, wrapping them up without gathering momentum or energy. Currently, it’s best to focus on waiting. As for when this market will arrive, it could be as short as a month and a half or as long as three months. Don't act rashly; if you can't control it, you might end up being wrapped like dumplings.
ETH's trend has returned to the yearly line. Overall, from January 2025 to now, the trend over the past 12 months has been lonely, with ups and downs returning to the starting point, basically not rising or falling.
ETH returns to 3400, pay attention...
Yesterday in the late session, BTC returned to 94000, and Ethereum returned to 3400, which indicates that this month's market trend is primarily upward. In the stock market, there are no secrets, and no magic tricks. The true way to conquer the market is to understand the basic laws of the market itself, and now it's about understanding human nature. You don't need to conquer the market, nor do you need to conquer yourself by erasing your humanity. If you erase your humanity, are you still human? Now, reclaim the brilliance of humanity.
So to survive in this market, what you need to do is to discover the shining side of your humanity, find your uniqueness, and on that basis, continuously adjust your positions in the market, steering your speculative vessel directly to the shores of success. What you must always do is see the market as your ATM, rather than becoming a piece of meat in the market, being devoured by others.
So to survive in this market, what you need to do is to discover the shining side of your humanity, find your uniqueness, and on that basis, continuously adjust your positions in the market, steering your speculative vessel directly to the shores of success. What you must always do is see the market as your ATM, rather than becoming a piece of meat in the market, being devoured by others.
Ethereum is releasing energy upwards, and it really was accurate.
Our intuition from the day before yesterday was indeed correct. From yesterday's perspective, the volatility of Bitcoin within 24 hours should exceed at least 4%~5%. The volatility of Ethereum within 24 hours should be around 9%. This level of volatility is considered a medium-level market given the current situation. Our intuition was also correct, which aligns with the Daoist concept of the correspondence between heaven and man. When you spend enough time observing the market, you will naturally have that corresponding feeling.
Of course, sensitivity is sensitivity, but what we really need to do in the market is to focus on certainty. If you want to make big money, it's never about betting on small high-probability things, but about doing certain things. This is the main reason why you can make big money; relying on bets and feelings can easily lead to major problems.
Of course, sensitivity is sensitivity, but what we really need to do in the market is to focus on certainty. If you want to make big money, it's never about betting on small high-probability things, but about doing certain things. This is the main reason why you can make big money; relying on bets and feelings can easily lead to major problems.
Investment is about investing in people, starting with looks and ending with character
Last night, Bitcoin made a move at around 10 PM, then quickly returned to the vicinity of 92000. Now in the current market, all altcoins, including Ethereum and various other altcoins, are all connected to Bitcoin's path, all integrated with its API. All the trends are almost the same; when you jump, it jumps, and all the coins correspondingly plunge, followed by a rise. Bitcoin rebounds, and others rise along with it. The candlestick patterns over the past few hours are basically all the same technical forms.
Bitcoin falls below 90000, you may choose not to act, but you must not ignore the bullish trend.
Today's Bitcoin has fallen back below 90,000, which is a rebound upward and a correction downward. This rise and fall is a normal phenomenon. A drop occurring during a rise and a rise occurring during a drop both belong to a consolidation phenomenon. Overall, this kind of market is considered a period of consolidation, which is normal.
The detailed judgment of the market trends is actually not difficult, but currently, the hardest part is grasping the overall trend. If you cannot grasp this overall trend, do not act lightly. It’s still that saying: be patient and continuously enhance your own self-control.
Bitcoin hits the bottom in one go, is December predominantly bullish?
Bitcoin hits the bottom in one go, is December predominantly bullish?
This time Bitcoin went from 92,000 to 84,000, and then returned to 92,000, going through a roller coaster-like market. Then it came back again. From an overall strategic perspective, November is bearish, while December is bullish. Even if there is a significant drop, it will happen after January.
In the upcoming market, it's actually right for you to enter the market; not entering is also not wrong. Because all the waves you enter belong to the rebound level of the market. When the big coin returns to 110,000, it is also very expected. So you don't have to enter to make a long position or participate in the market because it is currently at the rebound level; you can choose not to participate. This is just like Zen; both choices are valid.
This time Bitcoin went from 92,000 to 84,000, and then returned to 92,000, going through a roller coaster-like market. Then it came back again. From an overall strategic perspective, November is bearish, while December is bullish. Even if there is a significant drop, it will happen after January.
In the upcoming market, it's actually right for you to enter the market; not entering is also not wrong. Because all the waves you enter belong to the rebound level of the market. When the big coin returns to 110,000, it is also very expected. So you don't have to enter to make a long position or participate in the market because it is currently at the rebound level; you can choose not to participate. This is just like Zen; both choices are valid.
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